Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Wimbledon Championships
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Wimbledon Championships Predictions
Qualifier Shintaro Mochizuki is having his best ever run in a Grand Slam tournament.. He takes on the 23rd seed Rafael Jodar for a place in round four at Wimbledon. Mochizuki is just outside the world's top 150 and our prediction is although Jodar will be the victor, both players will win a set.
A tough task awaits the winner, either unseeded Jenson Brooksby or top seed Jannik Sinner.
Mochizuki had never made it past round two of a Grand Slam before this week. He reached the second round here last year and has had to play five matches so far. This is his first time past round one of an ATP Tour event this year.
In the main draw, the 23-year-old has defeated Max Basing (losing only three games) and last week's runner-up in Mallorca, Ethan Quinn. He is yet to drop a set in the main draw and has won seven of his ten grass court matches this year.
Rafael Jodar is making his debut in this grass court Grand Slam. It is also the first ever professional tournament he has played on this surface. Round one saw him beat Felix Gill in straight sets.
It was more difficult in round two as he beat fellow Spaniard Pablo Carreno Busta in five sets after trailing 2-1.
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Rafael Jodar v Shintaro Mochizuki Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
12.75 | 1.01 |
|
|
16.6 | 1.02 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.29 | 3.6 |
|
|
16.6 | 1.02 |
|
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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki match is: Rafael Jodar wins and both players win a set.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki game on 03/07/2026 of the current ATP Wimbledon Championships season:
- Rafael Jodar has a 64.08% chance to win against Shintaro Mochizuki according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 17.
- Shintaro Mochizuki has a 35.92% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 3.8 at Tonybet.
Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 64.08 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 64.08 % |
| Shintaro Mochizuki | 35.92 % |
Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Form
Rafael Jodar and Shintaro Mochizuki Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jun 2026 - ATP French Open
31 May 2026 - ATP French Open
29 May 2026 - ATP French Open
27 May 2026 - ATP French Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
1 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
24 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
22 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
6 Jun 2026 - ATP Libema Open
Rafael Jodar - Shintaro Mochizuki Key Points
- Jodar had to go to five sets to win his second round match.
- Mochizuki has an 18-6 grass court record for the last two years.
- This is only the third grass court match that Jodar has played in his professional career.
- Mochizuki beat Mallorca finalist Ethan Quinn in the last round.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Shintaro Mochizuki Prediction
Rafael Jodar had a tough match in the second round and had to win the last two sets to get past Pablo Carreno Busta. The Spaniard is so inexperienced on this surface but he is rising up the rankings and should be able to get a win here.
Shintaro Mochizuki has spent more hours on a grass court in this tournament than Jodar has in his career. The Japanese player has struggled on other surfaces but is much better on grass courts. Our Rafael Jodar v Shintaro Mochizuki prediction is Rafael Jodar wins and both players win a set.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
