Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP - ATP Cincinnati Open

ATP 24 USA
Tommy Paul
20/08/2026 15:00
ATP 10 Italy
Flavio Cobolli

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Cincinnati Open Predictions

18th-seeded Tommy Paul caused a big upset in round four of the outdoor hard court Cincinnati Open. He beat the top seed Alexander Zverev and now faces seventh seed Flavio Cobolli in the last eight, Both have played several long matches so far and our prediction is more than 21.5 games.

The winner will face either unseeded Thiago Agustin Tirante or 21st seed Arthur Fils.

Flavio Cobolli has already won one title on this surface in 2026 with a triumph in Acapulco. Three of his next four outdoor hard court matches were lost, but he has rediscovered his form in this Masters tournament.

All three of his matches have gone to a deciding set. In the last 16, he came from a set down to beat Rafael Jodar.

Tommy Paul has won 17 of his 25 outdoor hard court matches this year, that's compared to the 12-6 record of his opponent. Paul has made it to two semi-finals on this surface in 2026 with one final in Delray Beach.

The American has also had to play a deciding set in each of his matches in this tournament. He beat the top seed in the last round, despite losing the opening set to Zverev. That's the second round in a row he's lost the opening set.

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Tommy Paul v Flavio Cobolli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.63 2.35
1xbet
1.66 2.36
Melbet
1.62 2.3
Betwinner
1.62 2.3
22bet
1.62 2.29
Check all Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli odds

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Who will win the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli match is: more than 21.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli game on 20/08/2026 of the current ATP Cincinnati Open season:

  • Tommy Paul has a 43.39% chance to win against Flavio Cobolli according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.66.
  • Flavio Cobolli has a 56.61% probability of winning facing Tommy Paul ⭐ with odds of 2.42 at Shangrila.

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Tommy Paul has a 43.39 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Tommy Paul43.39 %
Flavio Cobolli56.61 %

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Form

Tommy Paul and Flavio Cobolli Last Matches

Tommy Paul Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Zverev
1 :  2
Tommy Paul

17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Tommy Paul
2 :  1
Hubert Hurkacz

7 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Learner Tien
2 :  0
Tommy Paul

5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Valentin Royer
0 :  2
Tommy Paul

28 Jul 2026 - ATP Washington Citi Open

Kamil Majchrzak
2 :  0
Tommy Paul
Flavio Cobolli Last matches
L L L W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Rafael Jodar
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

17 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Alexander Blockx
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Miomir Kecmanovic
1 :  2
Flavio Cobolli

4 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Yannick Hanfmann

15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Roman Andres Burruchaga

8 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  3
Arthur Fery

Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Tommy Paul

0 %

Flavio Cobolli

100 %

12 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Flavio Cobolli
2 :  1
Tommy Paul
Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Tommy Paul - Flavio Cobolli Key Points

  1. Both players have seen all their matches in this tournament have more than 21.5 games and three sets played.
  2. Their one previous meeting was in this tournament and saw 30 games and three sets played.
  3. More than 21.5 games have been played in eight of Paul's last ten outdoor hard court matches.
  4. Cobolli has played more than 21.5 games in seven of the last nine outdoor hard court matches played by Cobolli.
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Our Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Six matches have been played by these two players in this tournament. All of them went to a deciding set, so a side bet on that happening here one that should also be made. That also happened in their one previous meeting.

The chances of sets going to 7-5 or 7-6 are also high. Both players are in good form and if we were to choose an outright winner, it would have to be Paul. Our main Tommy Paul v Flavio Cobolli prediction is more than 21.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.