PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Super Cup
Europe - UEFA Super Cup
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Football Predictions
The first piece of major European silverware of the new season is on the line on Wednesday night when Paris Saint-Germain take on Aston Villa in the UEFA Super Cup at the Red Bull Arena. These sides played to a nine-goal thriller in their two-legged Champions League tie in 2024-25, and we are leaning toward another high-scoring outcome here as our match prediction.
Last season, Les Parisiens became the first team to successfully defend the UCL title since Real Madrid’s famous three-peat between 2016 and 2018. The Red and Blues are now looking to add back-to-back Super Cup crowns to their name after beating Tottenham Hotspur in this fixture last term.
Unai Emery notched up his fifth Europa League title last season and led the Villans to their first in the competition by beating Freiburg in Istanbul. Villa fought back from 5-1 down but came up agonisingly short (5-4 on aggregate) when they faced the French giants in the 2024-25 UCL quarter-finals - can the Lions conquer the Kings of Europe this time? Let’s get into the key stats!
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PSG v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.81 | 3.8 | 4.4 |
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1.82 | 3.94 | 4.72 |
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1.77 | 3.78 | 4.5 |
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1.77 | 3.78 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.8 | 4.54 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Aston Villa match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2026 between PSG and Aston Villa in UEFA Super Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.74% for a win of PSG against Aston Villa with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Aston Villa is 20.03% with odds of 3.94 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs PSG with odds of 4.72 at 1xbet.
PSG vs Aston Villa Form
PSG and Aston Villa Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2026 - Champions League
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Apr 2026 - Champions League
22 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
13 May 2026 - Ligue 1
6 May 2026 - Champions League
25 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
14 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 May 2026 - Premier League
7 May 2026 - Europa League
3 May 2026 - Premier League
19 Apr 2026 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
20 May 2026 - Europa League
PSG vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
PSG - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Paris Saint-Germain enjoyed another excellent season in 2025-26, notching up their fifth consecutive Ligue 1 title before defending their Champions League crown against Arsenal on penalties.
The Parisians have an impeccable record against English opposition in Europe, having won nine, drawn two, and lost only one of their last 12 UEFA competition matches against such opponents.
PSG wrapped up their pre-season preparations with a 1-1 draw against Manchester United last weekend in Göteborg and lost just one of their final nine competitive matches last season (W6 D2).
PSG equalled the UCL’s all time single-season goalscoring record last term with 45 goals!
Aston Villa finished in fourth place in the Premier League standings with 65 points last season before clinching their first-ever Europa League title by comprehensively beating Freiburg 3-0 in Istanbul.
The Villans have won the UEFA Super Cup before (1982-83) and were the last team to beat PSG in a UCL knockout match, doing so in that 2024-25 quarter-final 3-2 at Villa Park in the second leg.
The Lions lost 2-1 to Bayern Munich last weekend and ended the pre-season with three wins and three losses in six games. However, they were unbeaten in their final five competitive matches last term (W4 D1).
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Missing players
N. Mendes
A. Onana
J. Manzambi
PSG & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
PSG confirmed the signing of Maghnes Akilouche last week. The former Monaco man could make his competitive debut for his new owners here, as could Lucas Digne, who joined the Parisians from Villa during the summer.
Having not featured at the World Cup, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia will be raring to go this week. The Georgian international was named the 2025-26 UCL Player of the Season after recording 10 goals and six assists in 16 matches last term.
Given their participation in the 2026 World Cup, Bradley Barcola, Ousmane Dembele, Fabian Ruiz, Desire Doue, and Achraf Hakimi are listed as doubts to start this week’s blockbuster in Salzburg.
Nuno Mendes recorded three goal contributions in the UCL quarter-final tie against Villa in 2024-25!
Aston Villa have made several new signings this summer, including the acquisitions of Mado Keba Cisse, Joao Gomes, and Alejandro Garnacho, and all three could make their competitive debuts here.
The Villans also secured the services of the highly rated Johan Manzambi from Freiburg, but the Swiss international will sit out the Super Cup final after sustaining a knee injury at the World Cup last month.
Leon Bailey (muscle) and Amadou Onana (knee) are also ruled out this week through injury, while John McGinn, Ezri Konsa, Emiliano Martinez, and Ollie Watkins are listed as minor fitness doubts.
PSG - Aston Villa Key Points
- Six of PSG’s last nine games in all competitions ended with both teams scoring.
- PSG have scored two or more goals in 10 of their last 15 competitive matches.
- Eight of Aston Villa’s last 10 games in all competitions ended with both teams scoring.
- Aston Villa have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 competitive matches.
- Both teams scored in the two previous matches between these sides.
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Our PSG vs Aston Villa Prediction
PSG are well capable of scoring in bulk, as we saw last season when they equalled the UCL single-season goal-scoring record with 45 goals, but they could be short-handed here, given several of their players' participation in the 2026 World Cup.
Aston Villa are the clear underdogs in this match, but they proved that they can go toe-to-toe with the French giants when they pushed them to the limit in that thrilling nine-goal two-legged tie in the 2024-25 UCL quarter-finals. This match has all the makings of another free-flowing, attacking encounter. Therefore, our PSG vs Aston Villa prediction is BTTS.
PSG vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
PSG wins
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PSG vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The 2026 UEFA Super Cup final between PSG and Aston Villa will be broadcast on Canal+ (France) and TNT Sports (UK).
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our UEFA Super Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
