Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Premier League football will return to the City Ground on Saturday afternoon when Nottingham Forest play host to Leeds United in their 2026-27 season opener. Eight goals were produced in the two matches between these sides last season, and we’re expecting a few more here as discussed in our prediction below.
The Tricky Trees endured a difficult 2025-26 campaign, finishing 16th with 44 points (W11 D11 L16), scoring just 48 goals while conceding 51. Forest also saw four managers come and go last season, but there is now a renewed sense of optimism on Trentside, with Oliver Glasner set to lead the team after steering Crystal Palace to their first piece of European silverware last term.
The Whites were tough to beat last season, but they struggled to turn draws into wins, finishing 14th after sharing the points in 14 of their 38 EPL games (W11 L13). However, avoiding the drop in their first season back in the top flight was always the primary objective, and Daniel Farke will be looking to build on that foundation this term. Let’s get into the key stats!
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Nottingham Forest v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.33 | 3.4 | 3.15 |
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2.37 | 3.48 | 3.27 |
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2.29 | 3.34 | 3.15 |
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|
2.3 | 3.34 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.29 | 3.34 | 3.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Nottingham Forest and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Nottingham Forest vs Leeds match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/08/2026 between Nottingham Forest and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.35% for a win of Nottingham Forest against Leeds with odds of 2.37 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nottingham Forest vs Leeds is 35.65% with odds of 3.5 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Nottingham Forest with odds of 3.3 at 888Starz.
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Form
Nottingham Forest and Leeds Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
10 May 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Premier League
1 May 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
24 May 2026 - Premier League
11 May 2026 - Premier League
26 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Apr 2026 - Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Feb 2026 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Apr 2023 - Premier League
5 Feb 2023 - Premier League
8 Feb 2020 - Championship
10 Aug 2019 - Championship
Nottingham Forest - Leeds: Form Analysis
Nottingham Forest played as many as nine matches during pre-season, capped off with back-to-back momentum-building victories over Bayer Leverkusen (2-1) and Brest (2-0) this month.
The Tricky Trees ended last season with a record of W3 D2 L1 in their final six games, a period during which they were also eliminated from the Europa League in the semi-finals by Aston Villa.
The Reds earned just 20 points from their 19 home league games last season (W4 D8 L7), but they ended the campaign unbeaten in their final five top-flight matches at the City Ground (W1 D4).
Forest have won their last four home league matches against Leeds!
Meanwhile, Leeds United had a solid pre-season, which included victories over Sunderland and Liverpool, a 1-1 draw in regulation time against Man United, and a 4-0 beating of Augsburg last week.
The Whites ended last season on an upward trajectory, reaching the FA Cup semi-finals before bowing out to Chelsea 1-0 at Wembley, while losing only one of their final nine league matches (W4 D4).
However, the Peacocks were poor on the road, managing just two wins from their 19 away matches (D9 L8), which was the third-worst record in the division after relegated Wolves and Burnley.
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Missing players
N. Savona
L. Perri
DefenderG. Gudmundsson
MidfielderI. Gruev
ForwardMateo Joseph
Nottingham Forest & Leeds Squad Analysis
Glasner will have a big call to make on who will lead the line this week between Chris Wood and Igor Jesus. Wood spent a large part of last season on the sidelines through injury, but he notched up two assists at the World Cup and was on the scoresheet against Brest last week.
Morgan Gibbs-White is one to watch for Forest. Despite significant interest from other clubs after netting 15 goals and four assists last season, the midfielder has remained at the City Ground and will be key to their hopes of returning to Europe.
The hosts have just one confirmed absentee for their season opener, with defender Nicolo Savona still working his way back to full fitness after undergoing knee surgery in March.
Can Harry Wilson shine on debut for Leeds United?
Wilson was the undisputed star for Fulham last season, recording 11 goals and 8 assists in his 38 league games, which earned him the Cottagers’ Player of the Season award for the 2025-26 campaign.
Farke did not make any striker signings this summer, meaning Dominic Calvert-Lewin is all but guaranteed to lead the line here. The Englishman scored 14 goals from 15.57 xG last term and earned 33 big chances - the fourth-most in the division.
James Trafford made his move to Trentside permanent over the summer and will start in goal with Lucas Perri out injured. Gabriel Gudmundsson is listed as a doubt due to a muscular issue.
Nottingham Forest - Leeds Key Points
- Six of Nottingham Forest’s final seven league games last season ended with both teams scoring.
- Nottingham Forest averaged 1.5 xGA per league match last season.
- Five of Leeds’ final seven away league games last season ended with both teams scoring.
- Leeds averaged 1.46 xGA per league match last season.
- Both teams scored in the two matches between these sides last season.
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Our Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Prediction
Nottingham Forest ended pre-season on an upward trajectory, beating Brest and Bayer Leverkusen, but there are still question marks over their defence, which only kept two clean sheets in their nine warm-up games.
Leeds’ defensive record last season was their major issue, conceding 56 goals, which was the fifth-most in the top flight. They have strengthened in that area over the summer, but it may take a few games before their new-look back line is fully settled. Therefore, our Nottingham Forest vs Leeds prediction is BTTS.
Nottingham Forest vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
Nottingham Forest wins
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Nottingham Forest vs Leeds - FAQs
The Premier League match between Nottingham Forest and Leeds will not be broadcast on TV in the UK due to the Saturday 3:00pm blackout rule.
However, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
