San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
It’s off to Game 2 after the Minnesota Timberwolves shocked the San Antonio Spurs with an incredible underdog win in the first game. The Spurs, who are top favourites to go all the way, might have finally met their match in the Timberwolves’ side that beat them in two of three games during the regular season. Check out our match prediction below.
San Antonio cruised past the Trail Blazers in five games, giving them nearly a week of rest, compared to Minnesota, which just finished off the Nuggets in a very physical six-game battle. However, Game 1 didn’t go anywhere near as expected by the betting odds. Spurs were supposed to win comfortably with odds of 1.25 to Minnesota’s 4.20 odds.
Yet, it was the Timberwolves who came out on top after a dramatic 4th quarter. Minnesota not only covered the spread, but did so with a -1.5 handicap. While surprising, it was almost expected, as the Timberwolves dominated the Spurs all season, winning two of their three regular-season games.
Before the playoffs, the Timberwolves beat the Spurs 125-112 and 104-103 in their first two meetings, with the Spurs winning the last by 126-123. Even with that win, Minnesota covered the spread as the underdogs. We’re banking on them to cover a 13.5 spread at 1.50 odds.
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San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.24 | 4.25 |
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1.23 | 4.1 |
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1.23 | 4.1 |
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1.25 | 4 |
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1.24 | 4.2 |
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Who will win the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball game?
Our prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves match is: Timberwolves +13.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves game on 06/05/2026 of the current NBA season:
- San Antonio Spurs has a 56.96% chance to pick up the win against Minnesota Timberwolves according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- There is a probability of 43.04% ⭐ for Minnesota Timberwolves to win vs San Antonio Spurs with odds of 4.25 at Bet365.
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Players list
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
T. Shannon Jr.
M. Conley
J. McDaniels
Substitutes
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
A. Edwards
J. Clark
B. Hyland
A. Dosunmu
J. Phillips
K. Anderson
J. Ingles
San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- The Timberwolves won Game 1 (104-102).
- Minnesota has beaten San Antonio in three of their four meetings this season (including the playoffs).
- The Timberwolves have covered the 13.5-point spread in all four games (Spurs' only win was by three points).
- The Timberwolves have the 2nd-highest win rate in the playoffs after winning five of their seven games played (only OKC has a perfect record).
- The Timberwolves make the 3rd-highest points per game (PPG) in the playoffs (110.9).
- Minnesota are 1st in rebounds and defensive rebounds (DREB) in the playoffs.
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
It’s just hard to argue against the logic for the +13.5 handicap. It’s true Spurs will be extra aggressive here to avoid a 2-0. However, the Timberwolves are defensive masters in their own right. After all, they’ve beaten Spurs in three of their four encounters this season, while winning Game 1 in this same stadium as the heavy underdogs.
In the playoffs, Minnesota is 1st in DREB’s, makes the 3rd-highest PPG, and boasts the 2nd-highest win rate. Hence, our San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is Timberwolves +13.5 points.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.