Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
La Liga is back after the international break, and Rayo Vallecano will be hosting Athletic Bilbao on Saturday. Both teams are tied on eight points ahead of the eighth round of matches. While Athletic have been dominant in this fixture, Rayo’s home form could push us to a double chance prediction.
Rayo are set to return to Estadio de Vallecas, and that’s a big factor here. Benat San Jose’s men went into the international break unbeaten in two games, the latest a 1-1 draw at Osasuna.
Notably, even when playing home matches at a neutral venue, they still managed two wins in three (D1). That should give them the impetus to win a first of eight home games against Athletic.
Athletic will arrive for this encounter confident of registering a 10th unbeaten outing against Rayo. Their season so far has borne a perfect spread of results, winning two, drawing twice, and losing as many.
They are on a four-game unbeaten run coming here, the last two having ended in draws – 1-1 against Elche and 0-0 at home to Alaves.
Here, the visitors are forced to plan without Nico Williams in mind as the Spain international is sidelined for at least three more weeks. That, and Los Leones’ run of seven defeats in 10 away matches in all competitions, will worry Edin Terzic.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.75 | 3.4 | 2.49 |
|
|
|
2.88 | 3.48 | 2.63 |
|
|
|
2.78 | 3.34 | 2.54 |
|
|
|
2.78 | 3.34 | 2.54 |
|
|
|
2.78 | 3.34 | 2.54 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Rayo Vallecano or draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.69% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.88 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao is 22.73% with odds of 3.48 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.63 at 1xbet.
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 |
|
12
|
8 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 |
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga
22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
Missing players
A. Batalla
DefenderI. Balliu
L. Felipe
A. Pedrosa
U. Egiluz
ForwardN. Williams
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Stats in LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Rayo are unbeaten in 10 home games in all competitions, winning seven.
- Rayo have avoided defeat at home in four of eight games against Athletic.
- Athletic Bilbao haven’t lost to Rayo Vallecano in their last nine meetings.
- Athletic lost seven times in their last 10 away games in all competitions.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
Rayo are back at their base after starting the season in Leganes. They will be fired up for this, and their home form indicates they’ll be a good pick. Los Franjirrojos take on a side that has dominated them lately, and their form will be a motivator in the bid to turn tables.
Athletic will be confident of extending their superior ways here, but a poor away form remains an impediment. With Nico Williams out injured, Athletic could as well struggle in attack. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao is a win for Rayo Vallecano or draw.
Get up to €100 to bet on the Rayo Vallecano vs. Athletic Bilbao game

You can get yourself up to €100 in matched bets for the battle between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on LaLiga!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.