Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
28/08/2026 15:15
Sporting Lisbon

Prediction :

 

Sporting wins and over 1.5 goals

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Sporting have now scored the most goals in the Liga Portugal for three seasons running, hitting 96, 88, and 89 in the 34-game tournament. They naturally average over 2.5 goals, so backing them to score more than one goal this game is a good pick, especially since this bet has won in six straight editions of this rivalry. Keep reading for our match prediction below.

Os Leões are the natural favourites, and it has to do with more than historical dominance. Last season's runners-up opened the Portuguese league season with a disappointing 2-2 draw with Estrela Amadora on the road. But Sporting Lisbon quickly reverted back to their winning ways with back-to-back victories against Vitória SC (3-2) and FC Alverca (3-1).

Eight goals in three games already places Os Leões in 2nd-place for most goals this season, just behind Benfica's 9. And the way they've been defending, conceding in all three games and accumulating five in three matches, Sporting's only chance of scaling through here will be another multi-goal performance.

Rio Ave are indeed fresh off a 2-0 away win over Estoril. However, they just broke a seven-game winless streak in the Liga Portugal, so the numbers of their form ahead of this game are still poor. For this season, they already opened with back-to-back defeats to Gil Vicente (1-0) and then Porto (2-0).

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Rio Ave v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
7.6 5.4 1.32
1xbet
9.45 6.09 1.31
Melbet
9.2 5.95 1.29
Betwinner
9 6 1.29
22bet
9.3 5.9 1.3
Check all Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon?

Our prediction for the Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting wins and over 1.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2026 between Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8.68% for a win of Rio Ave against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 9.45 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon is 35.1% with odds of 6.09 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 56.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Rio Ave with odds of 1.35 at Shangrila.

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Form

Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2 Sporting Lisbon
7 3 2 1 0 +3
10 Rio Ave
3 3 1 0 2 -1

Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches

Rio Ave
Rio Ave Last matches
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  2
Rio Ave

15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  2
Porto

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Rio Ave

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  0
Gil Vicente
W L D D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

15 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  2
Porto

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

3 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  0
Gil Vicente

17 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  2
AVS Futebol SAD

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
2 :  1
Estrela Amadora
W W L D L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
0 :  2
Rio Ave

9 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
1 :  0
Rio Ave

16 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Casa Pia Lisbon
1 :  1
Rio Ave

25 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
2 :  0
Rio Ave

11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Santa Clara
0 :  2
Rio Ave

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  2
Rio Ave
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon Last matches
W W W D W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Nottingham Forest

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Monaco

20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
7 :  0
Strasbourg
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
3.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

14 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  2
Vitoria SC Guimaraes

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Nottingham Forest

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Monaco

20 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
7 :  0
Strasbourg

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  1
Celtic
W D D D W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Aug 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
2 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

AVS Futebol SAD
1 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

15 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Arsenal
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

11 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
0 :  1
Sporting Lisbon

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Rio Ave

0 %

Draw

0 %

Sporting Lisbon

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

11 May 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

28 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
4 :  0
Rio Ave

22 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
Sporting Lisbon

3 Apr 2025 - Taca de Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
2 :  0
Rio Ave

18 Jan 2025 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
0 :  3
Sporting Lisbon

9 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal

Sporting Lisbon
3 :  1
Rio Ave
Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon last Lineups

Rio Ave

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

99
E. Van Der Gouw
54
G. Liavas
23
F. Petrasso
14
J. Brabec
6
N. Abbey
44
T. Nikitscher
90
D. Nascimento
7
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
11
J. Blesa
30
R. Galcik
9
T. Monteiro
97
L. Suarez
58
F. Goncalves
17
R. Zalazar
10
G. Catamo
77
I. Doumbia
5
S. Altimira
20
M. Araujo
55
I. Ba
6
Z. Debast
22
I. Fresneda
1
R. Silva

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Sporting Lisbon

Substitutes

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Goalkeeper

K. Chamorro

Defender

Caike

A. Ntoi

Gustavo Mancha

Midfielder

A. Wenck

M. Patricio

M. Vroussay

J. Lomboto

Forward

S. da Silva Alves

R. Lobato

D. Spikic

T. Medina

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Goalkeeper

J. Virginia

Defender

R. Dias

Quaresma

G. Vagiannidis

G. Inacio

Midfielder

P. Lima

S. Andersen

E. Felicissimo

J. Derry

Luis Guilherme

Forward

N. Irankunda

R. Nel

Missing players

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Goalkeeper

C. Miszta

Defender

J. Tome

Midfielder

B. Aguilera

R. da Silva

Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
Midfielder

J. Simoes

Forward

N. Santos

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Rio Ave
CD Huachipato Sporting Lisbon
Top Goalscorer
Guinea-Bissau T. Monteiro (1 Goals)
Spain J. Blesa (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Greece F. Ioannidis (2 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil D. Bezerra de Oliveira (1 Assists)
Spain J. Blesa (1 Assists)
Best assists
Mozambique G. Catamo (3 Assists)

Rio Ave and Sporting Lisbon Stats in Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon
33%
Wins
67%
67%
Losses
0%
0%
Draws
33%
1.67
Average goals per match
4.33
0.67
Goals scored per match
2.67
1
Goals conceded per match
1.67
100%
Under 2.5 goals
0%
0%
Over 2.5 goals
100%
33%
No goals conceded
0%
0%
BTTS
100%

Rio Ave - Sporting Lisbon Key Points

  1. Sporting have scored the most goals in the Liga Portugal for three seasons running (96, 88, 89).
  2. Sporting have scored eight goals in their opening three games this season.
  3. Sporting have conceded in all three games so far, shipping five.
  4. Rio Ave opened the season with back-to-back defeats to Gil Vicente and Porto.
  5. Rio Ave only just ended a seven-game Liga Portugal winless run.
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Our Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction

Sporting have scored the most goals in the Liga Portugal for three seasons running, so goals tend to follow them everywhere. They have eight already in three games, so Os Leões should have far too much for a side that opened with defeats to Gil Vicente and Porto.

The Vilacondenses only just ended a seven-game winless run, so they’re already in poor form entering this game. Hence, our Rio Ave vs Sporting match prediction is Sporting wins and over 1.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Sporting wins and over 1.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.