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29 May 2024 - 11:00 

- Final

Europe - Conference League

Olympiacos
VS
Fiorentina

Prediction :

Ayoub El Kaabi to score

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Olympiacos vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League

 by Kennedy Kechula | in Conference League Prediction

Two sides on serious European trophy droughts will face off this Wednesday, Olympiakos taking on Fiorentina in the Europa Conference League final. While Greek side Olympiakos are chasing a first ever European title, Fiorentina are on to their first since 1961. Fiorentina will also be looking to right a few wrongs after losing to English side West Ham United in last year’s final. Olympiakos, not officially listed as hosts, will feel fortunes have smiled at them as this year’s final will be hosted at the Agia Sophia Stadium (OPAP Arena) in Athens, Greece.

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The Best Betting Odds for Olympiacos v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
21 1.08 11
Ladbrokes
3.3 2.3 2.6
NetBet
3.05 3.1 2.32
Betwinner
3.1 3.24 2.37
Melbet
3.06 3.28 2.37
Tonybet
3 3.25 2.38
Check all Olympiacos vs Fiorentina odds
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What is SportyTrader's prediction for the football match between Olympiacos and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Olympiacos vs Fiorentina match is: Ayoub El Kaabi to score

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 5/29/24 between Olympiacos and Fiorentina in Conference League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.01% for a win of Olympiacos against Fiorentina with odds of 21 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Olympiacos vs Fiorentina is 21.53% with odds of 3.28 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 25.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Olympiacos with odds of 11 at Bet365.

Olympiacos - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Olympiacos vs Fiorentina prediction

Probability

Best Odds
Olympiacos wins the match53.01 %21
Draw21.53 %3.28
Fiorentina wins the match25.45 %11

Olympiacos vs Fiorentina Form

Olympiacos and Fiorentina Last Matches

Olympiacos
Olympiacos Last matches
W W W L W D
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.5
BTTS
50%
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
1.17
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

19 May 2024 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
2 :  2
Olympiacos

15 May 2024 - Superleague

Olympiacos
2 :  0
AEK Athens

12 May 2024 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  0
Olympiacos

9 May 2024 - Conference League

Olympiacos
2 :  0
Aston Villa

2 May 2024 - Conference League

Aston Villa
2 :  4
Olympiacos

28 Apr 2024 - Superleague

Olympiacos
4 :  1
PAS Lamia 1964
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W L D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
3.67
BTTS
100%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
1.67
Over 2.5
83%
Under 2.5
17%

23 May 2024 - Serie A

Cagliari
2 :  3
Fiorentina

17 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  2
Napoli

13 May 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Monza

8 May 2024 - Conference League

Club Brugge
1 :  1
Fiorentina

5 May 2024 - Serie A

Hellas Verona
2 :  1
Fiorentina

2 May 2024 - Conference League

Fiorentina
3 :  2
Club Brugge
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Olympiacos - Fiorentina: Form Analysis

Olympiakos started the season in the Europa League but a third placed finish in Group A landed them in the Conference League. Among the teams they faced in the Europa League was the current Conference League holders West Ham United. They did beat West Ham in one of their meetings in the group and here they’ll be bidding to replace them as the new winners. Olympiakos have withstood the test in this competition and brushing Aston Villa aside in the semi-final is proof of their strength. The Greek side beat Aston Villa home and away in a 6-2 aggregate victory to book their place here. It didn’t end as strongly for them in the Greek Super League 1. Olympiakos could only finish third, six points behind champions PAOK. They do have a strong scoring run though, having failed to score in just two of their last 12 games. Five times in their last six matches, Olympiakos scored two or more goals. Playing in the Conference League for the first time, Olympiakos will feel satisfied at having failed to score in just one of their eight matches.

Fiorentina are playing in the Conference League final for the second time in as many years. Last season, they were downed by a late Jarrod Bowen goal in a 2-1 defeat. Since then, the Italians have suffered just one defeat in the competition, having played 14 matches. They come into their first ever meeting with Olympiakos set to finish eighth in Serie A. It thus means winning this game is their only route to European football next season. Their history against Greek sides will not be a statistic Fiorentina want to look at now. They’ve faced Greek sides five times before in Europe, and only won once. In the run up to this game, Fiorentina are unbeaten in four matches, winning twice. However, they have no clean sheet in any of their last eight matches. They conceded two or more goals in five of those eight matches. In 20 Conference League matches, they managed just five clean sheets. To get to the final, the Italians dispatched Belgian side Club Brugge 4-3 on aggregate in the semis.

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Olympiacos against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11

Olympiacos

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

88
K. Tzolakis
23
Rodinei
45
P. Retsos
16
D. Carmo
3
F. Ortega
32
S. Hezze
8
V. Iborra
56
D. Podence
6
Chiquinho
7
K. Fortounis
9
A. El Kaabi
20
A. Belotti
99
C. Kouame
5
G. Bonaventura
10
N. Gonzalez
38
R. Mandragora
6
A. Melo
3
C. Biraghi
28
L. Quarta
4
N. Milenkovic
2
Dodo
1
P. Terracciano

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Fiorentina

Olympiacos & Fiorentina Squad Analysis

Heading into this fixture, Olympiakos manager Jose Luis Mendilibar isn’t expected to have new injuries apart from Doron Leidner. The Greeks haven't reported any injuries after their last game, a 2-2 draw with Panathinaikos. They last played four days before Fiorentina, and coming into this game the Greeks will be well rested. A man to watch for Olympiakos will be Ayoub El Kaabi. The forward has scored 10 goals in just the knockout stages of the Conference League. El Kaabi also managed five goals in the Europa League before Olympiakos were dumped out. Apart from his 15 goals in Europe this season, El Kaabi has scored 19 in other competitions and is worth a punt here.

The only player that can compare to El Kaabi at Fiorentina is Nico Gonzalez, who has scored 15 times across all competitions. While Gonzalez has played more Conference League matches, his four goals aren’t even half of El Kaabi’s in the competition. However, a Gonzalez and Giacomo Bonaventura combination should be enough to trouble Olympiakos’ defence. Bonaventura has eight goals this season, his most recent coming in La Viola’s last outing. Vincenzo Italiano will however be without Italian forward Ricardo Sottil who is still nursing a shoulder injury.

Olympiacos - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Ayoub El Kaabi has 10 goals in Olympiakos’ eight Conference League matches
  2. Ayoub El Kaabi has scored 15 goals in European competitions this season
  3. Olympiakos’ Ayoub El Kaabi has 34 goals in all competitions this season
  4. In Olympiakos’ last seven games Ayoub El Kaabi scored six times
  5. Fiorentina have no clean sheet in the last eight matches
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Our Olympiacos vs Fiorentina Prediction

There is a general feeling that Olympiakos come into this game as underdogs. However, with the threat they carry in attack, this assumption could be far from the truth. The Greek side has one of the best forwards in the competition in Ayoub El Kaabi. His 15 goals in Europe this season is testimony that the Moroccan can’t be overlooked going into this game. Five of his goals in this competition came in the semis and he will be fired up for the final game of the season. Our prediction for Olympiakos v Fiorentina is for Ayoub El Kaabi to score.

Prediction :

Ayoub El Kaabi to score

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Olympiacos vs Fiorentina - Other Interesting Predictions

Both teams to score

Our second prediction for this game is for both teams to score. Fiorentina, like Olympiakos, come into this game on a good scoring run; they scored in all their last 11 matches. We therefore don’t expect them to look blunt in attack. In the last three matches, they scored two or more goals. However, they have no clean sheet in eight games, all in which both sides scored.

Over 2.5 goals

Our third prediction for Olympiakos v Fiorentina is for the game to see over 2.5 goals. All of Fiorentina’s last eight matches except for one, had at least three goals scored. Seven of Olympiakos’ last 12 matches have had over 2.5 goals and they too come here on a good scoring run. In five of their last six matches, they scored at least twice, and they face a side that has conceded at least two in five of eight matches.

Olympiacos vs Fiorentina Prediction

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Olympiacos vs Fiorentina match : Frequently asked questions

The Olympiakos v Fiorentina game will be played at the Agia Sophia Stadium

The Olympiakos v Fiorentina game will be played on Wednesday 29 May starting 8pm

The Olympiakos v Fiorentina will be overseen by Portuguese referee Artur Soares Dias, assisted by Paulo Soares and Pedro Ribeiro.

For fans in Greece, the Olympiakos v Fiorentina game will be live on COSMOTE TV and MEGA, while in Italy, fans can catch the game on Sky Italia and DAZN. TNT Sports will carry the game for UK audiences. You can also catch the game’s real time updates on SportyTrader.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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