Stuttgart vs Leipzig Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
15/03/2026 14:30
Leipzig

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

The Bundesliga top four race could take a pivotal turn as Stuttgart and Leipzig meet on Sunday in a matchday 26 fixture. This match between the fourth-placed Swabians and the fifth-placed ‘Red Bulls’ comes with our prediction of more than 2.5 goals scored.

Leipzig have 47 points (W14, D5, L6) and are two points behind third ahead of this round. They are level on points with fifth-placed Leipzig (W14, D5, L6), who are three points above sixth.

Stuttgart were edged 2-1 at home by Porto on Thursday in their Europa League last-16 first leg fixture. This result meant they had just one win from their last five competitive matches (D2, L2).

The Swabians drew 2-2 away at Mainz last weekend but have lost only once in their last 12 Bundesliga fixtures (W7, D4). Their record is even more impressive at home, where Stuttgart have four wins from their last five Bundesliga fixtures (D1).

Leipzig won 2-1 at home against Augsburg last weekend to make it five games unbeaten in the Bundesliga (W3, D2). The Red Bulls are staying in touch with the top four, and a win here could even bump them up to third.

Even their away form has improved, as the ‘Red Bulls’ have won three of their last four (D1) Bundesliga trips, including two victories in a row.

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Stuttgart v Leipzig Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.46 3.95 2.6
Melbet
2.43 3.9 2.6
Betwinner
2.43 3.9 2.6
Bet365
2.45 3.9 2.55
Roobet
2.42 3.9 2.54
Check all Stuttgart vs Leipzig odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Leipzig?

Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Leipzig match is: more than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Stuttgart and Leipzig in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 47.71% for a win of Stuttgart against Leipzig with odds of 2.52 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Leipzig is 16.67% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.62% chance ⭐ for a win of Leipzig vs Stuttgart with odds of 2.7 at LSbet.

Stuttgart - Leipzig Prediction and Best Odds:

Stuttgart Leipzig Prediction Probability Odds
Stuttgart wins 47.71% 2.52 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 75.88% 1.14 at LSbet
Both Team To Score 68.75%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stuttgart 19.35% 7 at Bet365

Stuttgart vs Leipzig Form

Stuttgart and Leipzig's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 +19
4 Stuttgart
62 34 18 8 8 +22

Stuttgart and Leipzig Last Matches

Stuttgart
Stuttgart Last matches
W D L W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Porto

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Stuttgart

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Celtic

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  3
Stuttgart

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  4
Stuttgart
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Porto

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

26 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
0 :  1
Celtic

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Köln

1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Freiburg

29 Jan 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
3 :  2
BSC Young Boys
W W L W D D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  2
Stuttgart

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  3
Stuttgart

19 Feb 2026 - Europa League

Celtic
1 :  4
Stuttgart

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
2 :  1
Stuttgart

4 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal

Holstein Kiel
0 :  3
Stuttgart

25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  3
Stuttgart
Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
W L D D W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Augsburg

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Leipzig

8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  2
Leipzig
W L L D D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Augsburg

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  5
Bayern Munich

14 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Freiburg
L W D W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Leipzig

8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  2
Leipzig

27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Leipzig

24 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
0 :  3
Leipzig

12 Dec 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
3 :  1
Leipzig

Stuttgart vs Leipzig Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stuttgart

67 %

Draw

0 %

Leipzig

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.83
Total goals
100%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  1
Stuttgart

17 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  3
Stuttgart

2 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal

Stuttgart
3 :  1
Leipzig

15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
2 :  1
Leipzig

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
5 :  2
Leipzig

25 Aug 2023 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  1
Stuttgart

Stuttgart against Leipzig Lineups: Starting 11

Stuttgart

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

33
A. Nubel
29
F. Jeltsch
14
L. Jaquez
3
R. Hendriks
18
J. Leweling
16
A. Karazor
6
A. Stiller
10
C. Fuhrich
11
B. El Khannouss
9
E. Demirovic
26
D. Undav
7
A. Nusa
40
Romulo
49
Y. Diomande
14
C. Baumgartner
13
N. Seiwald
6
E. Banzuzi
22
D. Raum
23
C. Lukeba
4
W. Orban
17
R. Baku
26
M. Vandevoordt

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Leipzig

Substitutes

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Goalkeeper

F. Bredlow

Defender

J. Chabot

L. Assignon

J. Leweling 81'

M. Mittelstadt

C. Fuhrich 68'

A. Al-Dakhil

Midfielder

Chema Andres

A. Karazor 85'

N. Nartey

B. El Khannouss 68'

Forward

T. Tomas

E. Demirovic 68'

J. Arevalo

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

L. Zingerle

Defender

M. Finkgrafe

B. Henrichs

R. Baku 88'

E. Bitshiabu

Midfielder

B. Gruda

E. Banzuzi 64'

X. Schlager

N. Seiwald 71'

Forward

J. Bakayoko

A. Nusa 71'

T. Gomis

C. Harder

Romulo 71'

Missing players

Stuttgart
Stuttgart
Defender

D. Zagadou

J. Vagnoman

Forward

J. Diehl

L. Jovanovic

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

P. Gulacsi

Defender

K. Nedeljkovic

Midfielder

A. Ouedraogo

V. Gebel

Forward

S. Suleiman

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Stuttgart
CD Huachipato Leipzig
Top Goalscorer
Germany D. Undav (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Austria C. Baumgartner (13 Goals)
Best assists
Germany J. Leweling (8 Assists)
Best assists
Germany D. Raum (7 Assists)
Ivory Coast Y. Diomande (7 Assists)

Stuttgart - Leipzig Key Points

  1. Stuttgart’s league matches averaged 3.36 goals per game this season.
  2. Eight of Stuttgart’s last nine competitive matches have produced over 2.5 goals.
  3. Six of Stuttgart’s last nine home league games saw at least three goals scored.
  4. Eight of Leipzig’s last nine Bundesliga games including the last six produced three or more goals.
  5. The last seven competitive matches against these sides saw over 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Stuttgart vs Leipzig Prediction

Only goal difference separates these two sides as the race for the top four ignites in the Bundesliga. Stuttgart may have the extra distraction of an upcoming second leg in the Europa League last-16, but that’s unlikely to change their objectives in this top-four clash. Goals have been a constant feature in Stuttgart’s games, with their Bundesliga fixtures averaging 3.36 total goals per game in this campaign.

Leipzig’s matches have been equally entertaining, which was also the case in recent matches between these sides. That’s why our Stuttgart vs Leipzig prediction is more than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Leipzig

Stuttgart vs Leipzig Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Stuttgart wins 2.23 2.52 +13.0%
Draw 3.98 4.1 +3.0%
Leipzig wins 3.18 2.7 -15.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Stuttgart is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 13.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 44.8% and is now 39.7% (-5.2%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Stuttgart vs Leipzig Prediction