Saint Etienne vs Nice Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Making the most of home advantage and Nice’s woes will be top of St. Etienne’s agenda as the two face off in a promotion/relegation playoff. The first leg of this tie will be staged on Tuesday at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. While Nice are in poor form, this is a match they’ve dominated, and our prediction will back the visitors to take something into the return leg.
St. Etienne secured passage to this stage courtesy of a win on post-match penalties against Rodez in the semis. The two had drawn 0-0 in regular time.
The 10-time Ligue 1 champions have been inconsistent lately, winning just four of their last 10 matches, and this will take away a chunk of their confidence.
Nice’s poor season was worsened by a 3-1 loss to Lens in the Coupe de France final on Friday. With that defeat, their European ambition was officially extinguished. Now they have the next two matches to save what remains of their season.
Nice boast of five straight wins against St. Etienne. The latest of those was in December as they hosted the Ligue 2 side in the French Cup and won 2-1.
That was the third of four matches in which both sides scored in this fixture. While Nice will put up a brave face for this outing, they will be pulled back by a poor run.
The visitors are winless in five matches coming here, having drawn three.
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Saint Etienne v Nice Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.48 | 3.3 | 3 |
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|
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2.57 | 3.18 | 2.87 |
|
|
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2.47 | 3.2 | 2.98 |
|
|
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2.5 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
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|
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2.54 | 3.15 | 2.82 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Saint Etienne and Nice?
Our prediction for the Saint Etienne vs Nice match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/05/2026 between Saint Etienne and Nice in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.78% for a win of Saint Etienne against Nice with odds of 2.57 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Saint Etienne vs Nice is 27.45% with odds of 3.45 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.78% chance ⭐ for a win of Nice vs Saint Etienne with odds of 3.1 at LSbet.
Saint Etienne - Nice Prediction and Best Odds:
| Saint Etienne Nice Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne wins | 42.78% | 2.57 at Melbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.48% | 2.18 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Saint Etienne | 24.08% | 6 at Bet365 |
Saint Etienne vs Nice Form
Saint Etienne and Nice Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2026 - Ligue 1
9 May 2026 - Ligue 2
2 May 2026 - Ligue 2
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 May 2026 - Ligue 1
9 May 2026 - Ligue 2
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
11 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 2
7 Mar 2026 - Ligue 2
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 2
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 2
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 2
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 2
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 2
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 May 2026 - French Cup
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - French Cup
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 May 2026 - French Cup
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - French Cup
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
Saint Etienne vs Nice Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
1 Mar 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
11 May 2022 - Ligue 1
25 Sept 2021 - Ligue 1
31 Jan 2021 - Ligue 1
Saint Etienne against Nice Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
B. Maubleu
DefenderE. Annan
J. Ferreira
M. Nade
MidfielderA. Moueffek
I. Miladinovic
J. Duffus
F. Tardieu
M. Toty
B. Zelazowski
DefenderA. Abdi
I. Jansson
Y. Ndayishimiye
S. Abdul Samed
K. Boudache
D. Coulibaly
C. Vanhoutte
Kevin Carlos
Missing players
M. Jaber
P. Eymard
N. El Jamali
M. Bombito
MidfielderEverton
Most goals and assists
Saint Etienne - Nice Key Points
- Nice have drawn five of their last eight matches.
- In their last 10 matches Nice managed just one win.
- Nice played to a draw in their latest home outing.
- St. Etienne are winless in six of their last 10 matches.
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Our Saint Etienne vs Nice Prediction
While Nice are coming off a poor season, they should have enough in their tanks to hold off Ligue 2 side St. Etienne. How that will turn out remains to be seen, with St. Etienne being a strong outfit when playing at home. In their latest home game, St. Etienne needed penalties to see off Rodez after a draw in 90 minutes.
Nice have historically done well in this fixture, but going by the torrid nature of their season, we doubt they will be able to rise to their previous standards. Our prediction for St. Etienne v Nice is for a draw.
Saint Etienne vs Nice Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Saint Etienne Nice
| Saint Etienne vs Nice | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne wins | 2.33 | 2.57 | +10.3% |
| Draw | 3.48 | 3.45 | -0.9% |
| Nice wins | 2.98 | 3.1 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Saint Etienne is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.9% and is now 38.9% (-4.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.