Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Sporting were among the top teams that failed to win in the opening round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. They, however, have the chance to go top of the standings when they host Vitoria Guimaraes. With three straight wins in league meetings against Vitoria, our prediction here backs Sporting to win.
Sporting will welcome a return after starting off their competitive campaign with a 2-2 draw at Estrela. It wasn’t a very encouraging opening for Sporting, who dropped points after having taken a 2-0 second-half lead.
The former champions will need a stronger performance to restore fan confidence, especially after losing to second-tier side Torreense in the cup final last season. At home in the last three matches, though, they are unbeaten.
Vitoria didn’t have a great start to the season either. Theirs was worse, as they opened the campaign with a 1-0 defeat at home against Arouca.
Failure to claim three points at home will surely occasion a dip in confidence, and that doesn’t help when facing a league giant away from home. In their last two away league matches in 2025/26, Vitoria suffered straight defeats.
Their 2-0 fall against Nacional marked a seventh away loss in nine league outings on the road. In their last visit here, Vitoria Guimaraes suffered a 5-1 defeat. Though doing badly in this fixture, Vitoria have only failed to score once.
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Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.38 | 4.9 | 7 |
|
|
1.46 | 4.92 | 7.09 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.82 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.37 | 5.15 | 7.7 |
|
|
1.43 | 4.8 | 6.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?
Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.27% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 1.46 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 23.32% with odds of 5.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 7.7 at Betwinner.
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 61.27% | 1.46 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.86% | 1.65 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score | 60% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon | 28.71% | 4.33 at Betsson |
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
18 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +11 |
|
14
|
5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 |
Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Taca de Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Taca de Portugal
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal
15 Apr 2026 - Champions League
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal
6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup
23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal
Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
J. Virginia
DefenderR. Dias
I. Fresneda
I. Ba
Z. Debast
MidfielderP. Lima
S. Andersen
Luis Guilherme
E. Felicissimo
J. Derry
R. Nel
L. Suarez
L. Furtado
J. Castillo Reyes
DefenderT. Strata
F. Dias
MidfielderL. Doucet
M. Mitrovic
M. Nogueira
Santi Verdi
A. Sidibe
T. Arcanjo
ForwardP. Ouotro
Missing players
N. Santos
Gui
Most goals and assists
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
L. Suarez
(7 Goals)
Samu
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Ndoye
(1 Goals)
, 
G. Silva
(1 Goals)
,
G. Nogueira
(1 Goals)
, 
T. Borevkovic
(1 Goals)
G. Catamo
(4 Assists)
M. Nogueira
(3 Assists)
Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points
- Both teams scored in four of these sides’ last five meetings.
- Six of Vitoria Guimaraes’ last eight away matches ended in defeat.
- Sporting are unbeaten in nine league games against Vitoria, winning all.
- Sporting scored 4+ in three of their last five meetings with Vitoria.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction
Both Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting are looking to bounce back here after negative starts to the season. This, though, doesn’t look too good for Vitoria, who are also on a poor away run, losing six of their last eight games on the road.
They also struggled in matches against Sporting, who are desperate for a return to winning ways after recent disappointments. This will be an end-to-end affair, with goals well on the menu. Our prediction for Sporting v Vitoria Guimaraes is that Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sporting Lisbon Vitoria SC Guimaraes
| Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.18 | 1.46 | +23.7% |
| Draw | 6.8 | 5.2 | -23.5% |
| Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 15 | 7.7 | -48.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 23.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 68.5% (-16.3%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
