Stoke vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Stoke
15/08/2026 10:00
Swansea

Prediction :

 

Stoke wins

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions

After contrasting outings in the League Cup, Stoke City and Swansea will embark on the Championship, with Stoke set to host the matchday one fixture. Their targets this season are simple; Swansea looking to rise from their 11th-placed finish while Stoke were 17th. Stoke haven’t lost this match at home in the last five meetings, and our prediction tips them to prevail.

The Potters had a poor ending to last season, failing to win any of the final six league games. Their last four ended in defeat, but a strong ending to preseason should pump in some confidence.

This will further be supported by a winning start to the EFL Cup, where Stoke overcame Oldham 2-0.

Unlike Stoke, Swansea have started their season on the wrong footing, as they lost their EFL Cup opener to Birmingham. The Welsh side fell 1-0 at home and will be gunning for a better return in the Championship.

Heading into this encounter, the visitors are burdened by an unimpressive run away to Stoke City. At the Bet365 Stadium, Swansea last won in 2021, losing three of the five visits that followed.

They, however, only failed to score once in the aforementioned five matches. Their hopes for this encounter will not be helped by the fact they lost 12 of their 23 away league matches last season, only winning seven.

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Stoke v Swansea Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.39 3.3 2.95
1xbet
2.41 3.25 2.9
Melbet
2.41 3.25 2.9
Betwinner
2.4 3.22 2.94
22bet
2.41 3.25 2.9
Check all Stoke vs Swansea odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Stoke and Swansea?

Our prediction for the Stoke vs Swansea match is: Stoke City wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2026 between Stoke and Swansea in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.48% for a win of Stoke against Swansea with odds of 2.46 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Stoke vs Swansea is 24.45% with odds of 3.4 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 42.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Stoke with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.

Stoke vs Swansea Form

Stoke and Swansea Last Matches

Stoke
Stoke Last matches
L L D W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
2 :  0
Oldham Athletic

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Valencia

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Everton

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  1
Stoke

10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
0 :  1
SC Braga

2 May 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Stoke
L L L W D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Stoke
2 :  0
Oldham Athletic

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  1
Valencia

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
1 :  0
Everton

10 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Stoke
0 :  1
SC Braga

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Portsmouth

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  3
Millwall
L L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Crewe Alexandra
1 :  1
Stoke

2 May 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
2 :  0
Stoke

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Stoke

6 Apr 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  0
Stoke

20 Mar 2026 - Championship

Preston North End
3 :  1
Stoke

7 Mar 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Stoke
Swansea
Swansea Last matches
W D L W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Birmingham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
1 :  0
Leganés

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  0
Udinese

21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bochum
2 :  0
Swansea

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  2
Holstein Kiel

2 May 2026 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Charlton Athletic
L W D W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Swansea
0 :  1
Birmingham

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
1 :  0
Leganés

24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  0
Udinese

18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Swansea
2 :  2
Holstein Kiel

2 May 2026 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Charlton Athletic

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Southampton
L D W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bochum
2 :  0
Swansea

25 Apr 2026 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  1
Swansea

21 Apr 2026 - Championship

QPR
1 :  2
Swansea

11 Apr 2026 - Championship

Leicester
0 :  1
Swansea

3 Apr 2026 - Championship

Sheffield United
3 :  3
Swansea

13 Mar 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Swansea

Stoke vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Stoke

33 %

Draw

33 %

Swansea

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

7 Mar 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Stoke

13 Dec 2025 - Championship

Stoke
2 :  1
Swansea

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Swansea

5 Oct 2024 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Stoke

10 Apr 2024 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Stoke

12 Dec 2023 - Championship

Stoke
1 :  1
Swansea
Stoke vs Swansea Prediction

Stoke - Swansea Key Points

  1. Stoke City are unbeaten in five home matches against Swansea.
  2. Swansea have only won once in their last 15 visits to Stoke City.
  3. Swansea lost 12 times in their 23 away matches last season.
  4. Stoke City posted two wins in their last three meetings with Swansea.
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Our Stoke vs Swansea Prediction

This is not an away game Swansea were looking forward to, especially after starting their competitive season on a losing note. The Swans are winless in their last five visits here and only managed one victory in the latest 15 trips to the Bet365 Stadium.

Such numbers will give Stoke City the confidence they need for a strong start to the Championship. A further boost will be their opening round EFL Cup win over Oldham. With this in mind, our prediction for Stoke City v Swansea is that Stoke City wins.

Prediction :

 

Stoke wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.