Stuttgart vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The Bundesliga top four race could take a pivotal turn as Stuttgart and Leipzig meet on Sunday in a matchday 26 fixture. This match between the fourth-placed Swabians and the fifth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals scored.
Leipzig have 47 points (W14, D5, L6) and are two points behind third ahead of this round. They are level on points with fifth-placed Leipzig (W14, D5, L6), who are three points above sixth.
Stuttgart were edged 2-1 at home by Porto on Thursday in their Europa League last-16 first leg fixture. This result meant they had just one win from their last five competitive matches (D2, L2).
The Swabians drew 2-2 away at Mainz last weekend but have lost only once in their last 12 Bundesliga fixtures (W7, D4). Their record is even more impressive at home, where Stuttgart have four wins from their last five Bundesliga fixtures (D1).
Leipzig won 2-1 at home against Augsburg last weekend to make it five games unbeaten in the Bundesliga (W3, D2). The Red Bulls are staying in touch with the top four, and a win here could even bump them up to third.
Even their away form has improved, as the ‘Red Bulls’ have won three of their last four (D1) Bundesliga trips, including two victories in a row.
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Stuttgart v Leipzig Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.46 | 3.95 | 2.6 |
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2.43 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
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2.43 | 3.9 | 2.6 |
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2.45 | 3.9 | 2.55 |
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2.42 | 3.9 | 2.54 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Leipzig?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Leipzig match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Stuttgart and Leipzig in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.71% for a win of Stuttgart against Leipzig with odds of 2.52 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Leipzig is 16.67% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Stuttgart with odds of 2.7 at LSbet.
Stuttgart - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart Leipzig Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 47.71% | 2.52 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75.88% | 1.14 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stuttgart | 19.35% | 7 at Bet365 |
Stuttgart vs Leipzig Form
Stuttgart and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 |
Stuttgart and Leipzig Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
17 May 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga
25 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Bredlow
DefenderJ. Chabot
L. Assignon
M. Mittelstadt
A. Al-Dakhil
MidfielderChema Andres
N. Nartey
T. Tomas
J. Arevalo
L. Zingerle
DefenderM. Finkgrafe
B. Henrichs
E. Bitshiabu
MidfielderB. Gruda
X. Schlager
J. Bakayoko
T. Gomis
C. Harder
Missing players
D. Zagadou
J. Vagnoman
ForwardJ. Diehl
L. Jovanovic
P. Gulacsi
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
MidfielderA. Ouedraogo
V. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart - Leipzig Key Points
- Stuttgart’s league matches averaged 3.36 goals per game this season.
- Eight of Stuttgart’s last nine competitive matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
- Six of Stuttgart’s last nine home league games saw at least three goals scored.
- Eight of Leipzig’s last nine Bundesliga games including the last six produced three or more goals.
- The last seven competitive matches against these sides saw over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Stuttgart vs Leipzig Prediction
Only goal difference separates these two sides as the race for the top four ignites in the Bundesliga. Stuttgart may have the extra distraction of an upcoming second leg in the Europa League last-16, but that’s unlikely to change their objectives in this top-four clash. Goals have been a constant feature in Stuttgart’s games, with their Bundesliga fixtures averaging 3.36 total goals per game in this campaign.
Leipzig’s matches have been equally entertaining, which was also the case in recent matches between these sides. That’s why our Stuttgart vs Leipzig prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Leipzig
| Stuttgart vs Leipzig | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 2.23 | 2.52 | +13.0% |
| Draw | 3.98 | 4.1 | +3.0% |
| Leipzig wins | 3.18 | 2.7 | -15.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.8% and is now 39.7% (-5.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.