Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Conference League Predictions
AZ Alkmaar will travel to Krakow, the venue of their next outing, the UEFA Conference League quarter-final against Shakhtar Donetsk. This first leg meeting also marks the third time the two teams face off in competitive action. Read on for our prediction of the match.
AZ have the head-to-head advantage in this encounter, having won both earlier meetings with Shakhtar. Having lost just three of their last 15 matches in Europe, the Dutch side will go into this encounter confident of taking the first leg lead. Shakhtar can’t play in Ukraine, and that has affected their progress in Europe.
Across their last six continental matches, Shakhtar have posted just one win, losing twice and drawing three. To reach the last eight, Shakhtar saw off Lech Poznan 4-3 on aggregate in the last round, though they lost at home. AZ, on their part, saw off Sparta Prague 6-1. The winner here is drawn to face Crystal Palace or Fiorentina in the semis.
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Shakhtar Donetsk v AZ Alkmaar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.11 | 3.5 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.43 | 3.62 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.51 | 3.53 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.3 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.1 | 3.35 | 3.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Shakhtar Donetsk and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar match is: AZ Alkmaar wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/04/2026 between Shakhtar Donetsk and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.72% for a win of Shakhtar Donetsk against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 2.25 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar is 6.13% with odds of 3.51 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.15% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Shakhtar Donetsk with odds of 3.7 at Stake.
Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Shakhtar Donetsk AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 64.72% | 2.25 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.36% | 2.02 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 66.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Shakhtar Donetsk | 26.44% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Shakhtar Donetsk and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
6 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
22 Feb 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
5 Feb 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
6 Mar 2026 - Ukrainian Premier League
11 Dec 2025 - Conference League
6 Dec 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
27 Nov 2025 - Conference League
22 Nov 2025 - Ukrainian Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
4 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar: Form Analysis
Shakhtar had the perfect warm-up for their home match against AZ, as they beat Rukh Lviv 3-0. The win marked a return to winning ways, having earlier lost to Lech Poznan in the round of 16 return leg. One area that Shakhtar will pride themselves on going into this game is their attack.
They only failed to score once in the last 10 games. This will be crucial, especially as the Ukrainians try to reach their first semifinal in six years. Winning six of their last seven matches places them on a confident pedestal.
Shakhtar and AZ last faced off in 2005, AZ winning both legs.
AZ will also come here keen on taking a positive step towards progressing in the competition. They saw off Fortuna Sittard 2-0, recovering from an earlier defeat by Groningen to win the ninth of their last 14 matches in all competitions.
However, It isn’t all smooth at the visitors’ stable, especially on the road. They have suffered four defeats in their last five away matches and will hope to improve on that. One of the losses in that run was their visit to Yerevan where they fell 1-0 to Noah.
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Shakhtar Donetsk against AZ Alkmaar Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
D. Tvardovskyi
DefenderY. Konoplya
Irakli Azarov
Marlon
MidfielderL. Ferreira
M. Shved
Y. Nazaryna
A. Bondarenko
L. Traore
Eguinaldo
Luca Meirelles
P. Obah
D. Deen
H. Verhulst
DefenderM. Chavez
E. Dijkstra
R. Daal
M. Dekker
R. Ichihara
MidfielderM. Sin
K. Boogaard
ForwardB. Kovacs
M. Meerdink
A. Oufkir
Missing players
R. Owusu Oduro
DefenderD. Kasius
MidfielderJ. Clasie
I. Jensen
ForwardL. Zeefuik
Shakhtar Donetsk & AZ Alkmaar Squad Analysis
While Shakhtar haven’t struggled to score goals, their forward players have. In league matches, Prosper Oba, Eguinaldo, and Lassina Traoré have done well, with a combined G/A of 22. However, they are struggling in Europe, as none of them has found the back of the net in Europe.
It is a concern, and if there is a player fans will be hoping hits the right chords, it has to be Eguinaldo, as the team rarely loses when he scores. The last 14 times he got a goal, Shakhtar either won or drew.
Shakhtar’s Alaa Ghram was sent off last time out and serves his suspension in this game.
AZ will have a lot of hopes placed on Sven Mijnans. The Dutch midfielder has been their goal machine with 16 goals across all competitions. Of the goals, he managed six in this tournament, and he will seek to extend that. The visitors are, however, going to be without Isak Jensen, who is suspended after his booking in the Sparta Prague game.
Most goals and assists
Shakhtar Donetsk
AZ Alkmaar
Luca Meirelles
(3 Goals)
,
Alisson
(3 Goals)
S. Mijnans
(6 Goals)
K. Elias
(4 Assists)
K. Smit
(4 Assists)
Shakhtar Donetsk - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- AZ have posted nine wins in their last 14 matches.
- Shakhtar lost two of their last four home matches in Europe.
- AZ have won 11 of their last 15 matches in Europe.
- AZ beat Shakhtar in their previous two meetings.
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Our Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Playing home matches away from home has been Shakhtar’s biggest headache. Here’s another such match, and there is a likelihood that the Ukrainian side will fall. In their last six matches at home in Europe, Shakhtar managed just one win, drawing twice.
While AZ Alkmaar haven't had a superb record on the road, they should be able to extend their dominance against Shakhtar. The Dutch have a superb run in Europe, and our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk v AZ Alkmaar is that AZ Alkmaar wins.
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar Alternative Predictions
BTTS
AZ Alkmaar failed to score in only two of their last 10 matches and seven times in those 10 matches, they scored two or more goals. Heading into this match, Shakhtar have also had good numbers in attack and will be confident of extending their current run. The hosts have only failed to score once in 10 games. So, both teams scoring is a possibility here and, thus, our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Shakhtar Donetsk AZ Alkmaar
| Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shakhtar Donetsk wins | 2.15 | 2.25 | +4.7% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.51 | +0.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 3.1 | 3.7 | +19.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Shakhtar Donetsk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 44.4% (-2.1%)
Shakhtar Donetsk vs AZ Alkmaar - FAQs
The Shakhtar v AZ Alkmaar match will be played on Thursday, 9th April.
The Shakhtar v AZ Alkmaar match will be played at the Synerise Arena—Stadion Miejski.
The Shakhtar v AZ Alkmaar match will be aired through Megogo for Ukrainian viewers and Ziggo Sport for Dutch followers. On SportyTrader, you may find the match updates for this and more Conference League fixtures.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
