England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Championship Predictions
Southampton’s relegation from the Premier League and Portsmouth’s promotion from the third tier two seasons ago mean we have the south coast derby once again! The two rivals meet in the Championship, and the first of that is set for this Sunday, hosted by Southampton at St. Mary’s. As usual, here at Sportytrader, we break it down for you, so read on for our prediction of the big match.
Playing in different leagues meant this encounter could only be limited to cup games. The last such happened in 2019 in the League Cup when a fired-up Southampton won 4-0 at Fratton Park. To replicate that performance, Southampton will need a shift, following a slow start to the season.
On their part, Portsmouth have had a much better start to the season compared to last season. They are eighth, with seven points, two ahead of Southampton, who enter the weekend placed 13th. The last time these two sides faced off, they were operating from three leagues apart, and Southampton had financial muscle. Now they are (almost) at par, and this will be a tantalizing watch.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Portsmouth Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.71 | 3.8 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.7 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.73 | 3.7 | 4.4 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.95 | 4.7 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Portsmouth?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Portsmouth match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/09/2025 between Southampton and Portsmouth in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.07% for a win of Southampton against Portsmouth with odds of 1.75 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Portsmouth is 28.32% with odds of 3.95 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Portsmouth vs Southampton with odds of 5 at Betfred.
Southampton vs Portsmouth Form
Southampton and Portsmouth's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
|
14
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
Southampton and Portsmouth Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
10 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Southampton vs Portsmouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Sep 2019 - Carabao Cup
Southampton - Portsmouth: Form Analysis
At the start of the season Southampton were among the teams tipped as favorites for promotion. While it is still too early to judge, the Saints haven't shown much to inspire confidence.
The changes that have happened at the club have also eroded the belief, with a number of top players leaving, either for topflight teams or abroad. That said, the hosts have managed just one win in their opening four league matches.
That win was on the opening day, a 2-1 outcome against Wrexham, and they haven't been able to build on it. Among those three matches that have followed was a 2-1 home defeat by Stoke City.
Southampton are averaging 10 shots inside the box per match, while Portsmouth are at 5.75.
Portsmouth will be following these proceedings at Southampton closely as they plot to emulate Stoke City by winning at St. Mary’s.
Visiting fans will also demand revenge for the 4-0 loss in 2019, and a win in their last game will offer the psychological boost needed.
Pompey carry into this match a four-game unbeaten run away from home in the Championship. They will be banking on that as well as the fact they have a more cohesive squad, having not had as many departures as Southampton.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Southampton vs Portsmouth last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
Welington
MidfielderW. Smallbone
ForwardS. Edozie
M. Pack
ForwardH. Blair
C. Lang
Southampton & Portsmouth Squad Analysis
One thing to expect in this game is that tackles will fly, just like in any derby. This brings to mind Shea Charles, who has already been booked twice after averaging 2.3 fouls per game.
This could rise, being a derby and fired up by home fans. The defensive midfielder will likely brush shoulders with Colby Bishop, who has developed a profile for drawing fouls from opponents.
If you are betting on a player to be carded, you may want to have Charles on the list.
Ryan Manning, not originally a forward, is Southampton’s top scorer with two goals.
Bishop’s threat isn’t just about drawing fouls but also about attacking. He comes into this game with an xG rating of 2.1. Working with midfielder John Swift, who averages accurate passes at 45.1 per 90 minutes, Bishop might be a beneficiary of an assist or two.
Swift is, however, likely to be a liability to the team too, as his three yellow cards so far have come from a 1.7 rating for fouls committed per 90.
Pompey are likely to build their game around Adrian Segesic, who has created eight chances in the four matches, averaged 2.5 shots per game, and scored twice.
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Portsmouth
R. Manning
(2 Goals)
, 
C. Archer
(2 Goals)
A. Segecic
(2 Goals)
R. Fraser
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Fernandes
(1 Assists)
F. Bianchini
(1 Assists)
,
J. Murphy
(1 Assists)
,
J. Swift
(1 Assists)
Southampton - Portsmouth Key Points
- Southampton have two clean sheets only in their opening six matches.
- Southampton’s two matches at home saw both teams score.
- Portsmouth scored in their last four away matches.
- Both teams scored the last four times Southampton hosted this game.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Southampton vs Portsmouth Prediction
These teams haven't met for six years, and to the teams, it isn't just a game. Bragging rights are at stake here, and the rivalry will be reignited. We expect to see goals, just as it has been the case in these teams’ scoring returns in the league thus far.
Portsmouth scored in their last four away matches, and Southampton’s last two home matches had both teams score. This match looks good on the goals market. Our prediction for Southampton v Portsmouth is for both teams to score.
Southampton vs Portsmouth - Other Interesting Predictions
Game to end in a draw
Southampton have had a tough start to life in the second tier, and they hope to inject some stability into their game. Portsmouth will not give in easily even if they are playing away from home. Pompey are actually unbeaten away from home in the last four matches. Based on such stats, our second prediction is for the game to end in a draw.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Southampton vs. Portsmouth game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Southampton and Portsmouth? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Southampton vs Portsmouth match : Frequently asked questions
The Southampton v. Portsmouth match will be hosted at St. Mary’s Stadium.
The Southampton v Portsmouth match is scheduled for Sunday, 14th September.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
