Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Nella Wagah | in LaLiga Predictions
Sevilla have just the right opponent to start their La Liga season with – Rayo Vallecano. Hosting this match, Sevilla have the upper hand, having won 13 of their 21 meetings. That run backs our prediction for Sevilla’s good start to the campaign.
In the last two seasons the hosts have flirted with relegation, only surviving in the latter stages. In 2025/26 they ultimately managed to secure their 26th season in La Liga.
This time they will hope to do things differently, and a win here would pass a strong statement of intent. Their recent home matches against Rayo have been closely contested, each winning once in the last four, with two drawn, but Sevilla will be confident of edging their visitors.
Rayo will not be easy to face, though, as they look to address their failures last season. Key among them will be missing a European football place by a single point despite securing eighth spot.
They would also go on to lose in the Europa Conference League final. Ending the season unbeaten in seven La Liga games (3D, 4W), however, offers some consolation.
There is also some hope to come from the fact Rayo won each of their matchday one fixtures in the last three seasons. Under new manager Benat San Jose, away fans will expect a continuation of this run.
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Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.35 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
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2.39 | 3.33 | 3.37 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.24 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.24 |
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2.3 | 3.2 | 3.24 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano?
Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2026 between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.71% for a win of Sevilla against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.39 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano is 11.65% with odds of 3.33 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Form
Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
4 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 May 2026 - Conference League
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 May 2026 - Conference League
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
7 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
Missing players
Marcao
ForwardA. Gonzales
L. Felipe
Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano Key Points
- Rayo are unbeaten in the last three opening day matches.
- Sevilla are winless in three of four opening day games.
- Rayo drew six of their last 11 league matches played on Saturdays.
- The last four meetings between these teams hosted by Sevilla recorded two draws.
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Our Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction
Sevilla have an exceptional run against Rayo Vallecano and will be out to keep this going as they embark on a fresh campaign. However, it hasn’t always been smooth for the hosts in the last few meetings with Rayo. The past four home matches have been closely contested with two ending in draws.
Given that Rayo have a strong record in opening day matches, we could see a share of the spoils here. Our prediction for Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano is for a draw.
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