Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
14/08/2026 15:15
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Prediction :

 

Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Sporting were among the top teams that failed to win in the opening round of the Portuguese Primeira Liga. They, however, have the chance to go top of the standings when they host Vitoria Guimaraes. With three straight wins in league meetings against Vitoria, our prediction here backs Sporting to win.

Sporting will welcome a return after starting off their competitive campaign with a 2-2 draw at Estrela. It wasn’t a very encouraging opening for Sporting, who dropped points after having taken a 2-0 second-half lead.

The former champions will need a stronger performance to restore fan confidence, especially after losing to second-tier side Torreense in the cup final last season. At home in the last three matches, though, they are unbeaten.

Vitoria didn’t have a great start to the season either. Theirs was worse, as they opened the campaign with a 1-0 defeat at home against Arouca.

Failure to claim three points at home will surely occasion a dip in confidence, and that doesn’t help when facing a league giant away from home. In their last two away league matches in 2025/26, Vitoria suffered straight defeats.

Their 2-0 fall against Nacional marked a seventh away loss in nine league outings on the road. In their last visit here, Vitoria Guimaraes suffered a 5-1 defeat. Though doing badly in this fixture, Vitoria have only failed to score once.

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Sporting Lisbon v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.23 6.2 9.8
1xbet
1.23 7 13.1
Melbet
1.21 6.85 12.5
Betwinner
1.21 6.85 12.5
22bet
1.21 6.8 12.5
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?

Our prediction for the Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/08/2026 between Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 61.67% for a win of Sporting Lisbon against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 1.26 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 23.15% with odds of 7 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 15.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs Sporting Lisbon with odds of 13.1 at 1xbet.

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form

Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 Sporting Lisbon
1 1 0 1 0 0
15 Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
L W W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Nottingham Forest

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Monaco

20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
7 :  0
Strasbourg

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Celtic

24 May 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
SCU Torreense
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Nottingham Forest

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Monaco

20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
7 :  0
Strasbourg

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Celtic

24 May 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
SCU Torreense

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Gil Vicente
W D D D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

15 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last matches
L L L D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Varzim
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
D L W W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Arouca

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  0
Rio Ave

3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
5 :  0
Tondela

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  2
Famalicao

28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
FC Alverca SAD
D W L L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Varzim
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Nottingham Forest
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
0 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sporting Lisbon

67 %

Draw

17 %

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
3.17
Goals scored
1.33
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

4 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
5 :  1
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

6 Jan 2026 - Portugal League Cup

Sporting Lisbon
1 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

23 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

3 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
4 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

21 Apr 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  0
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction

Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes last Lineups

Sporting Lisbon

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Silva
13
G. Vagiannidis
72
Quaresma
25
G. Inacio
50
R. Dias
5
S. Altimira
77
I. Doumbia
10
G. Catamo
17
R. Zalazar
58
F. Goncalves
7
F. Ioannidis
24
A. Ndoye
7
O. Camara
20
Samu
11
G. Silva
16
B. Mukendi
8
G. Nogueira
13
J. Mendes
4
O. Rivas Viondi
28
T. Lourenco De Carvalho
2
Maga
48
O. Zych

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Vitoria SC Guimaraes

Substitutes

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

D. Callai

Defender

O. Diomande

I. Fresneda

Midfielder

L. Guilherme

E. Felicissimo

J. Derry

S. Andersen

P. Barros

Forward

R. Nel

L. Suarez

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Goalkeeper

J. Castillo Reyes

L. Furtado

Defender

T. Strata

F. Dias

Midfielder

Santi Verdi

T. Arcanjo

A. Sidibe

L. Doucet

M. Mitrovic

M. Nogueira

Missing players

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Midfielder

J. Simoes

Forward

N. Santos

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Goalkeeper

Gui

Sporting Lisbon and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats in Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
Vitoria SC Guimaraes
0%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
100%
100%
Draws
0%
4
Average goals per match
1
2
Goals scored per match
0
2
Goals conceded per match
1
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
0%

Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points

  1. Both teams scored in four of these sides’ last five meetings.
  2. Six of Vitoria Guimaraes’ last eight away matches ended in defeat.
  3. Sporting are unbeaten in nine league games against Vitoria, winning all.
  4. Sporting scored 4+ in three of their last five meetings with Vitoria.
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Our Sporting Lisbon vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction

Both Vitoria Guimaraes and Sporting are looking to bounce back here after negative starts to the season. This, though, doesn’t look too good for Vitoria, who are also on a poor away run, losing six of their last eight games on the road.

They also struggled in matches against Sporting, who are desperate for a return to winning ways after recent disappointments. This will be an end-to-end affair, with goals well on the menu. Our prediction for Sporting v Vitoria Guimaraes is that Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.