Porto vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
by Devesh Jaganath | in Champions League Predictions
Wednesday’s Champions League action will get underway at Estadio Do Dragao, where Porto will play host to Arsenal. The hosts qualified for the knockout stages by finishing second in Group H with 12 points, while the visitors topped Group B with 13 points.
This will be the first of two legs in the Round of 16, with the second leg set to be played on March 12 at The Emirates Stadium in London.
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The Best Betting Odds for Porto v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.5 | 4 | 1.62 |
|
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5.5 | 4 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.5 | 3.8 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.4 | 3.9 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.78 | 4.08 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.78 | 4.08 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.55 | 3.86 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.8 | 4.2 | 1.61 |
|
|
5.65 | 3.98 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.6 | 4.2 | 1.61 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and Arsenal?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 2/21/24 between Porto and Arsenal in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.69% for a win of Porto against Arsenal with odds of 5.8 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs Arsenal is 22.26% with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Porto with odds of 1.63 at NetBet.
Porto - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Porto Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Porto wins | 42.69% | 5.8 at Stake |
| Under 2.5 | 52.16% | 2.11 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 42.86% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Porto | 21.86% | 12 at Stake |
Porto vs Arsenal Form
Porto and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2024 - Taca de Portugal
3 Feb 2024 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
20 Jan 2024 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
11 Feb 2024 - Premier League
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
30 Jan 2024 - Premier League
20 Jan 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
Porto - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Porto bowed out of this competition in this round last season when they were beaten by Inter Milan 1-0 on aggregate. They come into this match carrying decent form and fresh of a 2-0 win over Estrela last weekend. That result saw them maintain third place in the Primeira Liga this season, currently on 48 points after 22 matches, four points behind Sporting Lisbon, though the Lions have played two games fewer. In this competition, Porto secured a 5-3 victory against Shakhtar Donetsk in their most recent group-stage match at home. Galeno was the standout performer, netting two goals for the team. That win extended Porto's unbeaten streak to 10 consecutive home games in all competitions, including nine wins and a draw. They have also kept clean sheets in each of their last five home games leading into this one. Still, the bookmakers have the hosts down as big outsiders in this match.
Meanwhile, Arsenal have built up excellent momentum in recent weeks and come into this match in scintillating form. Their 5-0 win over Burnley last weekend followed a 6-0 thumping of London rivals West Ham United a week earlier. Over their last five league games, the Gunners have smashed in an incredible 20 goals while conceding just three. That run of results has seen them leapfrog Manchester City into second place in the Premier League standings, now on 55 points after 25 games, two points behind league leaders Liverpool. In this competition, Arsenal were drawn in the same group as Eredivisie high-flyers PSV, along with Lens and Sevilla. They posted a record of four wins, one draw and one loss, finishing four points clear at the top of the group standings. Arsenal have accumulated four points out of a possible nine in this season's competition in their away matches (W1 D1 L1) and are aiming to extend their current three-match winning streak in away games across all competitions.
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Porto against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Porto & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Porto will remain without the services of defender Ivan Marcano, who has missed a large portion of the season already and it is still unclear if he will return in the current campaign owing to an ACL injury. Gabriel Veron has returned to the squad following a spell on the sideline due to an injury to his Achilles tendon, though he is flagged as a doubt for this match. Galeno and Evanilson have been pivotal figures for Porto in the Champions League, serving as the team's primary goal-scorers. Both players have netted four goals each, placing them as joint top scorers for Porto and tied for the fifth position in the competition's scoring charts overall.
Arsenal have several players that are touch and go at the moment. Takehiro Tomiyasu has not played since returning from the Asian Cup owing to a knock picked up while playing for Japan. Thomas Partey has been out of action for four months, missed the AFCON with Ghana, and is expected to remain sidelined until next month. Gabriel Jesus, Oleksandr Zinchenko, and Fabio Vieira could return from their respective injuries in midweek while Jurrien Timber is ruled out for the foreseeable future.
Porto - Arsenal Key Points
- Four of Porto’s six group-stage matches ended with over 2.5 goals
- Porto have scored two or more goals in eight of their last ten home games in all competitions
- Four of Arsenal’s six group stage matches ended with over 2.5 goals
- Arsenal have scored two or more goals in each of their last five matches
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in the last two games between these sides
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Our Porto vs Arsenal Prediction
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Porto vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Champions League match between Porto and Arsenal will be played on Wednesday, February 21, at 20:00 GMT.
Porto and Arsenal will lock horns at Estadio do Dragao in Porto, Portugal.
Serdar Gozubuyuk will take charge of the match with the assistance of Erwin Zeinstra, Johan Balder, and Joey Kooij as the fourth official.
The match between Porto and Arsenal will be televised on TNT Sports and Discovery+.
Alternatively, you can keep up to date with all the Champions League livescores right here.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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