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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Southampton
27/09/2025 10:00
Middlesbrough

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins the match

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions

Middlesbrough have shown early ambitions for automatic promotion to the Premier League. Next up on their championship assignments is a game against Southampton. We have a prediction for the match.

Southampton are coming off a tough run; they have only managed three wins in their nine matches across all competitions. The last two in that period ended in defeat.

The Saints put up a gallant battle against Liverpool in the League Cup last time out, but it all ended in a 2-1 defeat. That marked a fourth winless outing, and the fact that they haven't beaten Middlesbrough in the last two matches doesn’t sit well with their promotion ambitions. 

Middlesbrough’s time after Michael Carrick looks bright. Rob Edwards is doing well, and the visitors can dare to dream of promotion.

Their only loss this season was in the League Cup, and they will be happy to put all their focus now on the league. By the time they get to face Southampton, Boro will have rested a whole week, enhancing their chances of claiming three points.

A 2-1 victory at home against West Brom last time out sent them to 16 points, opening a four-point gap. While Middlesbrough made this leap, each of the three teams below them dropped points.

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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Middlesbrough Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.3 3.4 2.85
Betfred
2.38 3.4 3
William Hill
2.3 3.3 2.88
Betway
2.3 3.4 2.88
Unibet
2.3 3.55 2.88
Check all Southampton vs Middlesbrough odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Middlesbrough?

Our prediction for the Southampton vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Southampton and Middlesbrough in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.02% for a win of Southampton against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.38 at Betfred.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Middlesbrough is 34.69% with odds of 3.58 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Southampton with odds of 3.13 at Melbet.

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Form

Southampton and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
16 6 5 1 0 7
19
Southampton
Southampton
6 6 1 3 2 -2

Southampton and Middlesbrough Last Matches

Southampton
Southampton Last matches
L W D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

20 Sep 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  1
Southampton

14 Sep 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Portsmouth

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Southampton

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Norwich
0 :  3
Southampton

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke
L W D W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Sep 2025 - Championship

Southampton
0 :  0
Portsmouth

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  2
Stoke

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Southampton
2 :  1
Wrexham

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
2 :  2
Brighton

18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Southampton
1 :  0
Valenciennes

25 May 2025 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  2
Arsenal
W D W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool
2 :  1
Southampton

20 Sep 2025 - Championship

Hull
3 :  1
Southampton

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Southampton

26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Norwich
0 :  3
Southampton

17 Aug 2025 - Championship

Ipswich Town
1 :  1
Southampton

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Northampton Town
0 :  1
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough Last matches
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
West Brom

13 Sep 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sheffield United

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  4
Doncaster
D D W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sep 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
West Brom

30 Aug 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Sheffield United

12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
0 :  4
Doncaster

9 Aug 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Swansea

2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Middlesbrough
2 :  2
La Coruna

26 Apr 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  0
Norwich
L D D W W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sep 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

23 Aug 2025 - Championship

Norwich
1 :  2
Middlesbrough

16 Aug 2025 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  3
Middlesbrough

30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Hartlepool
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Rangers
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Bradford City FC
2 :  0
Middlesbrough

Southampton vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Southampton

50 %

Draw

25 %

Middlesbrough

25 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.25
Total goals
75%
BTTS
1.25
Goals scored (home team)
1
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Southampton
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

23 Sep 2023 - Championship

Middlesbrough
2 :  1
Southampton

13 May 2017 - Premier League

Middlesbrough
1 :  2
Southampton

11 Dec 2016 - Premier League

Southampton
1 :  0
Middlesbrough
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Missing players

Southampton
Southampton
Defender

Welington

Forward

S. Edozie

Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
Goalkeeper

S. Dieng

Defender

D. Fry

G. Edmundson

Midfielder

R. McGree

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Southampton
CD Huachipato Middlesbrough
Top Goalscorer
England C. Archer (2 Goals)
Rep. of Ireland R. Manning (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Scotland T. Conway (2 Goals)
Best assists
Scotland R. Fraser (1 Assists)
Portugal M. Fernandes (1 Assists)
Best assists
England H. Hackney (2 Assists)
England M. Whittaker (2 Assists)

Southampton and Middlesbrough Stats in Championship

Southampton
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
17%
Wins
83%
50%
Draw
17%
33%
Losses
0%
2.67
Total goals per match
2.5
1.17
Goals scored per match
1.83
1.5
Goals conceded per match
0.67
67%
Over 2.5
67%
33%
Under 2.5
33%
83%
BTTS
50%
17%
Clean Sheet
50%

Southampton - Middlesbrough Key Points

  1. Middlesbrough have five wins in six matches.
  2. Southampton are coming off two straight defeats.
  3. Southampton managed just three wins in their last nine matches.
  4. Middlesbrough haven't lost to Southampton in the last two meetings.
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Our Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Middlesbrough have all working in their favor going into this game. They are well rested, having had no midweek activity, and are undefeated so far in the league this season. In beating West Bromwich Albion last time out, Middlesbrough slowed down a direct competitor for promotion and have the chance to slow another one here.

Southampton have had a poor start to the campaign, and this will not be any easier. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Southampton is that Middlesbrough wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Middlesbrough wins the match

 
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Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction
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