Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Real Madrid seek to cover ground in the La Liga title race this weekend when they welcome an inconsistent Sevilla side. With eight games played, Real find themselves fourth in the standings, four points ahead of their visitors, who are fifth. With both sides doing well in attack, our prediction is for a high-scoring outing.
Real Madrid are coming off a hard-fought win in the Champions League. The capital club fought its way from 3-1 down away at Roma to win 4-3.
With the energy the team used to secure the win in the Italian capital, Jose Mourinho’s men will hope to have enough left in the tank for Sevilla. Los Merengues have been subpar and find themselves six points off the pace. It could be nine by the time they take to the pitch.
Sevilla were not in action in midweek and have had a full week to prepare for this trip. Los Nervionenses are eager for a win to end their current dip in form.
Sevilla haven’t won in two outings and in this spell have conceded six goals. Luis Plaza’s men drew 3-3 at Levante last weekend, with the result coming after a 3-1 humbling at home to Barcelona.
With 14 points, Sevilla could find themselves outside of the European places with a loss in the capital.
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Real Madrid v Sevilla Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.22 | 6.80 | 11.00 |
|
|
1.27 | 6.76 | 12.40 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.50 | 11.50 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.50 | 11.50 |
|
|
1.23 | 6.50 | 11.50 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Sevilla?
Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Sevilla match is: over 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/10/2026 between Real Madrid and Sevilla in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 62.26% for a win of Real Madrid against Sevilla with odds of 1.27 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Sevilla is 17.83% with odds of 7 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Sevilla vs Real Madrid with odds of 12.4 at 1xbet.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Form
Real Madrid and Sevilla's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
18 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | +11 |
|
5
|
14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 |
Real Madrid and Sevilla Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
8 Sept 2026 - Champions League
30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
26 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2026 - Champions League
20 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
4 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
11 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
11 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2026 - LaLiga
16 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
6 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Real Madrid vs Sevilla Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
20 Dec 2025 - LaLiga
18 May 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
Real Madrid vs Sevilla last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Lunin
S. Mestre
DefenderD. Huijsen
T. Alexander-Arnold
A. Carreras
MidfielderE. Camavinga
T. Pitarch Pinar
B. Silva
ForwardB. Diaz
C. Espi
Endrick
A. Guler
F. Gonzalez
DefenderA. Sangante
J. Carmona
F. Cardoso
MidfielderJ. Diaz
M. Bueno
J. Guridi
ForwardR. Vargas
I. Romero
Peque
C. Ejuke
A. Gonzales
Missing players
F. Mendy
E. Militao
R. Asencio
ForwardVinicius Junior
Rodrygo
Marcao
MidfielderJ. Guridi
G. Kochorashvili
ForwardL. Stassin
I. Romero
M. Sierra
Most goals and assists
Real Madrid
Sevilla
K. Mbappe
(7 Goals)
I. Romero
(2 Goals)
,
M. Sierra
(2 Goals)
Vinicius Junior
(3 Assists)
I. Romero
(1 Assists)
,
Oso
(1 Assists)
, 
G. Kochorashvili
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Correia
(1 Assists)
,
Y. Fofana
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Ure
(1 Assists)
Real Madrid and Sevilla Stats in LaLiga
Real Madrid - Sevilla Key Points
- Sevilla have soaked in three goals in back-to-back games.
- Sevilla have scored 13 times in eight league outings.
- Three of the last four league visitors to Madrid have conceded four goals.
- Real have kept just two clean sheets in 10 outings this term across all competitions.
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Our Real Madrid vs Sevilla Prediction
Our prediction for Real Madrid v Sevilla is for the match to have over 3.5 goals. Sevilla and Real Madrid have been leaky this season, with their defensive struggles keeping them quite a distance off the pace.
The visitors have the more porous rearguard that has soaked in six goals in the last two outings. Conceding has been a problem, but scoring hasn’t. Real and Sevilla have scored at least 13 league goals , with the former in particular in sharp form when at home.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
