Parma vs Roma Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Parma, pushing for a return to winning ways in Serie A, are set for a tough match as they host Roma this Sunday. The hosts’ season is settled, having confirmed survival, but Roma are still charging for a top four finish. The visitors have won twice as many games as their hosts in Serie A, and in their current shape, our prediction picks them to win.
A third straight season in Serie A is guaranteed for Parma as they go into their final three league games. A 2-0 loss to champions Inter Milan last weekend didn’t affect much, as their 42 points had already opened up an unassailable gap.
Without much to gain, Parma are only playing for a higher finish.
Roma do not have a similar comfort. To breathe air into their Champions League quest, a win here would be very crucial.
The Giallorossi were boosted by sides opposing them dropping points while they were coming off an unbeaten run themselves. Across the last four matches, AS Roma posted three wins and a draw.
In their most recent outing they blanked Fiorentina 4-0, keeping their third clean sheet in four outings. Having scored 10 goals in the last four games and off the back of a good record against Parma, Roma will be very confident heading here.
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Parma v Roma Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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7.4 | 4.5 | 1.47 |
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7.6 | 4.38 | 1.44 |
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7.3 | 4.28 | 1.46 |
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7.5 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
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7.6 | 4.3 | 1.43 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Roma?
Our prediction for the Parma vs Roma match is: Roma wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Parma and Roma in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.46% for a win of Parma against Roma with odds of 7.9 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Roma is 28.05% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Roma vs Parma with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
Parma - Roma Prediction and Best Odds:
| Parma Roma Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Roma wins | 40.49% | 1.51 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 51.11% | 1.84 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Roma | 19.85% | 4.2 at LSbet |
Parma vs Roma Form
Parma and Roma's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
73 | 38 | 23 | 4 | 11 | +28 |
|
13
|
45 | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -18 |
Parma and Roma Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
21 Mar 2026 - Serie A
27 Feb 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
13 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
22 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2026 - Serie A
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
10 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Serie A
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Parma vs Roma Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
22 Dec 2024 - Serie A
14 Mar 2021 - Serie A
22 Nov 2020 - Serie A
8 Jul 2020 - Serie A
Parma against Roma Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
E. Corvi
F. Rinaldi
DefenderA. Ndiaye
F. Carboni
D. Drobnic
S. Britschgi
O. Sorensen
J. Ondrejka
N. Estevez
D. Mikolajewski
M. Pellegrino
P. Almqvist
G. De Marzi
P. Gollini
DefenderD. Rensch
D. Ghilardi
J. Ziolkowski
K. Tsimikas
Angelino
MidfielderN. El Aynaoui
N. Pisilli
R. Vaz
L. Venturino
Missing players
G. Casentini
MidfielderA. Bernabe
G. Oristanio
B. Cremaschi
ForwardM. Frigan
B. Zaragoza
ForwardE. Ferguson
Most goals and assists
Parma - Roma Key Points
- Parma are coming off a 13th defeat of the season.
- Roma have won 10 more matches than Parma in Serie A.
- Roma emerged winners in six of their last 10 visits to Parma.
- Parma lost each of their last three meetings with AS Roma.
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Our Parma vs Roma Prediction
AS Roma will come into this game as clear favorites. The visitors are not only backed by their recent form, being unbeaten in four games, but have also done well in their head-to-head meetings with Parma.
For a second straight Serie A campaign, Roma are looking to seal a league double against Parma. Since Parma have secured survival, their resistance in this game might not be much, giving the visitors an advantage. Our prediction for Parma v Roma is that Roma wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Roma
| Parma vs Roma | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins | 4.45 | 7.9 | +77.5% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 4.6 | +24.3% |
| Roma wins | 1.8 | 1.51 | -16.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Roma is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 16.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 55.6% and is now 66.2% (10.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.