Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Shanghai Masters
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Shanghai Masters Predictions
Rafael Jodar is attempting to reach his second outdoor hard court Masters quarter-final of the year. The 12th seed faces 20th-seeded Casper Ruud for a place in the last four of the Shanghai Masters. A close look at the statistics has led us to make the prediction of more than 21.5 games in this match.
Jodar was a semi-finalist in this year's Canadian Open. The Spaniard is 13th in the live rankings, 11 places above his Norwegian opponent. He's 11th in the ATP Race and a win here would see him rise to ninth place and in with a great chance of making the Tour Finals.
So far in Shanghai, he has had wins over Thiago Agustin Tirante, Jiri Lehecka and Botic van de Zandschulp.
All three of those matches went to a deciding set. He's played more than 21.5 games in six of his last eight singles tournament matches.
Casper Ruud is in his first outdoor hard court Masters quarter-final of the year. His previous best in Shanghai was a fourth round in 2023.
He beat 14th seed Learner Tien in round three. Then he faced the fourth seed Felix Auger-Aliassime who retired when 5-2 down in the first set.
More than 21.5 games have been played in three of his last four completed matches in singles tournaments.
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Rafael Jodar v Casper Ruud Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.66 | 2.19 |
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1.68 | 2.23 |
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1.67 | 2.21 |
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1.67 | 2.21 |
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1.67 | 2.20 |
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Who will win the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud match is: more than 21.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud game on 14/10/2026 of the current ATP Shanghai Masters season:
- Rafael Jodar has a 57.99% chance to win against Casper Ruud according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 1.69.
- Casper Ruud has a 42.01% probability of winning facing Rafael Jodar ⭐ with odds of 2.23 at 1xbet.
Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Rafael Jodar has a 57.99 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Rafael Jodar | 57.99 % |
| Casper Ruud | 42.01 % |
Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Form
Rafael Jodar and Casper Ruud Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
19 Sept 2026 - Davis Cup
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
16 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
7 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
Rafael Jodar - Casper Ruud Key Points
- Jodar has played more than 21.5 games in six of his last eight singles tournament matches.
- More than 21.5 games have been played in three of Ruud's last four matches in singles tournaments.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Ruud has played a tie-break in five of his last six completed matches.
- The last three matches Jodar has played have all gone to a deciding set with two tie-breaks.
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Our Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud Prediction
A close match is expected between these two seeded players. Rafael Jodar has had to play for over seven hours in his three matches played so far in this Masters tournament. He has also played a tie-break in each of his last two matches. A side bet on one here could well be profitable.
Casper Ruud is yet to drop a set in this tournament, though he has had to play a couple of tie-breaks. Only seven games were played in his last match due to his opponent retiring. Our Rafael Jodar v Casper Ruud prediction is more than 21.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.