Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Roma and Fiorentina had completely different seasons in 2025/26 but now on a clean slate, they go head-to-head to kick off a new season. Fiorentina will travel to the capital keen on a stronger start than last season. With a three-match winning run against the visitors, our prediction backs Roma.
Roma wrapped up last season on a run of five straight wins and are now undefeated in their last 12 home league games. The Giallorossi, who won nine of those 12 outings, will look to start in the same manner.
Posting 23 wins in 38 matches was part of the journey that will see Roma returning to the Champions League. A solid recent record in season openers will further favor the hosts. They’ve won eight and lost once in the last 14.
Apart from Roma’s form, another piece of history that Fiorentina will be dealing with is the fact that Roma rarely lose on Mondays. Fabio Grosso has taken over at Fiorentina and will be looking to quash all of Roma’s good numbers going into this encounter.
A positive start would need Grosso to record a first against Roma coach Gian Piero Gasperini. The former Italian international has lost all three previous meetings with Gasperini.
The visitors’ survival last season was close to miraculous after failing to win any of the opening 15 rounds. They managed just 13 points in the first half of the season.
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Roma v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.64 | 4 | 5.4 |
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1.7 | 4.05 | 5.57 |
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1.65 | 3.86 | 5.3 |
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1.65 | 3.86 | 5.3 |
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1.65 | 3.86 | 5.3 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Fiorentina match is: Roma wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2026 between Roma and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.52% for a win of Roma against Fiorentina with odds of 1.7 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Fiorentina is 25.25% with odds of 4.1 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Roma with odds of 6.25 at LSbet.
Roma vs Fiorentina Form
Roma and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|
8
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Roma and Fiorentina Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Serie A
4 May 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia
6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia
6 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2026 - Serie A
10 May 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Serie A
4 May 2026 - Serie A
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
Roma vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 May 2026 - Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
10 Mar 2024 - Serie A
10 Dec 2023 - Serie A
Players list
M. Svilar
DefenderE. Ndicka
G. Mancini
M. Hermoso
D. Rensch
E. Lulli
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
B. Cristante
ForwardD. Malen
P. Dybala
M. Soule
D. De Gea
DefenderJ. Mario
L. Ranieri
R. Dragusin
V. Valdepenas
MidfielderN. Fagioli
M. Brescianini
C. Ndour
A. Atta
ForwardM. Kean
A. Gudmundsson
Substitutes
P. Gollini
G. De Marzi
DefenderN. Molina
K. Koulierakis
F. Reale
J. Ziolkowski
D. Ghilardi
MidfielderM. Kone
M. Mannini
ForwardE. Morucci
S. Castro
R. Vaz
O. Christensen
L. Lezzerini
DefenderDodo
M. Pongracic
N. Fortini
E. Kospo
Viery
MidfielderC. Oulai
G. Fabbian
ForwardF. Croci
B. Mazzeo
F. Mastantuono
Missing players
F. Parisi
MidfielderR. Mandragora
Roma - Fiorentina Key Points
- Roma are unbeaten in 12 home league matches.
- Roma lost once in 14 matchday one encounters.
- Fiorentina lost their last three matches against Roma.
- Fiorentina are winless in eight away games at Roma, losing six.
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Our Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
Fiorentina are chasing a fast start to avoid a calamitous run like what they experienced last season. However, the opponent they face here is a massive one and on a good run, especially at home. Roma haven’t lost in the last 12 Serie A home matches and currently hold the league’s longest undefeated home run.
At home as well, they are unbeaten in eight games against Fiorentina. The visitors are also dealing with a side so strong in season openers. Our prediction for AS Roma v Fiorentina is that Roma wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.