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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
We head back to the Paycom Center on Tuesday night for Game 5 of the NBA Playoff series between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets. OKC and the Nuggets have won two games each in this series. Let’s get into the match prediction.
After blowing leads and losing Games 1 and 3 at the death, the Oklahoma City Thunder avoided the same mistake to win Game 4 on Saturday, 92-87, after leading by six at halftime.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has not been at his usual high level in this series, but he, along with Jalen Williams, found clutch baskets late in the last match to get their team over the line.
It’s worth mentioning how well OKC have done in defending Nikola Jokic, who has shot below 40% in the last three games and went 7 of 22 over the weekend.
Aside from the Joker, Aaron Gordon has arguably been Denver’s standout player in this series, but he struggled to make an impact in Game 4.
Jamal Murray’s consistency continues to come into question, and after a couple of good showings, Michael Porter Jr finished the last match with just three points.
While both teams shot poorly in Game 4, the major difference on the day was the bench contributions, with the Thunder’s accounting for 35 points, while the Nuggets’ managed just 14.
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The Best Betting Odds for Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.19 | 4.9 |
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1.2 | 4.5 |
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1.18 | 4.6 |
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1.18 | 4.3 |
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1.18 | 4.78 |
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Who will win the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets match is: Denver Nuggets +10.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game on 13/05/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Oklahoma City Thunder has a 68.28% chance to pick up the win against Denver Nuggets according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.21.
- There is a probability of 31.72% ⭐ for Denver Nuggets to win vs Oklahoma City Thunder with odds of 4.9 at Bet365.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Form
Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
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4/6 (67%)
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5/6 (83%)
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4/6 (67%)
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3/6 (50%)
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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
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Oklahoma City Thunder - Denver Nuggets Key Points
- The Nuggets have won four of their last seven matches against this opponent.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread in four of their last five games.
- The Nuggets have won their last six Game 5s of a Playoff series.
- The Thunder have only covered the spread in one of their last six games.
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Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Prediction
We are now down to a best-of-three, and the Oklahoma City Thunder have the home advantage, but they are coming into this match off the back of one of the ugliest performances we’ve seen from them this season.
While OKC can blow away any opponent on their day, as we saw in Game 2 of this series, the Nuggets' experience has kept them in games and proved crucial at the death. The hosts should win this match, but this line is far too hefty for our liking. Our Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets prediction is Denver Nuggets +10.5.
If your team in the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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