Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga

Spain - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
10/10/2026 08:00
Athletic Bilbao

Prediction :

 

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions

La Liga is back after the international break, and Rayo Vallecano will be hosting Athletic Bilbao on Saturday. Both teams are tied on eight points ahead of the eighth round of matches. While Athletic have been dominant in this fixture, Rayo’s home form could push us to a double chance prediction.

Rayo are set to return to Estadio de Vallecas, and that’s a big factor here. Benat San Jose’s men went into the international break unbeaten in two games, the latest a 1-1 draw at Osasuna.

Notably, even when playing home matches at a neutral venue, they still managed two wins in three (D1). That should give them the impetus to win a first of eight home games against Athletic.

Athletic will arrive for this encounter confident of registering a 10th unbeaten outing against Rayo. Their season so far has borne a perfect spread of results, winning two, drawing twice, and losing as many.

They are on a four-game unbeaten run coming here, the last two having ended in draws – 1-1 against Elche and 0-0 at home to Alaves.

Here, the visitors are forced to plan without Nico Williams in mind as the Spain international is sidelined for at least three more weeks. That, and Los Leones’ run of seven defeats in 10 away matches in all competitions, will worry Edin Terzic.

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Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.75 3.4 2.49
1xbet
2.88 3.48 2.63
Melbet
2.78 3.34 2.54
Betwinner
2.78 3.34 2.54
22bet
2.78 3.34 2.54
Check all Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao?

Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao match is: Rayo Vallecano or draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.69% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.88 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao is 22.73% with odds of 3.48 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 35.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 2.63 at 1xbet.

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Form

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
10 Athletic Bilbao
8 6 2 2 2 +1
12 Rayo Vallecano
8 7 2 2 3 -5

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano Last matches
D L W L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Espanyol

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
Racing Santander

31 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
5 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Alavés
W D W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

15 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  1
Espanyol

5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
3 :  2
Racing Santander

20 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Alavés

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
2 :  0
Villarreal

11 May 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Girona

30 Apr 2026 - Conference League

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  0
Strasbourg
W L L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Osasuna
1 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Real Madrid
4 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

31 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
5 :  2
Rayo Vallecano

15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Sevilla
2 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ipswich Town
3 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Charleroi
2 :  3
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao Last matches
L W W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Alavés

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Elche

5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao
D D L W D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
0 :  0
Alavés

12 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Elche

5 Sept 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  0
Atletico Madrid

22 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  3
Sevilla

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Athletic Bilbao
2 :  2
Eibar

17 May 2026 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  1
Celta Vigo
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 Oct 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Real Sociedad
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

30 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Celta Vigo
0 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

27 Aug 2026 - LaLiga

Barcelona
2 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

14 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Atalanta
1 :  0
Athletic Bilbao

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Marseille
3 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burgos
0 :  3
Athletic Bilbao

Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Rayo Vallecano

0 %

Draw

17 %

Athletic Bilbao

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

28 Feb 2026 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

25 Aug 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
1 :  0
Rayo Vallecano

13 Apr 2025 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
3 :  1
Rayo Vallecano

1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
1 :  2
Athletic Bilbao

25 May 2024 - LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
0 :  1
Athletic Bilbao

2 Dec 2023 - LaLiga

Athletic Bilbao
4 :  0
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Missing players

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Goalkeeper

A. Batalla

Defender

I. Balliu

L. Felipe

A. Pedrosa

Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
Defender

U. Egiluz

Forward

N. Williams

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Rayo Vallecano
CD Huachipato Athletic Bilbao
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Camello (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Spain R. Navarro (2 Goals)
Best assists
Spain U. Lopez (3 Assists)
Best assists
Ghana I. Williams (3 Assists)

Rayo Vallecano and Athletic Bilbao Stats in LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao
Athletic Bilbao
29%
Wins
33%
43%
Losses
33%
29%
Draws
33%
3.86
Average goals per match
2.17
1.57
Goals scored per match
1.17
2.29
Goals conceded per match
1
29%
Under 2.5 goals
67%
71%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
0%
No goals conceded
50%
100%
BTTS
33%

Rayo Vallecano - Athletic Bilbao Key Points

  1. Rayo are unbeaten in 10 home games in all competitions, winning seven.
  2. Rayo have avoided defeat at home in four of eight games against Athletic.
  3. Athletic Bilbao haven’t lost to Rayo Vallecano in their last nine meetings.
  4. Athletic lost seven times in their last 10 away games in all competitions.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction

Rayo are back at their base after starting the season in Leganes. They will be fired up for this, and their home form indicates they’ll be a good pick. Los Franjirrojos take on a side that has dominated them lately, and their form will be a motivator in the bid to turn tables.

Athletic will be confident of extending their superior ways here, but a poor away form remains an impediment. With Nico Williams out injured, Athletic could as well struggle in attack. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Athletic Bilbao is a win for Rayo Vallecano or draw.

Prediction :

 

Rayo Vallecano or Draw

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.