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17 Jul 2025, 10:10 

Tour de France

Cycling

Tour de France - Stage 12

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Prediction :

 

Ben O'Connor each way

 
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Tour de France - Stage 12 Predictions & Betting tips - Tour de France

 by Matthew Newman |

Into the mountains we go for Stage 12 of the Tour de France. The first Hors Category climb will see the peloton finish on top of Hautacam. There is nowhere to hide here; only the strongest riders can be considered in our prediction.

Jonas Vingegaard won the stage into Hautacam when last here in 2022, breaking Tadej Pogacar late on. The way the stage is set up this year leans more towards a breakaway group rather than the GC riders contesting the win, however.

Jayco Alula are regularly on the attack, and this could be another day for Ben O'Connor. He went on the attack on Stage 10, where he finished fourth, but he is still far enough back to be allowed up the road.

Michael Storer already has a pair of top-five finishes on the tour this year, both when he has been part of a breakaway. He finished tenth overall in the Giro and would be dangerous if allowed into the break again.

Cofidis will be looking to make an impression, and a wildcard here is Dylan Teuns. He has been very quiet so far, but was a stage winner in both 2019 and 2021. He was also 11th on a stage in 2023 that finished on Mont-Blanc, so he can climb.

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Tour de France - Stage 12 - Tour de France prediction key points

  1. Stage 12 covers 180.6km, the first 120km is flat before the climbing starts.
  2. The stage finishes on top of Hautacam, the first Hors Category climb of the tour so far.
  3. Ben O’Connor is one of the strongest climbers in the peloton, officially ranked within the top 10 in cycling.
  4. O’Connor sits 17th in the GC at present, but he jumped from 23rd to 1st in the Vuelta standings on Stage 6 last year with a bold breakaway ride.
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Our Tour de France - Stage 12 - Tour de France prediction

The first mountain top finish of the 2025 Tour de France should really kickstart the yellow jersey competition. It could see a strong ride from Team Visma to try and take Tadej Pogačar out of his comfort zone, especially after his crash on Wednesday. They might be playing second fiddle to a breakaway, however. As always, trying to second-guess who will be part of a break is always difficult, but our Tour de France Stage 12 prediction is Ben O'Connor each way, and those looking for a monster outsider could do worse than Dylan Teuns at odds of 501.00!

Prediction :

 

Ben O'Connor each way

 
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