Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Sassuolo
11/10/2026 11:00
AC Milan

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Sassuolo have home form to bank on as they welcome unbeaten AC Milan in their next Serie A match. Traveling Milan arrive for this game on 11 points, sitting fifth, five places above their hosts. These two sides have been at the height of high-scoring matches, and our prediction backs the same here.

Before leaving for the international break, Sassuolo stumbled. They suffered a 2-1 defeat at promoted Monza, marking their second loss of the season, but they’ve scored in each of their seven games.

The only time Sassuolo kept a clean sheet was against Cesena in the Coppa Italia, and both teams have scored in their last six.

AC Milan are among the four Serie A sides that are still unbeaten, and they will want to hold on to that as long as possible. In this match they face a side they’ve only beaten once in the last four matches, and that wasn’t even in Serie A.

Milan lost their last meeting with Sassuolo 2-0, having drawn the earlier two league games against them. They come here a stronger unit after responding to their home loss in the Europa League with a 3-0 win against Lecce.

That marked their first clean sheet in four outings, and recent history says we shouldn’t expect another one here. Milan haven’t kept an away clean sheet in five games, with both teams scoring in the last four.

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Sassuolo v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
4.3 3.8 1.81
1xbet
4.43 3.91 1.87
Melbet
4.26 3.76 1.81
Betwinner
4.26 3.76 1.81
22bet
4.26 3.76 1.81
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What is the prediction for the football match between Sassuolo and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Sassuolo vs AC Milan match is: BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/10/2026 between Sassuolo and AC Milan in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.07% for a win of Sassuolo against AC Milan with odds of 4.5 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Sassuolo vs AC Milan is 35.73% with odds of 3.91 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 36.2% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Sassuolo with odds of 1.87 at 1xbet.

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Form

Sassuolo and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5 AC Milan
11 5 3 2 0 +6
10 Sassuolo
7 5 2 1 2 0

Sassuolo and AC Milan Last Matches

Sassuolo
Sassuolo Last matches
L W D D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Sassuolo

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  2
Juventus

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  2
Sassuolo

2 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Frosinone

29 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Torino FC

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo
D L W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

13 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  2
Juventus

2 Sept 2026 - Coppa Italia

Sassuolo
1 :  1
Frosinone

29 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Torino FC

17 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Sassuolo
3 :  0
Cesena

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sassuolo
1 :  4
Celta Vigo

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sassuolo
0 :  0
US Folgore Caratese
L L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Monza
2 :  1
Sassuolo

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
2 :  2
Sassuolo

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Sassuolo

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Augsburg
3 :  2
Sassuolo

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Trento
2 :  0
Sassuolo

24 May 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Sassuolo
AC Milan
AC Milan Last matches
W W D D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan
L D W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Sept 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
3 :  0
Lecce

16 Sept 2026 - Europa League

AC Milan
0 :  2
Benfica Lisbon

28 Aug 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  0
Venezia

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
4 :  2
Manchester United

5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

AC Milan
1 :  1
Inter Milan

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari
W D L W D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  2
AC Milan

6 Sept 2026 - Serie A

Juventus
1 :  1
AC Milan

23 Aug 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  2
AC Milan

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  0
AC Milan

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Celtic
2 :  2
AC Milan

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
1 :  2
AC Milan

Sassuolo vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Sassuolo

33 %

Draw

33 %

AC Milan

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

4.5
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
2.17
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  0
AC Milan

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  2
Sassuolo

3 Dec 2024 - Coppa Italia

AC Milan
6 :  1
Sassuolo

14 Apr 2024 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  3
AC Milan

30 Dec 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Sassuolo

29 Jan 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan
2 :  5
Sassuolo
Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction

Sassuolo vs AC Milan last Lineups

Sassuolo

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

49
A. Muric
46
S. Cinquegrano
15
D. Caleta-Car
16
F. Leysen
3
J. Doig
42
K. Thorstvedt
18
N. Matic
50
D. Bakola
10
D. Berardi
94
S. Esposito
45
A. Lauriente
9
G. Ramos
56
A. Saelemaekers
11
C. Pulisic
2
P. Estupinan
12
A. Rabiot
14
L. Modric
21
S. Chukwueze
31
S. Pavlovic
5
K. De Winter
34
M. Gila
16
M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

AC Milan

Substitutes

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

G. Satalino

S. Turati

Defender

I. Van Der Brempt

C. Odenthal

R. Obrador

Midfielder

Sulemana

A. Ghion

L. Lipani

V. Adzic

Forward

N. Pierini

K. Bowie

L. Skjellerup

B. Dominguez

AC Milan
AC Milan
Goalkeeper

L. Torriani

P. Terracciano

Defender

D. Bartesaghi

S. Diawara

F. Tomori

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

C. Comotto

O. Hutchinson

D. Moreira

R. Loftus-Cheek

F. Terracciano

A. Jashari

Y. Musah

Forward

A. Cisse

F. Camarda

Missing players

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Goalkeeper

A. Muric

Defender

S. Walukiewicz

F. Cande

J. Idzes

Y. Paz Blandon

E. Pieragnolo

Midfielder

D. Boloca

I. Kone

Forward

C. Volpato

AC Milan
AC Milan
Midfielder

A. Saelemaekers

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Sassuolo
CD Huachipato AC Milan
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro V. Adzic (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Belgium D. Moreira (3 Goals)
Best assists
Belgium F. Leysen (1 Assists) , 
Montenegro V. Adzic (1 Assists) , 
Italy S. Cinquegrano (1 Assists) , 
Serbia N. Matic (1 Assists) , 
France A. Lauriente (1 Assists) , 
France D. Bakola (1 Assists)
Best assists
France A. Rabiot (2 Assists) , 
Nigeria S. Chukwueze (2 Assists)

Sassuolo and AC Milan Stats in Serie A

Sassuolo
Sassuolo
AC Milan
AC Milan
40%
Wins
60%
40%
Losses
0%
20%
Draws
40%
3.6
Average goals per match
2.8
1.8
Goals scored per match
2
1.8
Goals conceded per match
0.8
0%
Under 2.5 goals
40%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
0%
No goals conceded
40%
100%
BTTS
60%

Sassuolo - AC Milan Key Points

  1. Milan’s last five games have averaged 2.6 goals.
  2. Both teams scored in Sassuolo’s latest six outings in all competitions.
  3. Milan couldn’t keep a clean sheet in three of their last four matches.
  4. Each of Sassuolo’s last five league games had over 2.5 goals.
  5. 20 goals were netted in the last five meetings between these sides.
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Our Sassuolo vs AC Milan Prediction

Sassuolo and Milan have had entertaining starts to the season across Serie A and cup competitions. In this encounter, Sassuolo are looking to hold onto their unbeaten league run at home. Meanwhile, Milan are looking to retain their undefeated start in the league.

They could both achieve their targets with a draw, which has been the outcome in two of their last three league meetings. However, for the sake of our bet, a high-scoring outcome looks more assured. Our prediction for Sassuolo v AC Milan is BTTS & over 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

BTTS & over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.