Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Sevilla have another chance at enhancing their survival chances in La Liga when they take on Real Sociedad. This match is more important to 18th-placed Sevilla than Sociedad, who already have a spot in Europe. Read on for our prediction.
Sevilla dropped into the relegation zone after a 2-1 loss to Osasuna last time out, coupled with other results that didn’t favor them. Recent form hasn’t had much to suggest Sevilla could rise from the bottom three.
They are on five defeats in six outings, and though they beat Atletico Madrid in their last home game, back-to-back home wins are among the team’s rarities. Sevilla last won consecutive home league games in 2024.
Real Sociedad have a spot in the Europa League but could still achieve more with a top-five finish. Erreala are not too far from that and will try to go for it in the remaining matches.
That spells danger for Sevilla, who have lost twice in the last three home games against Sociedad. The hosts also lost 2-1 in the reverse meeting, in what was Sociedad’s fifth win in seven matches against Sevilla.
Real Sociedad lost a 3-1 away lead last time out to draw 3-3 with Rayo Vallecano. They are still winless since their Copa del Rey triumph.
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Sevilla v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.35 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.37 | 3.22 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.28 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.2 | 3.05 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Real Sociedad?
Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Real Sociedad match is: Real Sociedad wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2026 between Sevilla and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.43% for a win of Sevilla against Real Sociedad with odds of 2.55 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Real Sociedad is 32.41% with odds of 3.41 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Sevilla with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
Sevilla - Real Sociedad Prediction and Best Odds:
| Sevilla Real Sociedad Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sevilla wins | 38.43% | 2.55 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.21% | 2.15 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 74.17% | |
| Half-time: Real Sociedad / Full-time: Sevilla | 13.94% | 30 at LSbet |
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Form
Sevilla and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
46 | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
|
13
|
43 | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | -14 |
Sevilla and Real Sociedad Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
24 Jan 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2026 - Copa del Rey
21 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
18 Apr 2026 - Copa del Rey
20 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
Sevilla against Real Sociedad Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
O. Nyland
DefenderT. Nianzou
Juanlu
C. Azpilicueta
MidfielderOso
N. Guillen
B. Mendy
J. Jordan
A. Januzaj
ForwardA. Adams
Peque
A. Sanchez
U. Marrero
A. Fraga
DefenderA. Munoz
A. Elustondo
MidfielderT. Kubo
L. Sucic
A. Zakharyan
Wesley
Y. Herrera
B. Mendez
ForwardO. Oskarsson
Missing players
Marcao
MidfielderD. Sow
M. Bueno
A. Odriozola
I. Ruperez Urtasun
MidfielderI. Zubeldia
ForwardJ. Karrikaburu
Most goals and assists
Sevilla
Real Sociedad
A. Adams
(10 Goals)
M. Oyarzabal
(15 Goals)
R. Vargas
(6 Assists)
S. Gomez
(5 Assists)
Sevilla - Real Sociedad Key Points
- Away to Sevilla, Real Sociedad won two of the last three meetings.
- Sevilla have suffered five defeats in their last six matches in La Liga.
- Across their last 18 matches, Sevilla won just three and lost 10 times.
- Real Sociedad have beaten Sevilla five times in the last seven meetings.
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Our Sevilla vs Real Sociedad Prediction
Two sides that haven’t won much recently are set to face off here as the league enters the latter stages. There’s still plenty to play for, and Sevilla will be hoping to spark a late turnaround to stave off relegation. That calls for improvement both in their performances and head-to-head records against Sociedad.
Not much is working for them at the moment, and the visitors arrive here a more confident side. Real Sociedad won twice in their last three visits here and have an upper hand. Our prediction for Sevilla v Real Sociedad is that Real Sociedad wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Real Sociedad
| Sevilla vs Real Sociedad | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla wins | 2.4 | 2.55 | +6.2% |
| Draw | 3.62 | 3.41 | -5.8% |
| Real Sociedad wins | 3.1 | 3.15 | +1.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sevilla is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 39.2% (-2.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
