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by Ita Emmanuel in World Cup Predictions
Group A matchday eight fixture in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Qualifier (CAF) will see Sierra Leone host Ethiopia on Tuesday. Sierra Leone are ranked third with nine points, while Ethiopia sit fifth with six points. Both teams can boost their chances of reaching the playoffs with a win. Here is our prediction for the match.
Sierra Leone missed a chance to narrow the gap on second-placed Burkina Faso to three points following a 1-1 draw away against Guinea-Bissau in their last match. Brest winger Mama Baldé scored in the 74th minute to cancel out the visitors' first-half lead.
They have won two of their seven matches in the group, drawing three and losing two. This includes two consecutive wins in their recent World Cup Qualifiers home fixtures. The Leone Stars will look to secure their third straight home victory in the competition against Ethiopia.
Ethiopia will enter this match second from bottom with six points. Mesay Teferi's side have a slim chance of reaching the playoffs. A run of one win, three draws and three defeats has seen them fall eight points behind second-place.
Notably, a win against Sierra Leone could boost their slender hopes of a playoff finish. They lost their last match 2-0 against group leaders Egypt and are winless in their three away fixtures in the competition.
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The Best Betting Odds for Sierra Leone v Ethiopia Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.95 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
2.05 | 3 | 3.75 |
|
|
2 | 3.1 | 4 |
|
|
1.97 | 3.12 | 4.1 |
|
|
1.88 | 2.97 | 3.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sierra Leone and Ethiopia?
Our prediction for the Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia match is: Sierra Leone win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Sierra Leone and Ethiopia in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.98% for a win of Sierra Leone against Ethiopia with odds of 2.37 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia is 39.69% with odds of 3.22 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Ethiopia vs Sierra Leone with odds of 4.1 at Vbet.
Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia Form
Sierra Leone and Ethiopia's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
|
5
|
6 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 |
Sierra Leone and Ethiopia Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
5 Jun 2024 - World Cup
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Sep 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
9 Jun 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
15 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Sierra Leone - Ethiopia Key Points
- Sierra Leone are unbeaten in their last two matches against Ethiopia.
- Sierra Leone have won their last two FIFA World Cup Qualifiers home fixtures.
- Ethiopia are winless in six of their seven FIFA World Cup Qualifiers matches.
- Ethiopia are winless in their three FIFA World Cup Qualifiers away matches.
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Our Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia Prediction
It will be a cracker as these two teams lock horns on Tuesday. While an automatic qualification spot is out of reach for both, they still have a possible playoff spot to fight for. We expect a closely contested match.
However, Ethiopia have struggled in the World Cup Qualifiers, going winless in six of their seven matches. They are also winless in their three away fixtures in the competition. Sierra Leone have won their two recent World Cup Qualifiers home matches and will leverage home advantage to ace this tie. Our Sierra Leone vs Ethiopia prediction is Sierra Leone win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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