PSG vs Brest Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Title-chasing PSG return to French Ligue 1 action this weekend, where they will be at home against Brest. After 32 rounds of play, PSG top the standings, whereas Brest are down in 12th. Going to a match known for goals, our prediction is for more than 3.5.
PSG can now focus on their league title defence after making it to the Champions League final yet again. They can now focus fully on wrapping up the league title before the European final at the end of May.
Luis Enrique’s men drew 1-1 away to Bayern Munich in midweek and won that semi-final tie 6-5 on aggregate. That result, their second stalemate in a row, extended their current unbeaten run to five games.
Paris, who were held at home by Lorient last weekend, are six points clear with 70 points and with three games to go.
Brest are not playing for anything other than a stronger league finish. The Pirates are already assured of survival but cannot qualify for Europe.
With 38 points, they are 10 clear of the drop zone and 16 adrift of the top six. Eric Roy’s men, who have a game in hand, have won 10 matches and lost another 13.
Brest haven’t won against PSG in 40 years and arrive for the weekend having not won in six outings. The visitors were outclassed last weekend as they visited the capital, losing 4-0 to Paris FC.
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PSG v Brest Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.21 | 7.6 | 12 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.5 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.4 | 12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Brest?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Brest match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between PSG and Brest in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 66.25% for a win of PSG against Brest with odds of 1.23 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Brest is 20.83% with odds of 7.8 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 12.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Brest vs PSG with odds of 15 at Bet365.
PSG - Brest Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Brest Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 66.25% | 1.23 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.38% | 1.33 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 43.38% | 1.58 at LSbet |
PSG vs Brest Form
PSG and Brest's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
76 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | +45 |
|
12
|
39 | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | -12 |
PSG and Brest Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2026 - Champions League
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 May 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
28 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
8 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
25 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
1 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Feb 2026 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Brest Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
1 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
14 Sept 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2024 - French Cup
PSG against Brest Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
M. Safonov
DefenderD. Boly
D. Lucea
MidfielderVitinha
J. Neves
K. Kvaratskhelia
I. Mbaye
D. Doue
O. Dembele
R. Majecki
DefenderL. Zogbe
B. Chardonnet
MidfielderA. Lassus
H. Makalou
R. Lascary
P. Mboup
S. Diop
M. Balde
Missing players
L. Chevalier
DefenderA. Hakimi
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
K. Lala
S. Coulibaly
B. Locko
Most goals and assists
PSG
Brest
B. Barcola
(11 Goals)
R. Del Castillo
(9 Goals)
Vitinha
(8 Assists)
L. Ajorque
(9 Assists)
PSG - Brest Key Points
- PSG have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 outings.
- Six of the last eight meetings between Brest and PSG had over 3.5 goals.
- Brest have conceded three or four goals four times in their last five outings.
- In six consecutive meetings, PSG scored at least three times against Brest.
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Our PSG vs Brest Prediction
Our prediction for PSG v Brest is for more than 3.5 goals. This match has almost always been a high-scoring affair. The last nine meetings have each produced at least three goals. We expect this trajectory to continue as PSG seek to strengthen their title defence.
The hosts, one of the most potent teams, not only in France but in Europe, are averaging more than two goals a game in the league. Brest, on the other hand, possess one of Ligue 1’s most porous defences.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Brest
| PSG vs Brest | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.18 | 1.23 | +4.2% |
| Draw | 9 | 7.8 | -13.3% |
| Brest wins | 17 | 15 | -11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.7% and is now 81.3% (-3.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
