Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Ita Emmanuel | in NBA Predictions
Oklahoma City Thunder will be out to retake the lead as they host San Antonio Spurs in Game 5 of the 2025-26 NBA Western Conference Finals tonight. The Thunder have rattled off five wins from their six playoff outings at home this postseason, hence our prediction backing the home team.
Oklahoma City Thunder saw their narrow lead chalked off last night after back-to-back wins in Games 2 & 3 put them firmly in control of this series. Victor Wembanyama proved difficult for the visitors to handle, shooting 11-of-22 from the field, including 3-of-7 from beyond the arc, to condemn the Oklahoma ball club to a heavy 103–82 defeat.
Nevertheless, OKC still head into tonight's contest as the favourites, having racked up five wins in their six playoff games at Paycom Arena. Mark Daigneault’s charges also boast an elite 121.6 ORTG across their six playoff home games, scoring an average of 118.2 points per contest.
Meanwhile, San Antonio Spurs snapped their back-to-back defeats in this series with last night's victory, but a difficult test awaits them in Oklahoma tonight. They are 2–2 in their last four playoff road trips and have lost eight of their last 10 away visits to Paycom Arena to face the Thunder.
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Oklahoma City Thunder v San Antonio Spurs Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.61 | 2.4 |
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1.57 | 2.47 |
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1.61 | 2.32 |
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1.63 | 2.3 |
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1.64 | 2.33 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs match is: Oklahoma City Thunder wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs game on 26/05/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 53.32% chance to pick up the win against San Antonio Spurs according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.64.
- There is a probability of 46.68% ⭐ for San Antonio Spurs to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 2.57 at Shangrila.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Players list
J. McCain
L. Dort
J. Champagnie
S. Castle
D. Fox
Substitutes
I. Joe
N. Topic
C. Wallace
A. Wiggins
A. Caruso
J. Williams
D. Harper
J. McLaughlin
L. Waters III
H. Barnes
C. Bryant
Oklahoma City Thunder - San Antonio Spurs Key Points
- Oklahoma City Thunder have won five of their last six playoff home games.
- The Thunder boast an impressive 121.6 ORTG in their playoff home outings this season.
- San Antonio Spurs are 2–2 in their last four playoff away outings.
- The Spurs have lost eight of their last 10 NBA away games against Oklahoma.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction
Despite last night's setback, Oklahoma City Thunder look well positioned to ace this contest. The Thunder have rattled off an impressive eight wins in their last 10 home games against San Antonio and hold a solid 5–1 record in their six playoff outings at Paycom Arena.
Meanwhile, San Antonio Spurs have dropped two of their last four playoff away outings, underlining their inconsistency on the road. Their underwhelming record in recent visits to Paycom Arena also offers a note of caution here. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder wins.
If your team in the Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.