Tip Sassuolo - Udinese
As the Italian Serie A comes to a conclusion this weekend, Sassuolo will be at home to take on Udinese on Sunday. Both sides cannot rise from their current positions, but can drop lower based on other results. Sassuolo head to this match placed eighth on 51 points while Udinese have 42 points, in 14th place. For Sassuolo, the worst they can drop this season is ninth place, which means for the first time in four Serie A campaigns, they will get to finish in the top 10. Assessing their season, Sassuolo will place this as a good one and two names will stand out here; Francesco Caputo and Domenico Berardi, who have scored a combined 35 of the 69 goals the team has managed in Serie A so far. In their last match, Sassuolo saw off relegation threatened Genoa 5-0, with Berardi and Caputo once again key in the clash. Berardi scored one and provided three assists while Caputo scored twice to take his tally to 21. While they were outstanding against Genoa, it has not been an easy ride in recent matches; that win was the first in five matches and they were coming from two straight losses. Sassuolo’s attack is one of the top in Serie A; before their win over Genoa, they had four goals disallowed in their game against Napoli and they are the fifth best scorers in the league with 69 goals. The main undoing for Sassuolo is in their defence – the team has kept only seven clean sheets in the 37 matches played and with 62 goals conceded, they are the poorest defensively among the top 11 teams. Sassuolo have one loss in their last six home matches and finishing with back to back home league games should come with some comfort. The last 13 matches involving Sassuolo have produced over 2.5 goals in 11 while they have seen over 2.5 goals in each of their last six home matches.
On the other hand, Udinese’s massively negative goal difference means realistically they can’t rise higher. Their wins over Juventus and Cagliari ensured they won’t be relegated but it hasn’t been a good season for them, having spent half of the season among the bottom six sides. They head to this game straight from a 2-1 loss to relegation threatened Lecce, and will blame themselves for letting go of the lead in the game, though Lecce have to take credit for a good fightback. This season, so far, Udinese have only scored more than relegated Brescia and SPAL; their goal tally of 36 is just over half of what Sassuolo have managed, though defensively Udinese have been better than Sassuolo, conceding 11 lesser. For Udinese, their form away from home has been a major letdown, the team winning just five, and losing 10 of the 18 played. They have however improved in recent away games, scoring seven goals and winning three of their last four on the road. With this run, and having failed to score in just six of their away league matches this season, they will want to tap onto Sassuolo’s shortcomings in defence. Seven of Udinese’s last 10 matches have produced over 2.5 goals and they have three clean sheets in their last four away matches, a run they will want to extend here.
Key points Sassuolo - Udinese
Sassuolo have seven clean sheets in 37 Serie A matches.
Udinese have scored seven goals in their last four away matches.
Seven of Udinese’s last 10 matches have produced over 2.5 goals
11 of Sassuolo’s last 13 matches have yielded over 2.5 goals.
Conclusion Sassuolo - Udinese
These two sides can’t achieve more than they already have in the season; there’s no European football to contest for on Sassuolo’s side and the relegation threat was long wiped away on Udinese’s side. We thus do not expect a fierce fight for three points out there. However, with the teams’ recent returns in attack, and of course the defensive weaknesses, we expect to see goals on either side. Here we will go with a bet of Over 2.5 goals.
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Sassuolo Udinese Prediction published on July 31, 2020