Parma vs Cagliari Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Parma
22/08/2026 14:45
Cagliari

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Carlos Cuesta starts his second Serie A campaign at Parma with a home game against Cagliari. Both sides ended last season closer to the drop zone than Europe and will be keen on fast starts this season. The last encounter between these two ended in a draw, and we are backing the same in our prediction.

Parma finished last season 11 points above the drop zone, but it wasn’t an entirely great campaign. They dropped points in 27 of their 38 matches, drawing 12 times in the process.

The hosts averaged less than a goal per game, which was among the factors determining their low finish. Cuesta will be keen on addressing that as well as the fact that they drew more than they won.

Like Parma, Cagliari also dropped points in 27 of their 38 matches last season. That, plus the fact that they have a poor record in season-opening games, means Fabio Pisacane knows what to work on this season.

The Sardinians will have an encouraging entry point to the season, though, having won their opening Coppa Italia encounter. They beat Arezzo 1-0 and now they’ll be targeting a seventh unbeaten outing against Parma.

Cagliari have won four of the previous six, but their most recent ended in a 1-1 draw.

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Parma v Cagliari Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.9 2.95 2.85
1xbet
2.99 2.97 2.78
Melbet
2.64 2.92 3.02
Betwinner
2.87 2.87 2.81
22bet
2.93 2.9 2.73
Check all Parma vs Cagliari odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Parma and Cagliari?

Our prediction for the Parma vs Cagliari match is: draw.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Parma and Cagliari in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.39% for a win of Parma against Cagliari with odds of 3 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Parma vs Cagliari is 33.54% with odds of 3.25 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 34.07% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Parma with odds of 3.02 at Melbet.

Parma - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:

Parma Cagliari Prediction Probability Odds
Cagliari wins 34.07% 3.02 at Melbet
Under 2.5 57.13% 2 at LSbet
Both Team To Score 51.25%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cagliari 19.47% 6.5 at Roobet

Parma vs Cagliari Form

Parma and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Cagliari
12 5 4 0 1 +3
15 Parma
4 5 1 1 3 -3

Parma and Cagliari Last Matches

Parma
Parma Last matches
W D D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Parma
2 :  0
Catania

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
0 :  2
Sampdoria

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
1 :  1
ΑΕP Iraklis 1908

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
1 :  1
SS Arezzo

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sassuolo
0 :  0
Parma

24 May 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Sassuolo
L W D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Parma
2 :  0
Catania

9 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
0 :  2
Sampdoria

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
1 :  1
ΑΕP Iraklis 1908

30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Parma
1 :  1
SS Arezzo

24 May 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Sassuolo

10 May 2026 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  3
Roma
L D W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sassuolo
0 :  0
Parma

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
1 :  0
Parma

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Parma

18 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Udinese
0 :  1
Parma

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Parma

13 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
4 :  1
Parma
Cagliari
Cagliari Last matches
W D W D D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
1 :  0
SS Arezzo

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Nice

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Cagliari

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
1 :  0
Modena

23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Sampdoria

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari
L W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2026 - Coppa Italia

Cagliari
1 :  0
SS Arezzo

8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Nice

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
1 :  0
Modena

23 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Cagliari
0 :  0
Sampdoria

17 May 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  1
Torino FC

9 May 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Udinese
L L L D W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Union Berlin
2 :  2
Cagliari

24 May 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  2
Cagliari

3 May 2026 - Serie A

Bologna
0 :  0
Cagliari

17 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
3 :  0
Cagliari

4 Apr 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Cagliari

15 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC
3 :  1
Cagliari

Parma vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Parma

0 %

Draw

33 %

Cagliari

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.83
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

27 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  1
Cagliari

13 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  0
Parma

9 Feb 2025 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  1
Parma

30 Sept 2024 - Serie A

Parma
2 :  3
Cagliari

3 Jun 2023 - Serie B

Parma
0 :  0
Cagliari

30 May 2023 - Serie B

Cagliari
3 :  2
Parma
Parma vs Cagliari Prediction

Parma against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11

Parma

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

40
E. Corvi
15
E. Del Prato
37
Troilo
3
N. Ndiaye
14
E. Valeri
47
A. Konate
32
C. Ordonez
16
M. Keita
76
S. Lontani
19
E. Toure
10
A. Bernabe
31
P. Mendy
70
D. Maldini
10
J. Fazzini
8
M. Adopo
6
H. Winks
4
A. Romano
33
A. Obert
15
J. Rodriguez
14
A. Deiola
2
Ze Pedro
1
E. Caprile

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

Cagliari

Substitutes

Parma
Parma
Goalkeeper

G. Daffara

A. Mazzocchi

Defender

F. Carboni

D. Drobnic

L. Valenti

Midfielder

R. Kouda

B. Cremaschi

O. Sorensen

Forward

T. de Martis

M. Frigan

J. Romero

N. Elphege

O. Diallo

P. Almqvist

Cagliari
Cagliari
Goalkeeper

A. Sherri

B. Radunovic

Defender

G. Aurelio

Y. Mina

G. Zappa

Midfielder

N. Cavuoti

I. Sulev

R. Kofler

J. Liteta

M. Prati

Forward

K. Carlos

A. Fadera

K. Mutandwa

M. Felici

G. Borrelli

Missing players

Parma
Parma
Defender

S. Britschgi

Forward

H. Caviglia

Cagliari
Cagliari
Defender

R. Idrissi

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Parma
CD Huachipato Cagliari
Top Goalscorer
Argentina J. Romero (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy D. Maldini (3 Goals)
Best assists
Sweden P. Almqvist (1 Assists) , 
Mali E. Toure (1 Assists) , 
France N. Elphege (1 Assists)
Best assists
France M. Adopo (2 Assists)

Parma - Cagliari Key Points

  1. Parma are winless in nine season-opening matches.
  2. Cagliari won just once in their last 12 season-opening matches.
  3. Cagliari have drawn five straight opening-day matches in Serie A.
  4. These two sides drew a combined 22 matches in Serie A last season.
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Our Parma vs Cagliari Prediction

Parma and Cagliari will be looking to avoid the relegation scrap this season, and a strong start could help. History, though, doesn’t work in their favor in that aspect. Both have struggled in their season-opening encounters in Serie A, and there are indications this could extend into their coming encounter.

Last season the two posted draws in double digits, and this could be another such scenario. Their latest encounter ended in shared spoils, extending their undefeated run in this fixture, and our prediction for Parma v Cagliari is for a draw.

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Parma Cagliari

Parma vs Cagliari Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Parma wins 2.5 3 +20.0%
Draw 3.15 3.25 +3.2%
Cagliari wins 3.3 3.02 -8.5%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Cagliari is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.5% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 33.1% (2.8%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.