Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction & Betting Tips - WNBA

USA - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
16/08/2026 19:00
Portland Fire

Prediction :

 

Portland Fire +5.5 handicap

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Basketball Predictions

After ending their five-game road trip with a win, 10th-place Phoenix Mercury begin their five-game homestand by welcoming ninth-place Portland Fire to Mortgage Matchup Center in the WNBA tonight. The Arizona franchise have dropped three of their four games and appear set for another difficult encounter against in-form Portland. This is why we are favouring the visitors in our prediction.

The Phoenix Mercury shot 52% from the field, including 36% from beyond the arc, to defeat the Los Angeles Sparks 94–87 on Tuesday, rounding off their five-game roadstand with a win. That victory also brought their three-game losing streak to an end and moved them to within seven games of eighth-place Dallas. 

A strong showing during their five-game homestand, beginning tonight, could improve their chances of a top-eight finish. However, they have endured a worrying run of form at home recently, losing nine of their 13 games at Mortgage Matchup Center.

After a narrow four-point defeat to league-leading Minnesota Lynx, the Portland Fire returned to winning ways by edging past Seattle Storm 84–82 on Thursday. Alex Sarama’s team have now won three of their last four games and hold a solid 4–3 record in their last seven road games.

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Phoenix Mercury v Portland Fire Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
1xbet
1.48 2.72
22bet
1.47 2.69
Bet365
1.44 2.7
Roobet
1.46 2.62
BC Game
1.46 2.62
Check all Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire odds

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Who will win the Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire match is: Portland Fire +5.5 handicap.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire game on 16/08/2026 of the current WNBA season:

  • Phoenix Mercury has a 66.74% chance to pick up the win against Portland Fire according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.5.
  • There is a probability of 33.26% ⭐ for Portland Fire to win vs Phoenix Mercury with odds of 2.75 at Betway.

Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Form

Phoenix Mercury and Portland Fire's standings in the WNBA

Teams % P W L Series
9 Portland Fire
0.412 34 14 20 1
10 Phoenix Mercury
0.371 35 13 22 1

Phoenix Mercury and Portland Fire Last Matches

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury Last matches
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Aug 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
87 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

9 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
95 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

7 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

5 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
96 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

3 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
101 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

1 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

1 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
92 :  94
New York Liberty

29 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
91 :  89
Golden State Valkyries

19 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
72 :  63
Connecticut Sun

17 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
83 :  96
Connecticut Sun

9 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
89 :  92
Indiana Fever

7 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Phoenix Mercury
66 :  77
Chicago Sky
W W L L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

11 Aug 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
87 :  94
Phoenix Mercury

9 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
95 :  75
Phoenix Mercury

7 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
75 :  72
Phoenix Mercury

5 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
96 :  82
Phoenix Mercury

3 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Chicago Sky
101 :  106
Phoenix Mercury

22 Jul 2026 - WNBA

L.a. Sparks
82 :  86
Phoenix Mercury
Portland Fire
Portland Fire Last matches
L L W W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

14 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
82 :  84
Portland Fire

12 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
81 :  85
Minnesota Lynx

8 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
100 :  93
Seattle Storm

6 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
97 :  83
Toronto Tempo

2 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
101 :  106
L.a. Sparks

31 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
98 :  112
Indiana Fever
L L L W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

12 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
81 :  85
Minnesota Lynx

8 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
100 :  93
Seattle Storm

6 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
97 :  83
Toronto Tempo

2 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
101 :  106
L.a. Sparks

31 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
98 :  112
Indiana Fever

22 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
97 :  101
Dallas Wings
W L W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

14 Aug 2026 - WNBA

Seattle Storm
82 :  84
Portland Fire

28 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Las Vegas Aces
98 :  83
Portland Fire

18 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Minnesota Lynx
101 :  93
Portland Fire

16 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Washington Mystics
56 :  75
Portland Fire

14 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Connecticut Sun
90 :  87
Portland Fire

11 Jul 2026 - WNBA

Atlanta Dream
92 :  102
Portland Fire

Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Phoenix Mercury

100 %

Portland Fire

0 %

5 Jun 2026 - WNBA

Portland Fire
72 :  78
Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction

Players list

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury

S. Whitcomb

D. Bonner

A. Thomas

K. Copper

N. Brochant

Portland Fire
Portland Fire
M. Gustafson

C. Leite

B. Carleton

E. Engstler

N. Puoch

Substitutes

Phoenix Mercury
Phoenix Mercury
K. Linskens N. Mack

K. Plum

L. Held

S. Ciezki

V. Ayayi

M. Suarez

Portland Fire
Portland Fire

T. Oblak

K. Samuelson

H. Winterburn

J. Harrison

A. Okonkwo

S. Williams

F. Buhner

Phoenix Mercury - Portland Fire Key Points

  1. Phoenix Mercury have lost three of their last four games.
  2. Phoenix Mercury have lost nine of their last 13 home games.
  3. Portland Fire have won three of their last four games.
  4. Portland Fire have won four of their last seven away games.
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Our Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire Prediction

This clash promises to be a thriller with the two teams sitting neck-and-neck in the league standings, just below the playoff cut-off line. Phoenix Mercury are the bookmakers’ favourites, but this contest is far from a foregone conclusion. 

Portland Fire have enjoyed a strong recent run, winning three of their last four games. They are also formidable on the road and are likely to prove a tough opponent for a Phoenix side that has been struggling at home recently. Our Phoenix Mercury vs Portland Fire prediction: Portland Fire +5.5 handicap.

Prediction :

 

Portland Fire +5.5 handicap

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.