Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - Spanish Super Cup

Spain - Spanish Super Cup

Real Madrid
12/01/2025 14:00
Barcelona

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath in Football Predictions

The Spanish Super Cup final brings us an El Clasico as Real Madrid prepares to face Barcelona at the King Abdullah Sports City in Jeddah on Sunday. Los Blancos are out to defend their title here after beating Blaugrana 4-1 in last year’s final. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

This year's final of the Spanish Super Cup pits the two most successful teams in the competition against each other, as Real Madrid look to match their arch-rival's tally of 14 titles. 

Los Blancos booked their spot in this contest with a 3-0 victory over Mallorca on Thursday, thanks to goals from Jude Bellingham, Rodrygo and a Martin Valjent own-goal. 

That result took the defending champions’ recent record to five wins in a row across all competitions and they are unbeaten in eight dating back to the start of December. 

Meanwhile, Barcelona last lifted this trophy in 2023, beating Los Merengues, but they have only won the competition once since it was revamped to the current four-team format back in 2020. 

Blaugrana faced a stern test in Athletic Bilbao in the semi-final and got through with a two-goal victory, owing to Gavi and Lamine Yamal’s strikes in each half. 

While Barca have not been in their best form lately, splitting their last four games two wins and two defeats, they have a psychological advantage, having thumped their El Clasico nemesis 4-0 back in October in La Liga. 

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Real Madrid vs Barcelona Form

Real Madrid and Barcelona Last Matches

Real Madrid
Real Madrid Last matches
D W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
3.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Mallorca

6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Club Deportiva Minera
0 :  5
Real Madrid

3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Sevilla

18 Dec 2024 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  0
CF Pachuca

14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid
L W W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

9 Jan 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  0
Mallorca

22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  2
Sevilla

18 Dec 2024 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup

Real Madrid
3 :  0
CF Pachuca

1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
2 :  0
Getafe

9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  0
Osasuna

5 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Real Madrid
1 :  3
AC Milan
L W W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

6 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

Club Deportiva Minera
0 :  5
Real Madrid

3 Jan 2025 - LaLiga

Valencia
1 :  2
Real Madrid

14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  3
Real Madrid

10 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  3
Real Madrid

7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Girona
0 :  3
Real Madrid

4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  1
Real Madrid
Barcelona
Barcelona Last matches
D W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Jan 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona

4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

UD Barbastro
0 :  4
Barcelona

21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
0 :  1
Leganés

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Barcelona

7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Barcelona
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Atletico Madrid

15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
0 :  1
Leganés

30 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Las Palmas

26 Nov 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona
3 :  0
Brest

3 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Barcelona
3 :  1
Espanyol

23 Oct 2024 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  1
Bayern Munich
D W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

8 Jan 2025 - Spanish Super Cup

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  2
Barcelona

4 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey

UD Barbastro
0 :  4
Barcelona

11 Dec 2024 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  3
Barcelona

7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Betis
2 :  2
Barcelona

3 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Mallorca
1 :  5
Barcelona

23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
2 :  2
Barcelona

Real Madrid vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Real Madrid

50 %

Draw

0 %

Barcelona

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1.67
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
0 :  4
Barcelona

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
2 :  1
Real Madrid

21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
3 :  2
Barcelona

14 Jan 2024 - Spanish Super Cup

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Barcelona

28 Oct 2023 - LaLiga

Barcelona
1 :  2
Real Madrid

29 Jul 2023 - Clubs Friendlies

Barcelona
3 :  0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

Real Madrid against Barcelona Lineups: Starting 11

Real Madrid

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
T. Courtois
17
L. Vazquez
14
A. Tchouameni
22
A. Ruediger
23
F. Mendy
8
F. Valverde
6
E. Camavinga
11
Rodrygo
5
J. Bellingham
7
V. Junior
9
K. Mbappe
11
Raphinha
9
R. Lewandowski
19
L. Yamal
8
Pedri
17
M. Casado
6
Gavi
3
A. Balde
5
I. Martinez
2
P. Cubarsi
23
J. Kounde
25
W. Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Barcelona

Substitutes

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Goalkeeper

F. Gonzalez

A. Lunin

Defender

F. Garcia

F. Mendy 75'

L. Aguado

R. Asencio

L. Vazquez 52'

D. Alaba

Midfielder

D. Ceballos

E. Camavinga 46'

L. Modric

A. Tchouameni 64'

Forward

B. Diaz

V. Junior 76'

A. Guler

Endrick

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

A. Astralaga

I. Pena

Gavi 59'

Defender

E. Garcia

H. Fort

R. Araujo

I. Martinez 28'

G. Martin

Midfielder

F. Lopez

F. De Jong

Forward

P. Victor

F. Torres

Raphinha 79'

D. Olmo

L. Yamal 59'

Missing players

Real Madrid
Real Madrid
Defender

E. Militao

Barcelona
Barcelona
Goalkeeper

M. ter Stegen

Defender

A. Christensen

Midfielder

M. Bernal

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Real Madrid
CD Huachipato Barcelona
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Rodrygo (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain L. Yamal (2 Goals) Brazil Raphinha (2 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil V. Junior (1 Assists)
Best assists
Spain A. Balde (1 Assists)
Poland R. Lewandowski (1 Assists)
France J. Kounde (1 Assists)
Brazil Raphinha (1 Assists)

Real Madrid - Barcelona Key Points

  1. Each of Real Madrid’s last nine matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Real Madrid have scored two or more goals in nine of their last 10 matches.
  3. Nine of Barcelona’s last 10 matches across all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Barcelona have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 matches.
  5. Three or more goals were scored in each of the last six matches between these sides.
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Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction

It’s a chance for the first piece of silverware of the season for these two Spanish giants, and Real Madrid enter the contest riding a six-match win streak which sees them installed as favourites.

However, the favourites tag often carries little weight in the El Clasico as we saw in October when Barca smashed in four unanswered goals at the Bernabeu despite being the underdogs. This matchup usually delivers plenty of goals and we feel that will be the case on Sunday. Our Real Madrid vs Barcelona prediction is over 2.5. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 goals

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.