Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu | in LaLiga Predictions
Deportivo Alaves will be gunning for a second win in as many matches in La Liga when they face Rayo Vallecano on Thursday. Rayo will host this match at Estadio Butarque, looking to bounce back from an opening day defeat. Having defeated Alaves in four straight league meetings, our prediction will back them to extend this run.
A lot went wrong for Rayo on the opening weekend. They took the lead early against Sevilla, but when they thought they’d doubled it, Isi Palazon’s strike was disallowed.
Rayo would then concede two second-half penalties, with the second coming deep into stoppage time.
This fixture hasn’t produced a draw in the last 15 meetings, and Alaves will hope it swings in their favor this time. Their only win over Rayo across the last five meetings was in Copa del Rey.
While they are coming off a solid win on matchday one, they will have their concerns in this one. The visitors have lost nine of their previous 15 meetings with Rayo. The latest one was a 2-1 defeat at home.
A comfortable 3-0 home win against Getafe will breed the feeling they can rise here. That matchday one win, however, was against a side reduced to 10 men in the first half. Alaves scored all three in the closing 17 minutes.
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Rayo Vallecano v Alavés Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.34 | 3.17 | 3.68 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.06 | 3.54 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.12 | 3.58 |
|
|
2.26 | 3.06 | 3.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés match is: Rayo Vallecano wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2026 between Rayo Vallecano and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.41% for a win of Rayo Vallecano against Alavés with odds of 2.34 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés is 33.06% with odds of 3.17 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.54% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Rayo Vallecano with odds of 4.2 at LSbet.
Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Form
Rayo Vallecano and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
|
18
|
0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Rayo Vallecano and Alavés Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 May 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
11 May 2026 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2026 - Conference League
26 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
23 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
27 May 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - LaLiga
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
13 May 2026 - LaLiga
2 May 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - LaLiga
9 May 2026 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
11 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 May 2026 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2026 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2025 - LaLiga
29 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
D. Cardenas
DefenderM. de las Sias
P. Fernandez
J. Vertrouwd
S. Lozano
MidfielderF. Perez
M. Roman
P. Díaz
ForwardAlemao
S. Camello
I. Alonso Martin
G. Swiderski
A. Rodriguez
DefenderY. Enriquez
X. Ibarzabal
H. Novoa
M. Diarra
MidfielderM. Rodriguez
M. Rodriguez
C. Alena
C. Benavidez
A. Guevara
ForwardM. Diaz
Missing players
L. Felipe
F. Garces
N. Valentini
Most goals and assists
Rayo Vallecano
Alavés
A. Garcia
(1 Goals)
M. Diaz
(1 Goals)
, 
F. Tenaglia
(1 Goals)
,
M. Rodriguez
(1 Goals)
M. Diaz
(2 Assists)
Rayo Vallecano and Alavés Stats in LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano - Alavés Key Points
- Rayo Vallecano won nine of the last 15 matches against Alavés.
- Alavés lost each of their last four league games against Rayo.
- Alavés lost five times in six away league matches at Rayo.
- Rayo are unbeaten in their last nine league games at home, winning five.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Alavés Prediction
When drafted as the home team, Rayo have a dominant run in this fixture. They have four straight wins when hosting this encounter and generally a good run against Alavés. Notably, this fixture hasn’t produced a draw in all competitions across the last 15 meetings.
In that period Rayo won nine times, and though they won’t be hosting this game at their base, they are still confident of coming out tops. Our prediction for Rayo Vallecano v Deportivo Alavés is that Rayo Vallecano wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
