Tip PSG - Bayern Munich
French giants PSG have a shaky run at home but will be hoping that doesn’t come up on Tuesday when they face Bayern Munich in the return leg of their Champions League quarter final. PSG leads 3-2 from the first leg and will hope to see off the tie on the back of a home run that has only one win and three losses in the last five matches. The last time they played at home they lost 1-0 to Lille but head here with two straight wins, the most recent a 4-1 win over Strasbourg in Ligue 1. That win was their fourth in the last five matches and Kylian Mbappe’s goal there was his seventh in the last five matches. The big worry they carry to this game, is that Kaylor Navas was replaced at half time with reports suggesting he was injured. If so, they’ll miss the goalkeeper, who has made 18 saves in the last two Champions League matches. They will have Neymar back after serving suspension in the Strasbourg game and having provided two assists in the first leg, will be eyeing another good show. However, Marco Veratti, Layvin Kurzawa and Marquinhos are out. PSG have failed to score in only one of their last 10 matches and will be fired up for this one with Neymar and Mbappe getting to play together again. Their last loss in the Champions League was against a German opponent – Leipzig; after that they’re unbeaten in six. The French giants have five wins and a draw while they’ve scored two or more in four of the last five matches in the competition. However, they have no clean sheet in the last five.
Bayern Munich have their toughest challenge in two seasons in the Champions League in this tie. The injury hit side hasn’t managed a win in two straight matches and those two have really shown how crucial Robert Lewandowski is to the team. Keeping clean sheets has been a major difficulty and they’ve survived by outscoring opponents, which has worked well with Lewandowski in. Right now, Serge Gnabry, Leon Goretzka and Kingsley Coman are the other attacking players injured. Niklas Süle, Lucas Hernandez and Corentin Tolisso are also out with injury. The team is coming from a disappointing 1-1 draw with Union Berlin, a late concession in that game means they have only two clean sheets in the last 11 matches. The loss in the first leg was their first in 20 Champions League matches and they’ve won 20, while they’ve scored in 21 straight Champions League matches. Eric Choupo-Moting, who has six goals in all competitions this season, and Thomas Muller with 13 goals are expected to fill in the shoes of Lewandowski, who has 42 goals. It is a tough job for Choupo-Moting especially, but he has three Champions League goals in the last four matches.
Key points PSG - Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich have one clean sheet in eight Champions League matches.
Bayern Munich have three straight away wins.
PSG have no clean sheet in the last five Champions League matches.
PSG have failed to score in only one of their last 10 matches.
PSG are unbeaten in six Champions League matches.
Conclusion PSG - Bayern Munich
PSG carry a good lead to this game; for Bayern to advance, they need at least a 2-0 win. While they have what it takes, the leakages at the back could be a big impediment. Facing a team with Neymar, Mbappe and Moise Kean, isn’t an easy mission with an unstable defence. PSG haven’t kept many clean sheets lately too, so both teams scoring looks possible here and with the battle expected in Paris, over 2.5 goals also looks good.
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PSG Bayern Munich Prediction published on April 11, 2021