Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters

ATP - ATP Shanghai Masters

Rafael Jodar Spain
Rafael Jodar ATP 13
14/10/2026 22:00
Casper Ruud Norway
Casper Ruud ATP 24

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions

Rafael Jodar is attempting to reach his second outdoor hard court Masters quarter-final of the year. The 12th seed faces 20th-seeded Casper Ruud for a place in the last four of the Shanghai Masters. A close look at the statistics has led us to make the prediction of more than 21.5 games in this match.

Jodar was a semi-finalist in this year's Canadian Open. The Spaniard is 13th in the live rankings, 11 places above his Norwegian opponent. He's 11th in the ATP Race and a win here would see him rise to ninth place and in with a great chance of making the Tour Finals.

So far in Shanghai, he has had wins over Thiago Agustin Tirante, Jiri Lehecka and Botic van de Zandschulp.

All three of those matches went to a deciding set. He's played more than 21.5 games in six of his last eight singles tournament matches.

Casper Ruud is in his first outdoor hard court Masters quarter-final of the year. His previous best in Shanghai was a fourth round in 2023.

He beat 14th seed Learner Tien in round three. Then he faced the fourth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime who retired when 5-2 down in the first set.

More than 21.5 games have been played in three of his last four completed matches in singles tournaments.

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Rafael Jodar v Casper Ruud Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.66 2.19
1xbet
1.68 2.23
Melbet
1.67 2.21
Betwinner
1.67 2.21
Bet365
1.67 2.20
Check all Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud odds

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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud match is: more than 21.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud game on 14/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:

  • Rafael Jodar has a 57.99% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 1.69.
  • Casper Ruud has a 42.01% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 57.99 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Rafael Jodar57.99 %
Casper Ruud42.01 %

Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Form

Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud Last Matches

Rafael Jodar Last matches
L W L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Botic Van De Zandschulp
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Jiri Lehecka
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Thiago Agustin Tirante
1 :  2
Rafael Jodar

1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
2 :  0
Rafael Jodar

19 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup

Christian Garin
0 :  2
Rafael Jodar

2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open

Rafael Jodar
0 :  3
Yunchaokete Bu
Casper Ruud Last matches
W L L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Learner Tien
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Yunchaokete Bu
0 :  2
Casper Ruud

30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open

Luciano Darderi
2 :  0
Casper Ruud

16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open

Christopher O'Connell
1 :  0
Casper Ruud

7 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Casper Ruud
0 :  2
Joao Fonseca

5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open

Casper Ruud
2 :  0
Juan Manuel Cerundolo
Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Prediction

Rafael Jodar - Casper Ruud Key Points

  1. Jodar has played more than 21.5 games in six of his last eight singles tournament matches.
  2. More than 21.5 games have been played in three of Ruud's last four matches in singles tournaments.
  3. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Ruud has played a tie-break in five of his last six completed matches.
  4. The last three matches Jodar has played have all gone to a deciding set with two tie-breaks.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Prediction

A close match is expected between these two seeded players. Rafael Jodar has had to play for over seven hours in his three matches played so far in this Masters tournament. He has also played a tie-break in each of his last two matches. A side bet on one here could well be profitable.

Casper Ruud is yet to drop a set in this tournament, though he has had to play a couple of tie-breaks. Only seven games were played in his last match due to his opponent retiring. Our Rafael Jodar v Casper Ruud prediction is more than 21.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 21.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.