International - Test Matchs
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Rugby Predictions
Scotland will wrap up their 2025 Pacific Summer Tour with a Test match against Samoa on Friday at Eden Park in Auckland. The Thistles will aim to conclude these mid-year internationals on a winning note after a shock defeat to lower-ranked Fiji in their last match. Here is our prediction for the match.
Scotland shoved their disappointing Six Nations campaign aside to open this tour on a promising note, defeating Maori All Blacks 29-26 in an uncapped friendly. This was followed by a shock 29-14 loss to lower-ranked Fiji in Suva in their last match.
The defeat in Suva marked Scotland’s first loss to a Tier 2 opposition in over two decades. Hence, this eagerly awaited clash in Auckland will offer Gregor Townsend's men a chance to reclaim their pride.
Samoa will return to action for the first time since finishing third in the 2025 Pacific Nations Cup following a narrow 18-13 victory over USA. They have struggled against Tier 1 and higher-ranked teams and will be looking for their second win in nine consecutive attempts against such sides on Friday.
Notably, the four-time Pacific Nations Cup winners have been on a run of high-scoring matches lately. Their most recent matches have ended with over 53 points scored. Hence, our tip for the prediction.
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The Best Betting Odds for Samoa v Scotland Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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10 | 51 | 1.04 |
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11 | 21 | 1.05 |
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8 | 34 | 1.08 |
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10 | 41 | 1.06 |
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8.7 | 36 | 1.03 |
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Samoa vs Scotland Form
Samoa and Scotland Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
15 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
30 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
23 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
12 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
5 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
15 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
30 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
12 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
5 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
16 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
28 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
21 Sep 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
23 Aug 2024 - World Rugby Pacific Nations Cup
7 Oct 2023 - Rugby World Cup
28 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
22 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup
26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs
4 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
8 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
9 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
1 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
24 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
16 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
10 Nov 2024 - Test Matchs
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs
4 Jul 2025 - Test Matchs
15 Mar 2025 - Six Nations
22 Feb 2025 - Six Nations
27 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
20 Jul 2024 - Test Matchs
Samoa vs Scotland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
30 Sep 2019 - Rugby World Cup
Samoa - Scotland Key Points
- Five of Samoa’s last six matches have ended with over 53 points scored.
- Samoa’s last four home matches have ended with over 53 points scored.
- Samoa's last three matches against higher-ranked teams have ended with over 53 points scored.
- Two of Scotland’s last three encounters with Samoa have ended with over 53 points scored.
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Our Samoa vs Scotland Prediction
Scotland will enter this match looking to bounce back after the shock defeat to Fiji, while Samoa will be aiming for an upset against a Tier 1 opposition. We expect an intense and high-scoring affair between the two teams.
Notably, five of Samoa’s last six matches have ended with over 53 points scored, including their last four home matches. Their last three matches against higher-ranked teams have also witnessed the 53-point threshold crossed, including two of their last three meetings with Scotland. Hence, our Samoa vs Scotland prediction is over 53.5 total points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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