Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Beijing Open
ATP - ATP Beijing Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Neither of these players won a match point in their semi-final. The final of the outdoor hard court China Open sees sixth seed Novak Djokovic take on fifth-seeded Alex de Minaur. Djokovic is chasing a seventh title in Beijing, looking at the stats more than 20.5 games being played is our prediction.
Novak Djokovic has never lost a match in the China Open. His six previous visits (the last in 2015) all saw him win the title. Now he's back looking to win another ATP title. He was 7-5 5-3 up on Daniil Medvedev when his opponent was defaulted after hitting a ball into the face of a spectator.
The Serb was on his way to victory anyway and that followed beating Alexander Zverev in the quarter-finals.
He's had to play nearly ten hours and 103 games in four matches to reach the last four.
Djokovic leads de Minaur 3-1 in previous meetings and are 1-1 on this surface.
Alex de Minaur is in his first ATP Tour outdoor hard court final since the 2025 Washington tournament.
The Australian led Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 3-2 when his opponent retired from their semi-final due to injury.
De Minaur has made it to this final for the loss of two sets. He's played more than 20.5 games in each of his three completed matches in this tournament.
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Novak Djokovic v Alex De Minaur Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.52 | 2.49 |
|
|
1.52 | 2.65 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.61 |
|
|
1.5 | 2.61 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.5 |
|
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Who will win the Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur game on 06/10/2026 of the current ATP Beijing Open season:
- Novak Djokovic has a 62.61% chance to win against Alex De Minaur according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.53.
- Alex De Minaur has a 37.39% probability of winning facing Novak Djokovic ⭐ with odds of 2.65 at 1xbet.
Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Novak Djokovic has a 62.61 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Novak Djokovic | 62.61 % |
| Alex De Minaur | 37.39 % |
Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Form
Novak Djokovic and Alex De Minaur Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
10 Jul 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Beijing Open
3 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
19 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
7 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
12 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur Key Points
- Djokovic has played 103 games in his four matches played in this tournament.
- All three of de Minaur's completed matches in this tournament have seen more than 20.5 games played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Djokovic has played at least one in four of his last five matches.
- More than 20.5 games have been played in eight of de Minaur's last nine completed matches in best-of-three sets singles tournaments.
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Our Novak Djokovic vs Alex De Minaur Prediction
Novak Djokovic is aiming to continue his incredible unbeaten run in Beijing. A win over de Minaur will make it a magnificent seven China Open titles in as many appearances in this outdoor hard court tournament. It's been a struggle to get this far but he has beaten both Zverev and Medvedev.
Alex de Minaur is in his first final on this surface in 2026. He too has had a few struggles in Beijing and won his semi-final via retirement. A long match looks likely here and our Novak Djokovic v Alex de Minaur prediction is more than 20.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
