Parma vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Parma
10/05/2026 12:00
Roma

Prediction :

 

Roma wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Parma, pushing for a return to winning ways in Serie A, are set for a tough match as they host Roma this Sunday. The hosts’ season is settled, having confirmed survival, but Roma are still charging for a top four finish. The visitors have won twice as many games as their hosts in Serie A, and in their current shape, our prediction picks them to win.

A third straight season in Serie A is guaranteed for Parma as they go into their final three league games. A 2-0 loss to champions Inter Milan last weekend didn’t affect much, as their 42 points had already opened up an unassailable gap.

Without much to gain, Parma are only playing for a higher finish.

Roma do not have a similar comfort. To breathe air into their Champions League quest, a win here would be very crucial.

The Giallorossi were boosted by sides opposing them dropping points while they were coming off an unbeaten run themselves. Across the last four matches, AS Roma posted three wins and a draw.

In their most recent outing they blanked Fiorentina 4-0, keeping their third clean sheet in four outings. Having scored 10 goals in the last four games and off the back of a good record against Parma, Roma will be very confident heading here.

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Parma v Roma Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
7.4 4.5 1.47
Melbet
7.6 4.38 1.44
Betwinner
7.3 4.28 1.46
Bet365
7.5 4.33 1.44
Roobet
7.6 4.3 1.43
Check all Parma vs Roma odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Roma?

Our prediction for the Parma vs Roma match is: Roma wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Parma and Roma in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.46% for a win of Parma against Roma with odds of 7.9 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Roma is 28.05% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Parma with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.

Parma - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:

Parma Roma Prediction Probability Odds
Roma wins 40.49% 1.51 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 51.11% 1.84 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 62.92%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma 19.85% 4.2 at LSbet

Parma vs Roma Form

Parma and Roma's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Roma
73 38 23 4 11 +28
13 Parma
45 38 11 12 15 -18

Parma and Roma Last Matches

Parma
Parma Last matches
L D D W W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Parma

25 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Pisa SC

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  1
Parma

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Napoli

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Cremonese
L W D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Pisa SC

12 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Napoli

21 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  2
Cremonese

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  1
Hellas Verona

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  4
Juventus
W D L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Parma

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  1
Parma

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma

13 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
4 :  1
Parma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  0
Parma

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
0 :  1
Parma
Roma
Roma Last matches
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

25 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Roma

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Pisa SC

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce
D L W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 May 2026 - Serie A

Roma
4 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Pisa SC

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce

19 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Roma
3 :  4
Bologna

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  3
Juventus
D L D L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  2
Roma

5 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
5 :  2
Roma

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
2 :  1
Roma

12 Mar 2026 - Europa League

Bologna
1 :  1
Roma

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  1
Roma

15 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  2
Roma

Parma vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Parma

17 %

Draw

0 %

Roma

83 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33.33%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
66.67%
Over 2.5
33.33%
Under 2.5

29 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

16 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Roma

22 Dec 2024 - Serie A

Roma
5 :  0
Parma

14 Mar 2021 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  0
Roma

22 Nov 2020 - Serie A

Roma
3 :  0
Parma

8 Jul 2020 - Serie A

Roma
2 :  1
Parma

Parma against Roma Lineups: Starting 11

Parma

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

31
Z. Suzuki
39
A. Circati
37
Troilo
5
L. Valenti
15
E. Del Prato
24
C. Ordonez
16
M. Keita
41
H. Caviglia
14
E. Valeri
7
G. Strefezza
23
N. Elphege
14
D. Malen
21
P. Dybala
18
M. Soule
43
Wesley
17
M. Kone
4
B. Cristante
19
Z. Celik
22
M. Hermoso
5
E. Ndicka
23
G. Mancini
99
M. Svilar

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Roma

Substitutes

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

E. Corvi

F. Rinaldi

Defender

A. Ndiaye

F. Carboni

E. Valeri 74'

D. Drobnic

S. Britschgi

E. Del Prato 74'

Midfielder

O. Sorensen

J. Ondrejka

N. Estevez

H. Caviglia 79'

Forward

D. Mikolajewski

M. Pellegrino

G. Strefezza 53'

P. Almqvist

N. Elphege 79'

Roma
Roma
Goalkeeper

G. De Marzi

P. Gollini

Defender

D. Rensch

Z. Celik 75'

D. Ghilardi

M. Hermoso 53'

J. Ziolkowski

K. Tsimikas

Angelino

Midfielder

N. El Aynaoui

B. Cristante 58'

N. Pisilli

M. Soule 58'

Forward

R. Vaz

L. Venturino

M. Kone 75'

Missing players

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

G. Casentini

Midfielder

A. Bernabe

G. Oristanio

B. Cremaschi

Forward

M. Frigan

Roma
Roma
Midfielder

B. Zaragoza

Forward

E. Ferguson

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Parma
CD Huachipato Roma
Top Goalscorer
Argentina M. Pellegrino (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands D. Malen (14 Goals)
Best assists
Italy H. Caviglia (4 Assists)
Best assists
Argentina P. Dybala (7 Assists)

Parma - Roma Key Points

  1. Parma are coming off a 13th defeat of the season.
  2. Roma have won 10 more matches than Parma in Serie A.
  3. Roma emerged winners in six of their last 10 visits to Parma.
  4. Parma lost each of their last three meetings with AS Roma.
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Our Parma vs Roma Prediction

AS Roma will come into this game as clear favorites. The visitors are not only backed by their recent form, being unbeaten in four games, but have also done well in their head-to-head meetings with Parma.

For a second straight Serie A campaign, Roma are looking to seal a league double against Parma. Since Parma have secured survival, their resistance in this game might not be much, giving the visitors an advantage. Our prediction for Parma v Roma is that Roma wins.

Prediction :

 

Roma wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Roma

Parma vs Roma Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Parma wins 4.45 7.9 +77.5%
Draw 3.7 4.6 +24.3%
Roma wins 1.8 1.51 -16.1%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Roma is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.1% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 66.2% (10.7%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Parma vs Roma Prediction