Southampton vs Millwall Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Championship Predictions
We head to St. Mary's Stadium where Southampton will take on Millwall in the Championship on Saturday afternoon. The Lions have won both league games this season, and our prediction is that they will take something from this one.
Southampton will be hoping to bounce back to winning ways here after bowing out of the Carabao Cup in a 4-1 defeat to West Ham United at this venue on Tuesday night.
The Saints have made a mixed start to the league season, losing their opening match 2-1 to Watford before notching up a solid 3-1 victory over Stoke City last weekend.
The hosts have been very tough to get the better of at home in recent times, currently unbeaten in their last 12 league games on home soil dating back to January 17 against Hull.
Meanwhile, Millwall booked their spot in the third round of the EFL Cup with wins over Queens Park Rangers (first round) and a 1-0 victory over Cambridge United earlier this week (R2).
The Lions have also made a very promising start to their league season, winning both games against Norwich and Bristol City. They have now kept clean sheets in each of their last three matches in all competitions.
The visitors have won their three away games in all competitions this term and are unbeaten in their last 13 competitive matches on the road dating back to January 20.
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Southampton v Millwall Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.97 | 3.7 | 3.55 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.87 | 3.81 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.64 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.78 | 3.54 |
|
|
1.92 | 3.78 | 3.72 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Millwall match is: draw or Millwall.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2026 between Southampton and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.59% for a win of Southampton against Millwall with odds of 2.01 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Millwall is 27.27% with odds of 3.87 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Southampton with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
Southampton - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 43.59% | 2.01 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.13% | 2.3 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton | 25.11% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Southampton vs Millwall Form
Southampton and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
14 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +1 |
|
11
|
13 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 |
Southampton and Millwall Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
12 May 2026 - Championship
28 Apr 2026 - Championship
21 Apr 2026 - Championship
14 Apr 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 May 2026 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
6 Apr 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Southampton vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Jan 2026 - Championship
29 Nov 2025 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Feb 2024 - Championship
4 Nov 2023 - Championship
Southampton against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. Long
DefenderWelington
J. Stephens
T. Fellows
R. Akachukwu
J. Ward Prowse
S. Edozie
L. Dobbin
D. Mubama
J. Coleman
DefenderD. Batth
E. Baggott
J. Osei-Tutu
MidfielderL. Cundle
D. Kelly
A. Massey
ForwardZ. Lovelace
L. Dykes
Missing players
C. Jander
M. Ivanovic
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Millwall
C. Larin
(7 Goals)
L. Dykes
(4 Goals)
F. Azaz
(5 Assists)
J. Metcalfe
(2 Assists)
,
J. Cooper
(2 Assists)
, 
C. Neghli
(2 Assists)
Southampton - Millwall Key Points
- Southampton have lost two of their last three games in all competitions.
- Southampton have only kept one clean sheet in their last eight home games.
- Millwall have won all four of their matches in all competitions this season.
- Millwall have kept clean sheets in their last three matches.
- Millwall are unbeaten in their last 13 competitive away games.
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Our Southampton vs Millwall Prediction
Southampton are the favourites in this match, but they have been conceding cheaply this season and have only managed to keep a single clean sheet in their last eight games at St. Mary’s Stadium.
Millwall have made an excellent start to the season, winning all four of their games while keeping clean sheets in their last three. The Lions are also unbeaten in their last three matches at this venue, and we fancy them to take something from this one. Our Southampton vs Millwall prediction is draw or Millwall.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Millwall
| Southampton vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 2 | 2.01 | +0.5% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.87 | +6.0% |
| Millwall wins | 4.13 | 3.81 | -7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Southampton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 50.0% and is now 49.8% (-0.2%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Southampton vs. Millwall game!
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Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
