Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar in Bundesliga Predictions
Two teams starting this round just above the relegation zone in Bundesliga will battle it out in a matchday 26 meeting on Friday, as St. Pauli host Hoffenheim. This match at the Millerntor-Stadion between the 15th-placed Kiezkicker and the 13th-placed Die Kraichgauer comes with our prediction of at least a point for the visitors.
St. Pauli have 22 points and only two points above the relegation play-off spot. Hoffenheim have 26 points and moved six points away from the danger spots.
St. Pauli drew 1-1 away at Wolfsburg for their first goal in five matches. They lost four matches in a row before that draw, each without scoring a goal. They could get dragged into the relegation battle, as home form has been equally poor.
At this venue. St. Pauli lost four of their last six league matches, winning only once. Hoffenheim have slowly moved away from the relegation zone and come here on the back of a four-game unbeaten run.
That included two wins and draws each, but Hoffenheim’s recent away form could give jitters to the home side. Hoffenheim have won three of their last four away league matches and will look to extend their impressive record on this trip.
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The Best Betting Odds for St. Pauli v Hoffenheim Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.25 | 3.25 | 3.3 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
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2.6 | 2.3 | 3.4 |
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2.33 | 3.44 | 3.4 |
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2.33 | 3.44 | 3.4 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim match is: draw or Hoffenheim wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2025 between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.89% for a win of St. Pauli against Hoffenheim with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim is 15.85% with odds of 3.44 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.26% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs St. Pauli with odds of 3.4 at Ladbrokes.
St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
St. Pauli Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Hoffenheim wins | 49.26% | 3.4 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 58.75% | 2 at Stake |
Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
Half-time : St. Pauli / Full-time : Hoffenheim | 20.32% | 34 at Betfair |
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Form
St. Pauli and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
14
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26 | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | -16 |
15
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25 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | -10 |
St. Pauli and Hoffenheim Last Matches

0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Jan 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
11 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
18 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
2 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
St. Pauli against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 2 - 1 - 2
Missing players

K. Mets
MidfielderJ. Sands
ForwardS. Zoller
M. Guilavogui

O. Kabak
MidfielderG. Promel
D. Samassekou
ForwardI. Bebou
A. Hlozek
Most goals and assists





St. Pauli - Hoffenheim Key Points
- St. Pauli are winless in their last six league games, losing four.
- St. Pauli lost four and drew one of their last six home league matches.
- Hoffenheim are undefeated in their last four Bundesliga matches, drawing and winning two each.
- Hoffenheim have won three of their last four away league matches, losing just once.
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Our St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim Prediction
Although St. Pauli and Hoffenheim are separated by just four points and are marginally above the relegation zone, this doesn’t loom as a crucial game. St. Pauli found the back of the net last weekend, but four defeats in a row, each without scoring, have set them back. A loss here against Hoffenheim could drag them into the relegation playoff spot. Hoffenheim have done well in recent weeks, moving away from the relegation zone. This could be another unbeaten game for the visitors, and our St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim prediction is draw or Hoffenheim wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis St. Pauli Hoffenheim
St. Pauli vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
St. Pauli wins | 2.25 | 2.25 | 0% |
Draw | 3.3 | 3.25 | -1.5% |
Hoffenheim wins | 3.1 | 3.3 | +6.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Hoffenheim is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 30.3% (-2.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the St. Pauli vs. Hoffenheim game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between St. Pauli and Hoffenheim? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Bundesliga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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