PSG vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Back in domestic action after a dramatic game in Europe, PSG will be hosting Lorient looking to close in on the Ligue 1 title. The Parisians lead the charge for the title with 69 points, a six-point buffer, while Lorient are ninth. Let’s have a look at the match prediction here.
After a thrilling 5-4 win against Bayern Munich in the Champions League, PSG will be looking to gain more control in Ligue 1. With a decisive game still ahead in the UCL, PSG could take the chance to rest key players.
It will be a delicate balance for the side needing three points to keep Lens at bay. Seven home wins in the last 10 matches will give PSG the confidence they need here.
Lorient do not have much to chase. A 3-2 defeat against Strasbourg in the last match means they can't finish higher than eighth.
Having posted 10 wins, 11 losses, and 11 draws in the 31 matches, however, Les Merlus are safe from the drop and will only be looking to finish in the top half.
For a side that started 2026 strongly, Lorient’s recent results have been rather disappointing. They’ve only managed three wins in 12 games.
They held PSG to a 1-1 draw in the reverse match and will be hoping to go one better.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
PSG v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.36 | 5.8 | 7.6 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.45 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.33 | 5.45 | 8.2 |
|
|
1.36 | 5.75 | 7 |
|
|
1.34 | 5.4 | 7.6 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Lorient?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Lorient match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between PSG and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 65.62% for a win of PSG against Lorient with odds of 1.38 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Lorient is 18.64% with odds of 5.8 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.75% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs PSG with odds of 8.6 at 888Starz.
PSG - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 65.62% | 1.38 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.68% | |
| Both Team To Score | 51.67% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 31.56% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
PSG vs Lorient Form
PSG and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
9
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -3 |
PSG and Lorient Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Mar 2026 - French Cup
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2024 - Ligue 1
12 Aug 2023 - Ligue 1
30 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
3 Apr 2022 - Ligue 1
PSG against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 2 - 4 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
B. Laurendon
DefenderS. Coulibaly
Marquinhos
T. Cordier
MidfielderJ. Neves
W. Zaire-Emery
K. Kvaratskhelia
P. Mounguengue
O. Dembele
B. Kamara
DefenderI. Toure
D. Yongwa
I. Silva
MidfielderD. Karim
J. Makengo
B. Mohamed
A. Tosin
S. Soumano
Missing players
L. Chevalier
DefenderA. Hakimi
I. Zabarnyi
ForwardG. Ramos
Q. Ndjantou
T. Le Bris
Most goals and assists
PSG
Lorient
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
P. Pagis
(10 Goals)
, 
B. Dieng
(10 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
A. Kouassi
(6 Assists)
PSG - Lorient Key Points
- 14 goals were scored in the last five meetings between these teams.
- 2.6 goals were scored on average in Lorient’s last five away matches.
- Lorient’s last league outing produced five goals.
- Each of PSG’s last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our PSG vs Lorient Prediction
PSG showed their two sides in the midweek win against Bayern Munich. They are very strong in attack but can be opened up in defence. Though Luis Enrique's men were playing a way superior side, PSG could still face similar shortcomings, especially as a rotation is expected here.
Partly due to their defensive frailties, most of PSG’s matches have been high-scoring. Lorient are under no pressure and can field their strongest team. The visitors will definitely test PSG. Our prediction for PSG v Lorient is for more than 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Lorient
| PSG vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.25 | 1.38 | +10.4% |
| Draw | 7.5 | 5.8 | -22.7% |
| Lorient wins | 12.1 | 8.6 | -28.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 72.5% (-7.5%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
