Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Umag Open

ATP - ATP Umag Open

ATP 67 Argentina
Roman Andres Burruchaga
16/07/2026 12:30
ATP 58 Argentina
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 sets

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Tennis Predictions

Roman Andres Burruchaga hopes to continue with his giant-slaying campaign in Umag when he faces seventh seed Camilo Ugo Carabelli. The two will square off in the quarter-finals for their third meeting this season. Each of Carabelli’s last five outings needed a decider, thus our prediction for over 2.5 sets here.

Burruchaga is having a strong debut in Croatia, yet to drop a set after two rounds. He’s eliminated Marco Cecchinato and top seed Flavio Cobolli.

Defeating one of this season’s top performers will be a significant jolt in the Argentine’s quest for a maiden tour title. Burruchaga, who has won one challenger title this term, defeated Carabelli when they last met, in February in Rio. Reaching the last eight lifts him up to 65th in the live ranking.

Camilo Ugo Carabelli has also beaten Burruchaga this season - in the final of the Rosario Challenger. The older of the two Argentines, Carabelli had lost back-to-back matches against Burruchaga before their Rosario showdown.

Each player has won three times in six previous meetings. Carabelli hasn’t blazed his way to their coming matchup, the 27-year-old needing a decider to secure victory in both of his matches.

He won in three hours against Marko Topo in the first round and then in two hours and 45 minutes against Pablo Carreno Busta. Despite the two victories, Carabelli, a semi-finalist in Umag last season, has tumbled down to 70th in the live ranking.

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Roman Andres Burruchaga v Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.66 2.14
1xbet
1.64 2.18
Melbet
1.64 2.18
Betwinner
1.64 2.19
22bet
1.68 2.19
Check all Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli odds

Who will win the Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli match is: more than 2.5 sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli game on 16/07/2026 of the current ATP Umag Open season:

  • Roman Andres Burruchaga has a 46.04% chance to win against Camilo Ugo Carabelli according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.73.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has a 53.96% probability of winning facing Roman Andres Burruchaga ⭐ with odds of 2.25 at Betway.

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Roman Andres Burruchaga has a 46.04 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Roman Andres Burruchaga46.04 %
Camilo Ugo Carabelli53.96 %

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Form

Roman Andres Burruchaga and Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last Matches

Roman Andres Burruchaga Last matches
L L L L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Flavio Cobolli
0 :  2
Roman Andres Burruchaga

14 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Marco Cecchinato
0 :  2
Roman Andres Burruchaga

30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Alex De Minaur
3 :  0
Roman Andres Burruchaga

23 Jun 2026 - ATP Eastbourne International

Roman Andres Burruchaga
1 :  2
Arthur Fery

28 May 2026 - ATP French Open

Felix Auger Aliassime
3 :  1
Roman Andres Burruchaga

19 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Camilo Ugo Carabelli Last matches
W L W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Pablo Carreño-Busta
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

14 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open

Marko ToPo
1 :  2
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

27 May 2026 - ATP French Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1 :  3
Andrey Rublev

25 May 2026 - ATP French Open

Emilio Nava
0 :  3
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

21 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Aleksandar Kovacevic
2 :  1
Camilo Ugo Carabelli

20 May 2026 - ATP Hamburg Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2 :  0
Frances Tiafoe

Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Roman Andres Burruchaga

100 %

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

0 %

17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open

Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0 :  2
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Roman Andres Burruchaga - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Key Points

  1. None of Carabelli’s last five matches were settled in straight sets.
  2. Both Burruchaga and Carabelli have won three times in this fixture.
  3. Burruchaga has recorded 218 victories on clay courts in his career.
  4. Burruchaga lost at least one set in eight of his last 10 games.
  5. Carabelli has won 358 duels on clay courts.
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Our Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli Prediction

Our prediction for Roman Andres Burruchaga v Camilo Ugo Carabelli is for more than 2.5 sets. This match features two clay-court specialists. Carabelli and Burruchaga have won almost 600 matches on clay combined, defeating each other multiple times on such surfaces.

This year, they have already faced off on clay and also won titles. We therefore expect a well-fought-out battle, which will most likely need a decider for them to be separated. None of Carabelli’s last five matches has ended without a decider being called. Meanwhile, Burruchaga has dropped at least a set in eight of 10 matches.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.