Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Real Madrid
26/08/2026 14:00
Real Sociedad

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid wins + BTTS

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

Real Madrid and Real Sociedad will face off in midweek in their rearranged La Liga fixture. For Sociedad, it will be a second straight away match, as they look to record what’s becoming a rare league win. The last three league games between these two were won by Real Madrid, and our prediction backs the same.

Real Madrid fans will welcome José Mourinho at the Bernabeu officially in this game. The Portuguese manager had a winning start, though laboured, away to Espanyol on matchday one.

It took Carlos Espi’s stoppage time goal for their 2-1 win. At home, Los Blancos hope for an easier outing, especially after beating Sociedad in each of their last three games.

The visitors are still in the lull they went into after winning last season’s Copa del Rey. They opened the new campaign with a 1-0 loss away against Real Betis, Rodrigo Riquelme netting the all-important goal.

Sociedad, who had lost their closing three pre-season friendly matches, didn’t show much fight in the game, with only two big chances created.

Even sadder for the visiting fans, their team has now gone winless in eight matches, losing four times. They are also without a win in their last seven La Liga visits to Real Madrid, having lost five of them.

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Real Madrid v Real Sociedad Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.35 5.6 7.6
1xbet
1.37 5.74 8.9
Melbet
1.32 5.5 8.5
Betwinner
1.32 5.5 8.5
22bet
1.32 5.5 8.5
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What is the prediction for the football match between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad?

Our prediction for the Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad match is: Real Madrid wins + BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/08/2026 between Real Madrid and Real Sociedad in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 70.51% for a win of Real Madrid against Real Sociedad with odds of 1.42 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad is 17.21% with odds of 5.8 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 12.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid with odds of 9.3 at Betsson.

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Form

Real Madrid and Real Sociedad's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Real Madrid
3 1 1 0 0 +1
19 Real Sociedad
0 1 0 0 1 -1

Real Madrid and Real Sociedad Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
W D W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  2
Real Madrid

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

23 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Athletic Bilbao
L D W W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Madrid
2 :  2
Fiorentina

23 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

14 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Oviedo

21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  1
Alavés

10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
1 :  1
Girona

7 Apr 2026 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  2
Bayern Munich
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Espanyol
1 :  2
Real Madrid

16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Schalke 04
0 :  3
Real Madrid

12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

La Coruna
0 :  1
Real Madrid

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ferencvarosi Budapest
1 :  2
Real Madrid

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
0 :  1
Real Madrid

10 May 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad Last matches
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  0
Real Sociedad

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Real Sociedad
W W D L D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  4
Valencia

9 May 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  2
Betis

22 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Getafe

11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  3
Alavés

4 Apr 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
2 :  0
Levante

15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
3 :  1
Osasuna
W L L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

21 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Betis
1 :  0
Real Sociedad

15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelsea
3 :  1
Real Sociedad

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Köln
2 :  0
Real Sociedad

31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Toulouse
2 :  1
Real Sociedad

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Real Sociedad

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

83 %

Draw

17 %

Real Sociedad

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2.5
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Real Sociedad

13 Sept 2025 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
1 :  2
Real Madrid

24 May 2025 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Real Sociedad

1 Apr 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Madrid
4 :  4
Real Sociedad

26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Real Madrid

14 Sept 2024 - LaLiga

Real Sociedad
0 :  2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad last Lineups

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

1
T. Courtois
24
D. Dumfries
4
D. Huijsen
16
I. Konate
18
A. Carreras
15
A. Guler
8
F. Valverde
20
B. Silva
5
J. Bellingham
10
K. Mbappe
7
Vinicius Junior
9
O. Oskarsson
24
L. Sucic
7
A. Barrenetxea
18
C. Soler
21
Y. Herrera
14
T. Kubo
17
S. Gomez
5
I. Zubeldia
31
J. Martin
2
J. Aramburu
1
A. Remiro

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Real Sociedad

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

A. Lunin

S. Mestre

Defender

T. Alexander-Arnold

A. Ruediger

M. Cucurella

M. Rivas

Midfielder

E. Camavinga

J. Cestero

Forward

A. Ciria

B. Diaz

C. Espi

Y. Diomande

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Goalkeeper

U. Marrero

Defender

L. Beitia

A. Munoz

J. Pacheco

Midfielder

J. Ochieng

A. Lebarbier

A. Zakharyan

B. Turrientes

Forward

A. Marchal

M. Goti

G. Carrera

M. Oyarzabal

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

F. Mendy

E. Militao

R. Asencio

Midfielder

A. Tchouameni

T. Pitarch Pinar

Forward

Rodrygo

Endrick

Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Defender

A. Odriozola

Midfielder

P. Marin

J. Gorrotxategi

Forward

G. Guedes

Real Madrid and Real Sociedad Stats in LaLiga

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
100%
Wins
0%
0%
Losses
100%
0%
Draws
0%
3
Average goals per match
1
2
Goals scored per match
0
1
Goals conceded per match
1
0%
Under 2.5 goals
100%
100%
Over 2.5 goals
0%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
100%
BTTS
0%

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad Key Points

  1. Real Madrid won five of their last seven home league games against Sociedad.
  2. Real Madrid have beaten Real Sociedad in each of their last three meetings.
  3. Real Madrid managed just three clean sheets in their last 10 outings.
  4. Real Sociedad scored in each of their last two meetings with Madrid.
  5. Sociedad are winless in eight league matches, losing four.
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Our Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad Prediction

Across their last nine away matches at Real Madrid, Real Sociedad’s wins have only come in Copa Del Rey matches. Here they will be making a La Liga trip, and there’s definitely concern among their fans as they look to end a run of eight matches without a win.

Real Madrid have dominated this fixture, and in José Mourinho’s first home game, the urge to win reigns supreme. The two sides are miles apart in terms of quality, looking at their transfer activities. Our prediction for Real Madrid v Real Sociedad is that Real Madrid wins + BTTS.

Prediction :

 

Real Madrid wins + BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.