Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
After a difficult campaign in Serie A, Fiorentina look poised to confirm their safety when they travel to AS Roma. In a match that holds much significance to Roma as well, the hosts hope to use it to push their top four target. Key predictions for this point to a tight encounter.
Roma’s 2-0 win against Bologna in the last round kept their Champions League ambitions in line. They are coming from a tough period, but three wins in the last five outings depict a team picking up at the right time.
Giallorossi have only lost once in that stretch; against leaders Inter Milan.
Fiorentina have the perfect setting to not only claim three points but also secure their Seria A position. Their pace has slowed down a bit in recent weeks, and they come here having drawn their last two matches.
The latest one was a 0-0 outcome against Sassuolo. They are no longer in the red as far as relegation is concerned, but Paolo Vanoli’s side still needs three points to guarantee safety.
Having beaten Cremonese twice this season would come as an advantage should there be a tie. Going into this game hoping for a win, history may not favor them.
Fiorentina lost the last two matches against Roma and are winless in seven matches away to Roma, losing five.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Roma v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.58 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
2.07 | 8.85 | 2.08 |
|
|
1.48 | 4.2 | 7.1 |
|
|
1.49 | 4.16 | 7 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.33 | 5.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Roma and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Roma vs Fiorentina match is: AS Roma wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2026 between Roma and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.61% for a win of Roma against Fiorentina with odds of 2.07 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Roma vs Fiorentina is 24.31% with odds of 8.85 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Roma with odds of 7.31 at 888Starz.
Roma - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Roma Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 42.61% | 2.07 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.23% | 1.88 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 53.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Roma/Roma | 16.25% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
Roma vs Fiorentina Form
Roma and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
Roma and Fiorentina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
Roma vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2025 - Serie A
4 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Oct 2024 - Serie A
10 Mar 2024 - Serie A
10 Dec 2023 - Serie A
27 May 2023 - Serie A
Roma against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
G. De Marzi
P. Gollini
DefenderK. Tsimikas
J. Ziolkowski
D. Ghilardi
D. Rensch
Angelino
ForwardS. El Shaarawy
R. Vaz
P. Dybala
L. Venturino
O. Christensen
L. Lezzerini
DefenderP. Comuzzo
D. Rugani
E. Kouadio
F. Parisi
A. Pirro
G. Fabbian
J. Fazzini
R. Mandragora
ForwardR. Braschi
Missing players
L. Pellegrini
N. El Aynaoui
ForwardE. Ferguson
A. Sabiri
ForwardM. Kean
Most goals and assists
Roma
Fiorentina
D. Malen
(14 Goals)
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
P. Dybala
(7 Assists)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
Roma - Fiorentina Key Points
- Fiorentina lost their last two matches against Roma.
- Roma have won 11 of their 17 home matches in Serie A.
- Roma are unbeaten in seven games at home to Fiorentina.
- Fiorentina are winless in 13 of 17 away league games, losing seven.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Roma vs Fiorentina Prediction
AS Roma have managed 19 wins in the league this season, but a majority of those (11) were recorded at home. They have another chance to stretch this impressive home record here. Facing one of the sides that have struggled on the road in the season fits in Roma’s plan.
Fiorentina lost their last two matches against Roma and have failed to win here in their last seven visits, losing five times. With that in mind, our prediction for AS Roma v Fiorentina is that AS Roma wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Roma Fiorentina
| Roma vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 4.25 | 2.07 | -51.3% |
| Draw | 9.41 | 8.85 | -6.0% |
| Fiorentina wins | 1.33 | 7.31 | +449.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 51.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.5% and is now 48.3% (24.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
