TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears Prediction & Betting Tips - PBA - Commissioner Cup
Philippines - PBA - Commissioner Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in PBA - Commissioner Cup Predictions
TNT Tropang 5G meets Macau in this 2025-26 PBA Commissioner's Cup clash on Friday. Can Katropa bounced back against the Black Bears after Wednesday's setback against Converge FiberXers? Here is our prediction.
After putting together three straight wins to strengthen their playoff bid, TNT Tropang 5G suffered a setback in their last outing against Converge FiberXers. They got off to a promising start against the FiberXers, but a 15-point second-quarter deficit proved costly, as they fell 97–92.
Chot Reyes' side will look to bounce back in Friday's contest. They have won five of their eight 2025-26 Commissioner's Cup games, but three of those victories have come by narrow margins.
Just when everyone had written off Macau Black Bears, they pulled off a shocker in their last outing. The Black Bears rallied from eight points down in the opening quarter to defeat Titan Ultra Giant Risers 119–107, thanks to a decisive 25-point second-quarter lead.
That result finally broke their funk in the competition, bringing their six-game losing streak to an end. Can they put up a similar strong showing against TNT Tropang 5G?
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TNT Tropang 5G v Macau Black Bears Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.09 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.09 | 5.6 |
|
|
1.07 | 6 |
|
|
1.13 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.09 | 6.1 |
|
Who will win the TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears Basketball game?
Our prediction for the TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears match is: Macau Black Bears +9.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears game on 24/04/2026 of the current PBA - Commissioner Cup season:
- TNT Tropang 5G has a 81.83% chance to pick up the win against Macau Black Bears according to LSbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.13.
- There is a probability of 18.17% ⭐ for Macau Black Bears to win vs TNT Tropang 5G with odds of 6.1 at Shangrila.
TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears Form
TNT Tropang 5G and Macau Black Bears's standings in the PBA - Commissioner Cup
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
0.5 | 12 | 6 | 6 | |
|
11
|
0.25 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 1 |
TNT Tropang 5G and Macau Black Bears Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
22 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
18 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
7 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
28 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
28 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
20 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
30 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup
25 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup
21 Jan 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
22 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
18 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
7 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
22 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
1 Feb 2026 - PBA - Philippine Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
10 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
8 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
10 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
8 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
6 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
20 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
14 Apr 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
11 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
7 Apr 2026 - The Asian Tournament
31 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
28 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
14 Mar 2026 - PBA - Commissioner Cup
TNT Tropang 5G - Macau Black Bears Key Points
- TNT Tropang 5G lost their last Commissioner's Cup game.
- Three of TNT’s five wins in the 2025-26 Commissioner's Cup have been by competitive margins.
- Macau Black Bears ended their losing streak in the competition with a win in their last outing.
- The Black Bears’ last two defeats have been by competitive margins.
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Our TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears Prediction
TNT Tropang 5G head into this clash as favorites and will look to bounce back from Wednesday's setback against Converge. However, most of their wins in the competition have been by competitive margins, including their last two victories.
Macau Black Bears' recent victory has injected some confidence into the team heading into this clash. Notably, their last two defeats have been by tight margins; hence, our confidnece that they are likely to cover the spread. Our TNT Tropang 5G vs Macau Black Bears prediction : Macau Black Bears +9.5 handicap.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
