England - Championship
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Championship Predictions
Middlesbrough have shown early ambitions for automatic promotion to the Premier League. Next up on their championship assignments is a game against Southampton. We have a prediction for the match.
Southampton are coming off a tough run; they have only managed three wins in their nine matches across all competitions. The last two in that period ended in defeat.
The Saints put up a gallant battle against Liverpool in the League Cup last time out, but it all ended in a 2-1 defeat. That marked a fourth winless outing, and the fact that they haven't beaten Middlesbrough in the last two matches doesn’t sit well with their promotion ambitions.
Middlesbrough’s time after Michael Carrick looks bright. Rob Edwards is doing well, and the visitors can dare to dream of promotion.
Their only loss this season was in the League Cup, and they will be happy to put all their focus now on the league. By the time they get to face Southampton, Boro will have rested a whole week, enhancing their chances of claiming three points.
A 2-1 victory at home against West Brom last time out sent them to 16 points, opening a four-point gap. While Middlesbrough made this leap, each of the three teams below them dropped points.
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The Best Betting Odds for Southampton v Middlesbrough Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.4 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.25 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.25 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.45 | 2.95 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Southampton and Middlesbrough?
Our prediction for the Southampton vs Middlesbrough match is: Middlesbrough wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 27/09/2025 between Southampton and Middlesbrough in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.15% for a win of Southampton against Middlesbrough with odds of 2.4 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Southampton vs Middlesbrough is 34.73% with odds of 3.58 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Middlesbrough vs Southampton with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
Southampton - Middlesbrough Prediction and Best Odds:
| Southampton Middlesbrough Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough wins | 35.12% | 3.35 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.71% | 1.91 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 67.71% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Middlesbrough | 12.33% | 7.5 at Betfair |
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Form
Southampton and Middlesbrough's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
29 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
|
17
|
18 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | -3 |
Southampton and Middlesbrough Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
20 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Championship
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Championship
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Southampton vs Middlesbrough Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
25 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Mar 2024 - Championship
23 Sept 2023 - Championship
13 May 2017 - Premier League
11 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Southampton against Middlesbrough Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
Welington
ForwardS. Edozie
S. Dieng
DefenderD. Lenihan
MidfielderR. McGree
Most goals and assists
Southampton
Middlesbrough
A. Armstrong
(5 Goals)
H. Hackney
(3 Goals)
R. Stewart
(2 Assists)
C. Brittain
(3 Assists)
Southampton - Middlesbrough Key Points
- Middlesbrough have five wins in six matches.
- Southampton are coming off two straight defeats.
- Southampton managed just three wins in their last nine matches.
- Middlesbrough haven't lost to Southampton in the last two meetings.
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Our Southampton vs Middlesbrough Prediction
Middlesbrough have all working in their favor going into this game. They are well rested, having had no midweek activity, and are undefeated so far in the league this season. In beating West Bromwich Albion last time out, Middlesbrough slowed down a direct competitor for promotion and have the chance to slow another one here.
Southampton have had a poor start to the campaign, and this will not be any easier. Our prediction for Middlesbrough v Southampton is that Middlesbrough wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Southampton Middlesbrough
| Southampton vs Middlesbrough | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 2.1 | 2.2 | +4.8% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.4 | 0% |
| Middlesbrough wins | 3.25 | 3 | -7.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Middlesbrough is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.8% and is now 33.3% (2.6%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Southampton vs. Middlesbrough game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Southampton and Middlesbrough when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
