Porto vs FC Alverca SAD Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal

Portugal - Liga Portugal

Porto
02/05/2026 15:30
FC Alverca SAD

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Liga Portugal Predictions

Porto will be looking to secure this season’s Portuguese Primeira Liga title when they host Alverca this weekend. After 31 rounds of play, Porto are top of the standings while Alverca are in ninth. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Porto are on the verge of being crowned Portuguese champions yet again. The Dragons are seven points clear with three games left to play. Victory in front of home support will see them record their 31st league success and end a four-year wait.

Porto have racked up 82 points thanks to 26 wins and four draws. They have lost just one game. Francesco Farioli’s men were 2-1 winners away to Estrela last weekend.

Alverca are now just looking to achieve a higher league finish after confirming their ultimate goal. This weekend’s visitors have had quite the campaign in their return to the topflight after more than 20 years.

Alverca, who are one of two teams that were promoted, are already assured of being in the Primeira Liga next season. This weekend’s visitors have racked up 38 points and are 12 points clear of their drop.

They have avoided defeat 18 times this season, with 10 of those fixtures seeing them victorious. Alverca defeated Arouca 2-1 last weekend.

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Porto v FC Alverca SAD Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.18 6.8 15
Melbet
1.15 7.9 17
Betwinner
1.15 7.9 17
Bet365
1.15 6.5 17
Roobet
1.17 6.6 14
Check all Porto vs FC Alverca SAD odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Porto and FC Alverca SAD?

Our prediction for the Porto vs FC Alverca SAD match is: more than 2.5 goals

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 02/05/2026 between Porto and FC Alverca SAD in Liga Portugal :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.34% for a win of Porto against FC Alverca SAD with odds of 1.21 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Porto vs FC Alverca SAD is 32.5% with odds of 7.9 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 11.16% chance ⭐ for a win of FC Alverca SAD vs Porto with odds of 17 at Melbet.

Porto - FC Alverca SAD Prediction and Best Odds:

Porto FC Alverca SAD Prediction Probability Odds
Porto wins 56.34% 1.21 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 55.62% 1.57 at Shangrila
Both Team To Score 54.17%
Half-time / Full-time : Porto/Porto 27.5% 1.62 at Bet365

Porto vs FC Alverca SAD Form

Porto and FC Alverca SAD's standings in the Liga Portugal

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Porto
88 34 28 4 2 +48
11 FC Alverca SAD
39 34 10 9 15 -17

Porto and FC Alverca SAD Last Matches

Porto
Porto Last matches
D W L W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Porto

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Tondela

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Porto

9 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest
W W D D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Apr 2026 - Taca de Portugal

Porto
0 :  0
Sporting Lisbon

19 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  0
Tondela

9 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Porto
1 :  1
Nottingham Forest

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
2 :  2
Famalicao

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Porto
2 :  0
Stuttgart

15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Porto
3 :  0
Moreirense
D W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estrela Amadora
1 :  2
Porto

16 Apr 2026 - Europa League

Nottingham Forest
1 :  0
Porto

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Estoril
1 :  3
Porto

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

SC Braga
1 :  2
Porto

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Stuttgart
1 :  2
Porto

8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  2
Porto
FC Alverca SAD
FC Alverca SAD Last matches
D L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  1
Arouca

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
3 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
FC Alverca SAD
D D D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

24 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
2 :  1
Arouca

12 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
3 :  1
Casa Pia Lisbon

22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  4
Sporting Lisbon

7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
0 :  0
AVS Futebol SAD

21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  1
Santa Clara

31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
1 :  1
Estrela Amadora
L D D D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Nacional Madeira
1 :  0
FC Alverca SAD

4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal

Rio Ave
1 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

14 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal

Gil Vicente
2 :  2
FC Alverca SAD

28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Vitoria SC Guimaraes
1 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

13 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Tondela
1 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

8 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal

Benfica Lisbon
2 :  1
FC Alverca SAD

Porto vs FC Alverca SAD Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Porto

100 %

Draw

0 %

FC Alverca SAD

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3
Total goals
0%
BTTS
3
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

22 Dec 2025 - Liga Portugal

FC Alverca SAD
0 :  3
Porto

Porto against FC Alverca SAD Lineups: Starting 11

Porto

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

99
D. Costa
20
A. Costa
5
J. Bednarek
4
J. Kiwior
12
Z. Sanusi
10
G. Veiga
13
P. Rosario
8
V. Froholdt
11
Pepe
27
D. Gul
77
O. Pietuszewski
10
Chiquinho
91
S. Lima
20
Figueiredo
12
I. James
18
Lincoln
26
Rhaldney
2
N. Touaizi
33
B. Meupiyou
5
S. Gomez
4
Naves
31
M. Mendes

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

FC Alverca SAD

Substitutes

Porto
Porto
Goalkeeper

C. Ramos

Defender

T. Silva

M. Fernandes

Z. Sanusi 46'

Midfielder

A. Varela

J. Kiwior 46'

R. Mora

Pepe 86'

S. Fofana

G. Veiga 74'

Forward

B. Sainz

O. Pietuszewski 63'

W. Gomes

T. Moffi

FC Alverca SAD
FC Alverca SAD
Goalkeeper

M. Oliveira

Defender

D. Spencer

Naves 89'

S. Baseya

Midfielder

Z. Kassary

Rhaldney 90'

V. Da Silva Moreira

D. Gui

Figueiredo 77'

S. Diarra

Forward

Marezi

Chiquinho 77'

C. Nuozzi

S. Lima 90'

Missing players

Porto
Porto
Midfielder

A. Oliveira

Forward

L. De Jong

S. Aghehowa

A. Miranda

FC Alverca SAD
FC Alverca SAD
Defender

J. Martinez

F. Chissumba

Midfielder

S. Abdulai

T. Mendes

Forward

F. Garcia

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Porto
CD Huachipato FC Alverca SAD
Top Goalscorer
Spain S. Aghehowa (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Serbia Marezi (9 Goals)
Best assists
Spain G. Veiga (8 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil Lincoln (5 Assists)
Spain N. Touaizi (5 Assists)

Porto - FC Alverca SAD Key Points

  1. Porto's league matches have had 78 goals scored.
  2. Alverca's 31 league games have averaged 2.67 goals.
  3. Five of Alverca’s last six fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals.
  4. Porto scored three goals in the most recent meeting with Alverca.
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Our Porto vs FC Alverca SAD Prediction

Our prediction for Porto vs Alverca is for more than 2.5 goals. This is an important fixture for Porto, as it allows them the opportunity to confirm the title in front of home support. Nothing else but a win will suffice for the hosts who are one of the more potent sides in the Primeira Liga.

Porto are averaging two goals a game in the league and put three past Alverca in their most recent meeting. The visitors, on the other hand, have a leaky rearguard, which hasn’t kept a clean sheet in six straight games.

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Porto FC Alverca SAD

Porto vs FC Alverca SAD Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Porto wins 1.2 1.21 +0.8%
Draw 6.3 7.9 +25.4%
FC Alverca SAD wins 17.5 17 -2.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Porto is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 0.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 82.6% (-0.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Porto vs FC Alverca SAD Prediction