San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
Game 1 of the NBA Playoffs Western Conference semi-final between the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves will tip off at the Frost Bank Arena on Monday night. The winner of this series between the Spurs and Timberwolves will face either OKC or the Lakers in the Conference Final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The San Antonio Spurs will enter the Conference semis well-rested, having made fairly light work of the Portland Trail Blazers. They won the series 4-1 and recorded double-digit victories in each of the last three games.
There was a concern after Victor Wembanyama suffered a concussion in Game 2. However, he returned in Game 4 and remains fit. Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper also made significant contributions against the Blazers.
One of the major strengths of the Spurs is their roster depth, and they have no new injury concerns coming into this one.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves overcame the odds by beating the Denver Nuggerts 110-98 in their last match, wrapping up the series at home in Game 6 (4-2).
However, that series win came at a cost, with Anthony Edwards and Donte DiVincenzo sustaining injuries in Game 4. Jaden McDaniels and Terrance Shannon combined for 56 points in the decisive game against Denver.
The Timberwolves won the regular-season series 2-1, but Edwards is a major doubt, and DiVincenzo is ruled out for this series opener.
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San Antonio Spurs v Minnesota Timberwolves Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.25 | 4.2 |
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1.24 | 4 |
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1.24 | 4 |
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1.25 | 4 |
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1.26 | 4 |
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Who will win the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball game?
Our prediction for the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves match is: Minnesota Timberwolves +15.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves game on 04/05/2026 of the current NBA season:
- San Antonio Spurs has a 61.08% chance to pick up the win against Minnesota Timberwolves according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.26.
- There is a probability of 38.92% ⭐ for Minnesota Timberwolves to win vs San Antonio Spurs with odds of 6.3 at Shangrila.
San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Form
San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
83 %
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Players list
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
T. Shannon Jr.
M. Conley
J. McDaniels
Substitutes
D. Harper
L. Waters III
J. McLaughlin
H. Barnes
A. Edwards
J. Clark
B. Hyland
J. Phillips
K. Anderson
J. Ingles
San Antonio Spurs - Minnesota Timberwolves Key Points
- The Spurs have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Conference semi-final home games.
- The Timberwolves have won five of their last six games against the Spurs.
- The Timberwolves have won their last six games against Southwest Division opponents.
- The Timberwolves have covered the spread in eight of their last nine night games against Western Conference opposition.
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Our San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction
The San Antonio Spurs have been excellent this season and carried that form into the Playoffs, making light work of the Portland Trail Blazers. We fancy them to progress to the Western Conference finals.
However, we’re not comfortable with how massive this line is for Game 1. Sure, the Timberwolves could be without Edwards, but they were very impressive against the Nuggets and kept Nikola Jokic at bay without Ant-Man. The Spurs should win here, but we doubt it will be as big a blowout as the odds suggest. Our San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves prediction is Minnesota Timberwolves +15.5.
If your team in the San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.