Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Sevilla
15/08/2026 15:30
Rayo Vallecano

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Nella Wagah | in LaLiga Predictions

Sevilla have just the right opponent to start their La Liga season with – Rayo Vallecano. Hosting this match, Sevilla have the upper hand, having won 13 of their 21 meetings. That run backs our prediction for Sevilla’s good start to the campaign.

In the last two seasons the hosts have flirted with relegation, only surviving in the latter stages. In 2025/26 they ultimately managed to secure their 26th season in La Liga.

This time they will hope to do things differently, and a win here would pass a strong statement of intent. Their recent home matches against Rayo have been closely contested, each winning once in the last four, with two drawn, but Sevilla will be confident of edging their visitors.

Rayo will not be easy to face, though, as they look to address their failures last season. Key among them will be missing a European football place by a single point despite securing eighth spot.

They would also go on to lose in the Europa Conference League final. Ending the season unbeaten in seven La Liga games (3D, 4W), however, offers some consolation.

There is also some hope to come from the fact Rayo won each of their matchday one fixtures in the last three seasons. Under new manager Benat San Jose, away fans will expect a continuation of this run.

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Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.35 3.2 3.3
1xbet
2.39 3.33 3.37
Melbet
2.3 3.2 3.24
Betwinner
2.3 3.2 3.24
22bet
2.3 3.2 3.24
Check all Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano?

Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/08/2026 between Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.71% for a win of Sevilla against Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.39 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano is 11.65% with odds of 3.33 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Form

Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano Last Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla Last matches
L D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Sevilla

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Utrecht
0 :  1
Sevilla

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Sevilla

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
2 :  1
AD Ceuta

23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Córdoba
0 :  0
Sevilla

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KS Cracovia Krakow
1 :  0
Sevilla
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
2 :  1
AD Ceuta

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sevilla
1 :  0
Juventud Torremolinos CF

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Real Madrid

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Espanyol

4 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Atletico Madrid
L L D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  1
Sevilla

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Utrecht
0 :  1
Sevilla

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  2
Sevilla

23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Córdoba
0 :  0
Sevilla

19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

KS Cracovia Krakow
1 :  0
Sevilla

23 May 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
1 :  0
Sevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Last matches
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
2 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

27 May 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

23 May 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Rayo Vallecano
W W D W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Villarreal

11 May 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Girona

30 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Strasbourg

26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Sociedad

23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Espanyol

9 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  0
AEK Athens
W L L L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
2 :  3
Rayo Vallecano

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Feyenoord
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Heart Of Midlothian FC
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

27 May 2026 - Conference League

Crystal Palace
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

23 May 2026 - LaLiga

Alavés
1 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sevilla

50 %

Draw

50 %

Rayo Vallecano

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored
0.83
Goals conceded
33.33%
Over 2.5
66.67%
Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

28 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Sevilla

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

5 Feb 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  2
Sevilla

7 Oct 2023 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  2
Rayo Vallecano
Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Missing players

Sevilla
Sevilla
Defender

Marcao

Forward

A. Gonzales

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Defender

L. Felipe

Sevilla - Rayo Vallecano Key Points

  1. Rayo are unbeaten in the last three opening day matches.
  2. Sevilla are winless in three of four opening day games.
  3. Rayo drew six of their last 11 league matches played on Saturdays.
  4. The last four meetings between these teams hosted by Sevilla recorded two draws.
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Our Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction

Sevilla have an exceptional run against Rayo Vallecano and will be out to keep this going as they embark on a fresh campaign. However, it hasn’t always been smooth for the hosts in the last few meetings with Rayo. The past four home matches have been closely contested with two ending in draws.

Given that Rayo have a strong record in opening day matches, we could see a share of the spoils here. Our prediction for Sevilla v Rayo Vallecano is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.