Porto vs Estrela Amadora Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Liga Portugal Predictions
FC Porto have the chance to pull eight points clear at the top of the Liga Portugal. They’ll be hosting 13th-placed Estrela, who are five points above the red zone. Read on for our prediction of the match.
Last week panned out just fine for Porto, as third-placed Benfica and Sporting played to a 1-1 draw. Porto took advantage of that, registering their 12th win of the season in beating Tondela 2-0.
They have only dropped points once this season, in a draw with Benfica. Coming from a 2-1 win over Malmo in the Europa League, Porto will not need to look too far for inspiration. In their last six home matches against Estrela, Porto won without conceding.
Estrela will go into this game seeking a second straight away win against FC Porto. The two sides clashed in April, hosted by Estrela, who went on to win 2-0. It was a rare win, their second in six meetings.
To replicate that, the visitors will have to be at their very best here. They are coming off a 3-1 win at home to Arouca and will feel it was a good warmup for this match. However, facing Porto away will call for more.
Estrela’s away run reads one win in their last seven matches, and they failed to score in four. Sticking with number four, their latest away game ended in a 4-0 defeat as they traveled to Sporting Lisbon.
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Porto v Estrela Amadora Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.2 | 16 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.7 | 16 |
|
|
1.16 | 7.7 | 16 |
|
|
1.13 | 7 | 15 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.6 | 14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Estrela Amadora?
Our prediction for the Porto vs Estrela Amadora match is: Porto to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/12/2025 between Porto and Estrela Amadora in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.8% for a win of Porto against Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.24 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Estrela Amadora is 16.01% with odds of 7.7 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Estrela Amadora vs Porto with odds of 21 at Shangrila.
Porto - Estrela Amadora Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Estrela Amadora Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 68.8% | 1.24 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.35% | 1.58 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score: No | 54.17% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto | 43.23% | 1.58 at LSbet |
Porto vs Estrela Amadora Form
Porto and Estrela Amadora's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
88 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | +48 |
|
15
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 |
Porto and Estrela Amadora Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
4 Dec 2025 - Portugal League Cup
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Taca de Portugal
2 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
27 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal
9 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
27 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
14 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
25 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
19 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
18 Oct 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Portugal
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Portugal
Porto vs Estrela Amadora Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Apr 2025 - Liga Portugal
16 Dec 2024 - Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Sept 2023 - Liga Portugal
Porto against Estrela Amadora Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
C. Ramos
DefenderM. Fernandes
D. Prpic
MidfielderG. Veiga
S. Eustaquio
P. Rosario
A. Alarcon
D. Gul
W. Gomes
D. Grilo
DefenderJ. Encada
A. Chernev
Caica
MidfielderJ. Cabral
R. Oliveira Botelho
ForwardJ. Gastao
J. Meirele
R. Pinho
Missing players
L. De Jong
Most goals and assists
Porto
Estrela Amadora
S. Aghehowa
(13 Goals)
G. Veiga
(8 Assists)
A. Marcus
(5 Assists)
Porto - Estrela Amadora Key Points
- Porto won to nil their last five home matches against Estrela.
- Porto have nine wins in their last 10 home matches against Estrela.
- Estrela failed to score in four of their last five away league matches.
- Porto won to nil in three of their last five home games.
- Porto have eight wins in their latest 10 outings.
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Our Porto vs Estrela Amadora Prediction
Just two weeks after suffering a heavy defeat away to Sporting, Estrela have another difficult trip, this time to FC Porto. They did win 2-0 in their latest match against Porto, but then they were the hosts. Now comes an away trip to Estadio do Dragao.
Here they have no wins in the last five matches; they lost all without scoring a goal. Finding Porto in top form means such a scoreline remains a possibility. Our prediction for Porto v Estrela is for Porto to win to nil.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto Estrela Amadora
| Porto vs Estrela Amadora | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 1.15 | 1.24 | +7.8% |
| Draw | 8 | 7.7 | -3.8% |
| Estrela Amadora wins | 16 | 21 | +31.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Porto is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.0% and is now 80.6% (-6.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
