Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Last weekend was a massive one for Manchester United. They beat Liverpool 3-2 at home to not just remain third in the table but confirm their qualification for next season's Champions League. Now they travel to Sunderland who are 12th in the Premier League but still have an outside chance of European qualification themselves. They are not in the best of form though and our match prediction is another successful game for the Red Devils.
Sunderland have three games to play and are four points behind seventh place in the table. Eighth place is a point closer and finishing in that position could yet take a team into Europe. However, the Black Cats have only earned one point from their last three league fixtures.
Manchester United will be back in the UCL next season. That was confirmed last Sunday but there's still no news on whether that achievement will make Michael Carrick their full-time coach. The Reds have only lost at Newcastle in their last eight away games.
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Sunderland v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.7 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.52 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.82 | 3.66 | 1.93 |
|
|
4 | 3.6 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.55 | 1.97 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sunderland and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Sunderland vs Manchester United match is: Manchester United wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Sunderland and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.28% for a win of Sunderland against Manchester United with odds of 4 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sunderland vs Manchester United is 16.84% with odds of 3.82 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 59.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Sunderland with odds of 2.1 at Betway.
Sunderland - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sunderland Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 59.88% | 2.1 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.63% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Manchester United | 31.88% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Sunderland vs Manchester United Form
Sunderland and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
Sunderland and Manchester United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Premier League
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
3 Mar 2026 - Premier League
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Premier League
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Premier League
27 Apr 2026 - Premier League
13 Apr 2026 - Premier League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
20 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
23 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Sunderland vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
9 Apr 2017 - Premier League
26 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Sunderland - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Sunderland made an excellent start to this season and have never been in danger of an immediate return to the Championship. The Black Cats could yet qualify for Europe but their form over the past 25 league games is only good enough for 17th place.
Last weekend saw them only able to draw 1-1 at relegated Wolves. They have now gone three games without a win and their last home league fixture saw them beaten 5-0 by resurgent Nottingham Forest.
Tough times at home for Sunderland in recent months.
Home form this season has seen them win eight of their 17 league games with four losses. However, four of their last five at home in the Premier League have ended in defeat. The other was a 1-0 home win over Spurs and they had to thank a deflected goal for that victory.
Manchester United won the reverse fixture against Sunderland 2-0 in October. That was a third successive victory for the Reds over Sunderland, though that reverse fixture this term is the only one played between the clubs this decade.
United haven't always been at their best on the road this season with only six league wins. Only Newcastle have beaten them in their last eight away league fixtures. Overall, their only loss in their last six matches has been a home defeat inflicted by Leeds United.
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Sunderland against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Ellborg
DefenderD. Cirkin
MidfielderJ. Bi
H. Diarra
L. O'Nien
C. Rigg
ForwardW. Isidor
N. Angulo
E. Mayenda
A. Bayindir
DefenderL. Yoro
T. Malacia
A. Heaven
P. Dorgu
D. Dalot
MidfielderJ. Fletcher
T. Fletcher
ForwardB. Mbeumo
Missing players
D. Ballard
MidfielderR. Mundle
ForwardB. Traore
M. de Ligt
ForwardB. Sesko
Sunderland & Manchester United Squad Analysis
Dan Ballard was sent off in the 1-1 draw with Wolves last weekend. Sunderland have appealed that decision but if that is unsuccessful, then Ballard will miss the rest of the season. That is one of the few selection problems that coach Regis Le Bris has at present.
Romaine Mundie will be absent due to a hamstring problem. Jocelin Ta Bi has recovered from his ankle injury and was a substitute against Wolves. He may again fill that role against United. Nilson Angulo and Bertrand Traore may also be on the bench this weekend.
Only earning a point against Wolves has damaged Sunderland's European qualification hopes. Failing to win this match would just about end them. They need to rediscover the form that made them so difficult to beat at the Stadium of Light.
It's job done for United in terms of ensuring UCL qualification next season. This term has been a difficult one at times for them but Michael Carrick has done a great job steering them to third in the Premier League.
Sesko is doubtful for United.
Benjamin Sesko hasn't had the greatest of first seasons with his new club. Like many at Old Trafford, he's had a better second half of the season than the first. He is a doubt for this game against Sunderland after only playing the first half against Liverpool after aggravating a shin injury.
Bruno Fernandes is still one assist away from equaling the Premier League record of 20 in a season. He also came off early against Liverpool but is fully expected to be playing against Sunderland.
Most goals and assists
Sunderland
Manchester United
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Sunderland - Manchester United Key Points
- Manchester United have won their last three games against Sunderland.
- The only point Sunderland have earned in their last three league games was against relegated Wolves.
- Manchester United have only lost one of their last eight away games.
- Sunderland have been beaten in four of their last five home league games, losing the last one 5-0 to Nottingham Forest.
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Our Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction
A return to form could yet see Sunderland playing European football next season. If they had been able to continue the form shown in the early part of the season, then that would almost be a formality by now..
The Black Cats have struggled in recent months though and lost four of their last five at home. Manchester United are third in the table and Michael Carrick has done a great job in revitalising them. Our main Sunderland v Manchester United prediction is Manchester United wins.
Sunderland vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Bruno Fernandes scores or makes an assist
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sunderland Manchester United
| Sunderland vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sunderland wins | 4 | 4 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.82 | +3.2% |
| Manchester United wins | 1.83 | 2.1 | +14.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 14.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 47.6% (-7.0%)
Sunderland vs Manchester United - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
