Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen will compete on matchday 33 in Stuttgart on Saturday, vying for a top-four finish in the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign. This match between the 5th-placed Swabians and the 4th-placed ‘Factory XI’ is likely to follow the recent goal-scoring trend in this outing, so our prediction is for more than 3.5 goals to be scored.
Both teams have 58 points (W17, D7, L8) along with Hoffenheim, and the three sides are separated only by goal difference as they fight to finish fourth and claim the last UEFA Champions League (UCL) qualification spot.
Stuttgart drew 3-3 away at Hoffenheim last weekend with a 95th-minute goal earning a point. They are still struggling for results lately, winning only one of their last five Bundesliga matches (D2, L2).
It’s a different story at home, though, as Stuttgart have five wins from their last seven home Bundesliga games (D1, L1).
Leverkusen earned a crucial 4-1 win at home over Leipzig last weekend to make it four victories in the last five league games (L1). This run has helped them improve their chances of finishing in the UCL qualification spots.
The visitors have also won their last two away league games and have a five-match unbeaten run on the road (W3, D2) to push their credentials of finishing inside the top four.
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Stuttgart v Bayer Leverkusen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.25 | 4.1 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.08 | 4 | 3.11 |
|
|
2.21 | 4 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.15 | 4.1 | 2.9 |
|
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2.1 | 3.95 | 2.98 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen?
Our prediction for the Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/05/2026 between Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.51% for a win of Stuttgart against Bayer Leverkusen with odds of 2.28 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen is 27.43% with odds of 4.3 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayer Leverkusen vs Stuttgart with odds of 3.11 at Melbet.
Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Stuttgart Bayer Leverkusen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 37.07% | 3.11 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.49% | |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Bayer Leverkusen/Bayer Leverkusen | 15.12% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Form
Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 |
|
6
|
59 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | +21 |
Stuttgart and Bayer Leverkusen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
23 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
12 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Apr 2026 - DFB Pokal
18 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - German Super Cup
27 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
6 Feb 2024 - DFB Pokal
Stuttgart against Bayer Leverkusen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
F. Bredlow
DefenderL. Jaquez
L. Assignon
D. Zagadou
J. Vagnoman
P. Stenzel
MidfielderB. Bouanani
B. El Khannouss
T. Tomas
J. Blaswich
DefenderL. Bade
Arthur
L. Vazquez
MidfielderE. Fernandez
M. Tillman
J. Hofmann
ForwardE. Poku
E. Ben Seghir
Missing players
F. Jeltsch
MidfielderA. Karazor
ForwardL. Jovanovic
M. Terrier
Most goals and assists
Stuttgart
Bayer Leverkusen
D. Undav
(19 Goals)
P. Schick
(16 Goals)
J. Leweling
(8 Assists)
A. Garcia
(8 Assists)
Stuttgart - Bayer Leverkusen Key Points
- Leverkusen and Stuttgart average 2.1 goals per match this season and only Bayern have averaged more.
- Leverkusen’s last eight league games averaged 4.38 goals per game.
- Eight of Stuttgart’s last 11 Bundesliga matches produced over 3.5 goals.
- Five of the last six matches between these sides in all competitions saw at least four goals scored during regular time.
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Our Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction
With three teams on 58 points and only goal difference separating them in the quest to finish inside the top four, the Bundesliga is set for a grand finish. Leverkusen and Stuttgart find themselves right in the middle of that mix, with the winner of this fixture likely to get an extra edge. Stuttgart will rue the fact that their recent form has slipped up, while Leverkusen are buoyed by their recent results.
This fixture has historically produced goals, so our Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction is more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Stuttgart Bayer Leverkusen
| Stuttgart vs Bayer Leverkusen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 2.15 | 2.28 | +6.0% |
| Draw | 4.16 | 4.3 | +3.4% |
| Bayer Leverkusen wins | 3.23 | 3.11 | -3.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayer Leverkusen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 31.0% and is now 32.2% (1.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
