Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Rayo Vallecano will have to put to the side their continental celebrations and focus on La Liga for now. In their 35th match, they host 17th-placed Girona in Madrid, looking to improve on their own position, 11th. In recent times Rayo have had a good run in this fixture, and coupled with Girona’s form, our prediction leans towards a home win in the match.
Rayo come here having completed a 2-0 aggregate win over Strasbourg in the Conference League semis.
Their 1-0 away win in midweek wasn’t just a fifth straight unbeaten game (4W, 1D) but also a ticket to their first ever European final. In these five games, they recorded four clean sheets.
Girona had shown good promise at some point as far as their fight for survival is concerned. However, three straight defeats off the back of four winless outings have dropped the Catalans well into the relegation matrix.
They hold the poorest run of form among the sides in the bottom five. It will thus worry them that they only have a one-point cushion on the bottom three, at 38 points.
To stay out of the relegation zone, therefore, Girona must win this match. Their 3-1 loss in the reverse match was the second defeat they suffered in two meetings with Rayo, and away from home, they are winless in seven (4D, 3L).
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Rayo Vallecano v Girona Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.55 | 3.25 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.27 | 3.26 | 3.26 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.14 | 2.86 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.24 | 3.2 | 3.25 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Girona?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Girona match is: Rayo Vallecano wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Girona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.21% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Girona with odds of 2.7 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Girona is 33.08% with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.7% chance ⭐ for a win of Girona vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 3.4 at Tonybet.
Rayo Vallecano - Girona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Rayo Vallecano Girona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 48.21% | 2.7 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 58.62% | 1.98 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Rayo Vallecano | 32.02% | 6.5 at LSbet |
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Form
Rayo Vallecano and Girona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | -3 |
|
19
|
41 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | -16 |
Rayo Vallecano and Girona Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2026 - Conference League
3 May 2026 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
12 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2026 - LaLiga
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
6 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
14 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
10 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
21 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
7 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
25 Sept 2024 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
17 Jan 2024 - Copa del Rey
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Girona Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
DefenderPacha
J. Vertrouwd
A. Mumin
N. Mendy
I. Balliu
MidfielderG. Gumbau
A. Garcia
ForwardO. Trejo
R. Nteka
Alemao
C. Martin
R. Blanco
V. Krapyvtsov
DefenderH. Rincon
D. Blind
D. Lopez
MidfielderR. Artero Ruiz
I. Martin
C. Echeverri
A. Ruiz
C. Stuani
Missing players
I. Palazon
D. Mendez
D. van de Beek
Bryan Gil
ForwardPortu
V. Vanat
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
J. de Frutos
(10 Goals)
V. Vanat
(9 Goals)
A. Garcia
(5 Assists)
V. Tsygankov
(5 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano - Girona Key Points
- Rayo have won three of their last five league matches.
- Rayo posted wins in their latest two meetings with Girona.
- Seven times away from home, Girona posted zero wins.
- Girona are winless in their last four league games, losing three.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Girona Prediction
Girona’s dip in form is not just in La Liga; they have struggled lately, losing each of the last three outings. They are also without a win in the last seven matches and suffered defeat in their latest two meetings with Rayo Vallecano.
Meanwhile, the hosts come into this game in high spirits, having booked their spot in the Conference League final, a first for the side. That marked a five-match unbeaten run, with four wins in it, and our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Girona is that Rayo Vallecano wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Rayo Vallecano Girona
| Rayo Vallecano vs Girona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano wins | 2.38 | 2.7 | +13.4% |
| Draw | 3.46 | 3.4 | -1.7% |
| Girona wins | 3.27 | 3.4 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Rayo Vallecano is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 37.0% (-5.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
