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Sevilla vs Leganés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Sevilla
04/05/2025 10:15
Leganés

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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 by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions

A cracking relegation six-pointer awaits us in La Liga as Sunday’s Matchday 34 fixture between Sevilla and Leganes promises an intriguing battle. This match at Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium between the 15th-placed Los Nervionenses and the 19th-placed Los Pepineros comes with our prediction of under 2.5 goals.

Sevilla started this round with 37 points and a five-point buffer to the relegation zone. Leganes have 30 points and are four points behind the safety zone.

A 1-0 away loss at Osasuna last weekend extended Sevilla’s winless run in the league to six matches. Five of those were defeats, which meant the threat of relegation is still hanging over the club.

This stadium has usually been a fortress but not so lately, as Sevilla are winless across their last seven La Liga home games (D4, L3). Their scoring record (14) is only better than two teams in home matches, highlighting their struggles.

Leganes are not far off from those struggles, as their overall tally of 30 goals is only better than the basement club Valladolid. Leganes held Girona to a 1-1 home draw last time out, giving them three points from four recent games.

That said, they are also winless in seven league games (D3, L4) and have an identical record in their last seven away fixtures, posing questions over their chances to avoid relegation.

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The Best Betting Odds for Sevilla v Leganés Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.7 3.5 5.25
Betfred
1.67 3.75 5.5
William Hill
1.7 3.4 5
Betway
1.67 3.6 5.5
Ladbrokes
1.67 3.6 5.5
Check all Sevilla vs Leganés odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sevilla and Leganés?

Our prediction for the Sevilla vs Leganés match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Sevilla and Leganés in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.96% for a win of Sevilla against Leganés with odds of 1.81 at 22bet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sevilla vs Leganés is 35.64% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Leganés vs Sevilla with odds of 5.9 at Vbet.

Sevilla - Leganés Prediction and Best Odds:

Sevilla Leganés Prediction Probability Odds
Sevilla wins 36.96% 1.81 at 22bet
Under 2.5 60.08% 1.99 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 52.5%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Sevilla 17.82% 4.33 at Bet365

Sevilla vs Leganés Form

Sevilla and Leganés's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
17
Sevilla
Sevilla
41 38 10 11 17 -13
18
Leganés
Leganés
40 38 9 13 16 -17

Sevilla and Leganés Last Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla Last matches
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Sevilla

20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés

11 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Sevilla

6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Sevilla

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao
D L D L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Alavés

6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Mallorca

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  4
Barcelona

25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  1
Espanyol
W D W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  0
Sevilla

11 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  0
Sevilla

30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  1
Sevilla

9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Sevilla

1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Sevilla

16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valladolid
0 :  4
Sevilla
Leganés
Leganés Last matches
L L D L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Girona

19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  0
Leganés

12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Barcelona

7 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Osasuna

29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  3
Betis
D W L D L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Girona

12 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  1
Barcelona

7 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Osasuna

16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  3
Betis

2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Getafe

15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Leganés
3 :  3
Alavés
D L L L L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Mallorca
0 :  0
Leganés

29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Leganés

8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  1
Leganés

23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  0
Leganés

9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
2 :  0
Leganés

26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Leganés

Sevilla vs Leganés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sevilla

33 %

Draw

17 %

Leganés

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.17
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.17
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  0
Sevilla

30 Jun 2020 - LaLiga

Leganés
0 :  3
Sevilla

1 Dec 2019 - LaLiga

Sevilla
1 :  0
Leganés

3 May 2019 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  3
Leganés

23 Dec 2018 - LaLiga

Leganés
1 :  1
Sevilla

18 Mar 2018 - LaLiga

Leganés
2 :  1
Sevilla
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Players list

Sevilla
Sevilla
Goalkeeper

O. Nyland

Defender

Juanlu

L. Bade

K. Salas

A. Pedrosa

Midfielder

L. Agoume

I. Romero

Forward

Suso

N. Gudelj

D. Lukebakio

C. Ejuke

Leganés
Leganés
Goalkeeper

M. Dmitrovic

Defender

Y. Neyou

J. Saenz

Midfielder

J. Hernandez

D. Brasanac

J. Chicco

R. Tapia

Forward

Y. Diomande

Oscar

D. Garcia

R. Lopez

Substitutes

Sevilla
Sevilla
Goalkeeper

A. Fernandez

Defender

Juanlu

J. Carmona

R. Martinez Gil

Marcao

Midfielder

D. Sow

M. Bueno

L. Dasilva

N. Gudelj

Peque

S. Idumbo-Muzambo

Oso

Forward

C. Ejuke

A. Pascual

I. Romero

S. Niguez

Leganés
Leganés
Goalkeeper

Alvin

J. Soriano

Defender

M. Nastasic

Midfielder

Oscar

J. Cruz

Y. Neyou

S. Gonzalez

Forward

Y. Diomande

Duk

R. Lopez

M. El Haddadi

D. Garcia

D. Raba

Missing players

Sevilla
Sevilla
Defender

T. Nianzou

D. Hormigo

Midfielder

R. Vargas

A. Sambi Lokonga

Forward

A. Adams

Leganés
Leganés
Forward

E. Franquesa

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sevilla
CD Huachipato Leganés
Top Goalscorer
Belgium D. Lukebakio (11 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain D. Raba (8 Goals)
Best assists
Spain S. Niguez (6 Assists)
Best assists
Spain D. Raba (6 Assists)

Sevilla - Leganés Key Points

  1. Over the last eight league matches, Sevilla's games averaged 1.75 goals per fixture with six fixtures producing under 2.5.
  2. Sevilla’s home matches this season produced 2.06 goals per game and only two sides have a fewer average.
  3. In ten of Sevilla’s last 12 home league games, fewer than three goals were scored.
  4. Leganes’ last four league matches saw two or fewer goals scored.
  5. Leganes won the reverse fixture 1-0.
Up to $300 to bet on Sevilla - Leganés! 

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Our Sevilla vs Leganés Prediction

Sevilla are still not safe from relegation, with only five points separating them from the bottom three teams. A defeat here to Leganes would bring them closer to the relegation zone and add some nerves. Leganes need a win to move out of the bottom three with some favourable results elsewhere. With only 30 goals to their name, which is better than only Real Valladolid, Leganes’ goal-scoring remains their low point. This game could see only a few goals, and our Sevilla vs Leganes prediction is under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Sevilla Leganés

Sevilla vs Leganés Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Sevilla wins 1.67 1.7 +1.8%
Draw 3.6 3.5 -2.8%
Leganés wins 5.25 5.25 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Sevilla is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.9% and is now 58.8% (-1.1%)

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bet365 welcome offer

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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger. 

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Sevilla vs Leganés Prediction
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