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Samoa vs Scotland Prediction & Betting Tips - Test Matchs

International - Test Matchs

Samoa
18/07/2025 04:05
Scotland

Prediction :

 

over 53.5 total points

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions

Scotland will wrap up their 2025 Pacific Summer Tour with a Test match against Samoa on Friday at Eden Park in Auckland. The Thistles will aim to conclude these mid-year internationals on a winning note after a shock defeat to lower-ranked Fiji in their last match. Here is our prediction for the match. 

Scotland shoved their disappointing  Six Nations campaign aside to open this tour on a promising note, defeating Maori All Blacks 29-26 in an uncapped friendly. This was followed by a shock 29-14 loss to lower-ranked Fiji in Suva in their last match.

The defeat in Suva marked Scotland’s first loss to a Tier 2 opposition in over two decades. Hence, this eagerly awaited clash in Auckland will offer Gregor Townsend's men a chance to reclaim their pride.

Samoa will return to action for the first time since finishing third in the 2025 Pacific Nations Cup following a narrow 18-13 victory over USA. They have struggled against Tier 1 and higher-ranked teams and will be looking for their second win in nine consecutive attempts against such sides on Friday.

Notably, the four-time Pacific Nations Cup winners have been on a run of high-scoring matches lately. Their most recent matches have ended with over 53 points scored. Hence, our tip for the prediction.

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The Best Betting Odds for Samoa v Scotland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
10 51 1.04
Betway
11 21 1.05
Ladbrokes
8 34 1.08
Unibet
10 41 1.06
Vbet
8.7 36 1.03
Check all Samoa vs Scotland odds
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Samoa vs Scotland Form

Samoa and Scotland Last Matches

Samoa
Samoa Last matches
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

21 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

USA
13 :  18
Samoa

15 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Samoa
27 :  49
Japan

30 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Samoa
43 :  17
Tonga

23 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Fiji
42 :  16
Samoa

12 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Samoa
34 :  30
Spain

5 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Samoa
33 :  25
Italy
W W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

15 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Samoa
27 :  49
Japan

30 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Samoa
43 :  17
Tonga

12 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Samoa
34 :  30
Spain

5 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Samoa
33 :  25
Italy

16 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Samoa
43 :  10
Chile

28 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Samoa
19 :  33
Fiji
L L L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

21 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

USA
13 :  18
Samoa

23 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup

Fiji
42 :  16
Samoa

7 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup

England
18 :  17
Samoa

28 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
28 :  22
Samoa

22 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Argentina
19 :  10
Samoa

26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Ireland
17 :  13
Samoa
Scotland
Scotland Last matches
L L W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Fiji
29 :  14
Scotland

4 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Maori All Blacks
26 :  29
Scotland

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

France
35 :  16
Scotland

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
35 :  29
Wales

22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

England
16 :  15
Scotland

9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
18 :  32
Ireland
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
35 :  29
Wales

9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
18 :  32
Ireland

1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

Scotland
31 :  19
Italy

24 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
27 :  13
Australia

16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
59 :  21
Portugal

10 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs

Scotland
15 :  32
South Africa
W W L L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

11 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Fiji
29 :  14
Scotland

4 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs

Maori All Blacks
26 :  29
Scotland

15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations

France
35 :  16
Scotland

22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations

England
16 :  15
Scotland

27 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Uruguay
19 :  31
Scotland

20 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs

Chile
11 :  52
Scotland

Samoa vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

30 Sep 2019 - Rugby World Cup

Scotland
34 :  0
Samoa

Samoa - Scotland Key Points

  1. Five of Samoa’s last six matches have ended with over 53 points scored.
  2. Samoa’s last four home matches have ended with over 53 points scored.
  3. Samoa's last three matches against higher-ranked teams have ended with over 53 points scored.
  4. Two of Scotland’s last three encounters with Samoa have ended with over 53 points scored.
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Our Samoa vs Scotland Prediction

Scotland will enter this match looking to bounce back after the shock defeat to Fiji, while Samoa will be aiming for an upset against a Tier 1 opposition. We expect an intense and high-scoring affair between the two teams. 

Notably, five of Samoa’s last six matches have ended with over 53 points scored, including their last four home matches. Their last three matches against higher-ranked teams have also witnessed the 53-point threshold crossed, including two of their last three meetings with Scotland. Hence, our Samoa vs Scotland prediction is over 53.5 total points.

Prediction :

 

over 53.5 total points

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Samoa vs Scotland Prediction
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